Grayson Thurman
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
K%21.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 49 | 218 | 56 | 26 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 4.78 | 4.38 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 49 | 218 | 56 | 26 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 25.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.78 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 48 | 0 | 61 | 254 | 72 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 3.9% | 3.82 | 4.45 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 48 | 0 | 61 | 254 | 72 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.3% | 7.1% | 21.3% | 3.5% | 3.82 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 23 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.62 | 5.81 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 23 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.35 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 73 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 1 | 136 | 578 | 114 | 65 | 19 | 1% | 1.3 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.31 | 4.67 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 1 | 200 | 852 | 168 | 95 | 28 | 1% | 1.3 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.31 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Grayson Thurman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.68 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.73 | 21.5% | 11.6% | 22 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 85 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 83 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 83 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 83 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 83 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .243 | 3.63 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -0.89 | 3.56 | 198 | 81 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 81 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 81 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 81 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 81 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 80 |
| David Hernandez R 2029 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 80 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 80 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 80 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .340 | 3.99 | 21.8% | 13.6% | 94 | +0.46 | 2.67 | 177 | 80 |