Orlando Gonzalez

Orlando Gonzalez P Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 220 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%14.9%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%0.6%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	43	177	35	27	5	54%	3.3	13.8%	18.8%	-5.0%	3.7%	1.67	6.34	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	43	177	35	27	5	54%	3.3	13.8%	18.8%	-5.0%	3.7%	1.67	6.34	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	7	43	177	35	27	5	54%	3.3	19.8%	15.3%	4.5%	2.8%	1.67	4.87	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	2	49	218	47	19	2	7%	1.8	16.0%	10.8%	5.2%	1.3%	4.22	3.83	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	2	49	218	47	19	2	7%	1.8	16.0%	10.8%	5.2%	1.3%	4.22	3.83	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	2	49	218	47	19	2	7%	1.8	21.6%	8.7%	12.8%	0.9%	4.22	2.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	19	0	29	124	40	19	2	0%	1.5	23.2%	18.7%	4.5%	2.2%	3.77	4.70	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	19	0	29	124	40	19	2	0%	1.5	23.2%	18.7%	4.5%	2.2%	3.77	4.70	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	PHI	9	0	11	51	13	11	1	0%	1.2	25.5%	21.6%	3.9%	2.0%	4.09	4.76	—
2026	23	A RAW	PHI	10	0	18	73	27	8	1	0%	1.8	37.0%	11.0%	26.0%	1.4%	3.57	2.12	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	51	0	54	227	38	29	6	0%	1.1	16.7%	12.9%	3.8%	2.9%	5.36	5.27	-0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	52	0	54	230	41	28	7	0%	1.0	17.7%	12.0%	5.7%	2.9%	5.16	5.07	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	22	0	23	97	16	13	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	12.9%	3.8%	2.9%	5.36	5.27	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	34	0	36	152	27	18	4	0%	1.1	17.7%	12.0%	5.7%	2.9%	5.16	5.07	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	249	43	31	7	0%	1.1	17.3%	12.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.24	4.77	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	146	105	24	0%	1.1	17.3%	12.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.24	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		60	9	121	519	88	80	12	15%	2.0	17.0%	15.4%	1.5%	2.3%	3.21	4.90	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	15	200	860	146	133	20	15%	2.0	17.0%	15.4%	1.5%	2.3%	3.21	4.90	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Orlando Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	14.9%	14.3%	2.9%	—	5.17	17.2%	4.8%	108	-0.44	—	—	—
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	91
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	90
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	90
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	90
Everhett Hazelwood R 2022 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	13.8%	12.2%	3.2%	.306	6.51	18.7%	2.9%	63	+1.28	5.23	117	89
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	88
Tayler Scott R 2015 · 4.48 FIP	23	SU	4.48	16.7%	12.7%	2.1%	.309	4.09	17.9%	6.2%	162	-0.39	3.22	528	87
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	87
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	86
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	86
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	86
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	86
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	86
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	86
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	85
Simon Mercedes R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	23	SU	4.86	14.3%	11.7%	2.7%	.309	4.94	16.4%	3.9%	60	+0.08	4.86	139	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	84
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	16.4%	13.0%	1.11	5.37
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10