Ronny Lopez — OGILVIE

Ronny Lopez P ACL Cubs

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.96

FIP5.96

K%15.2%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%-2.4%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	14	4	36	158	35	26	2	29%	2.6	15.1%	20.6%	-5.5%	1.6%	5.75	5.33	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	14	4	36	158	35	26	2	29%	2.6	15.1%	20.6%	-5.5%	1.6%	5.75	5.33	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	14	4	36	158	35	26	2	29%	2.6	22.2%	16.5%	5.7%	1.3%	5.75	4.04	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	10	4	25	107	34	20	0	40%	2.5	21.6%	23.4%	-1.8%	0.0%	1.78	4.23	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	10	4	25	107	34	20	0	40%	2.5	21.6%	23.4%	-1.8%	0.0%	1.78	4.23	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	10	4	25	107	34	20	0	40%	2.5	31.8%	18.7%	13.1%	0.0%	1.78	2.78	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	13	59	283	42	41	3	81%	3.7	10.3%	17.6%	-7.2%	1.6%	6.83	5.35	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	13	59	283	42	41	3	81%	3.7	10.3%	17.6%	-7.2%	1.6%	6.83	5.35	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	13	59	283	42	41	3	81%	3.7	14.8%	14.5%	0.4%	1.1%	6.83	4.41	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	CHC	1	1	3	13	2	2	0	100%	3.0	15.2%	17.6%	-2.4%	2.8%	5.96	5.96	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	10	10	55	231	40	35	6	100%	5.5	17.4%	15.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.58	5.44	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	55	234	44	31	7	100%	6.2	18.8%	13.4%	5.5%	2.8%	5.26	5.11	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	55	234	46	31	7	100%	6.2	19.6%	13.1%	6.5%	2.8%	5.10	5.02	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	55	231	45	30	7	100%	6.1	19.7%	13.1%	6.6%	2.9%	5.06	5.04	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	4	4	23	97	17	15	3	100%	5.8	17.4%	15.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.58	5.44	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	6	6	37	156	29	21	4	100%	6.2	18.8%	13.4%	5.5%	2.8%	5.26	5.11	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	44	186	36	24	5	100%	6.3	19.6%	13.1%	6.5%	2.8%	5.10	5.02	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	8	8	47	198	39	26	6	100%	5.9	19.7%	13.1%	6.6%	2.9%	5.06	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		26	26	151	635	121	86	18	100%	5.8	19.1%	13.5%	5.6%	2.8%	5.20	4.73	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	161	114	24	100%	5.9	19.1%	13.5%	5.6%	2.8%	5.20	4.73	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		40	21	121	548	76	107	7	52%	3.0	13.9%	19.6%	-5.7%	1.3%	5.44	5.13	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	35	200	908	126	178	12	52%	3.0	13.9%	19.6%	-5.7%	1.3%	5.44	5.13	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronny Lopez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.96	15.2%	17.6%	2.8%	—	5.19	18.6%	4.8%	166	-0.77	—	—	—
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	85
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	82
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	82
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	81
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	81
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	80
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	80
Kevin Valdez R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	16.6%	17.9%	1.7%	.188	4.97	16.0%	3.2%	189	+0.10	3.46	263	79
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	77
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	77
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	76
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.53	352	76
Michael Petersen R 2017 · 5.81 FIP	23	SP-	5.81	14.8%	17.5%	3.2%	.336	4.34	18.7%	5.9%	122	-1.47	3.20	399	76
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	75
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	75
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	74
Nic Swanson R 2022 · 6.18 FIP	23	SP-	6.18	18.5%	15.9%	4.8%	.302	4.74	18.6%	7.7%	284	-1.44	4.29	438	74
Miguel Medrano R 2021 · 5.49 FIP	23	SP-	5.49	17.7%	15.5%	3.5%	.299	6.10	18.1%	-0.5%	50	+0.61	2.73	232	74
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	74
Jake Miller R 2023 · 6.02 FIP	23	SP-	6.02	7.5%	18.0%	2.3%	.216	4.75	16.0%	6.0%	157	-1.27	3.64	202	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	51	18.4%	14.2%	1.08	5.34
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91