Noah Murdock
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 27
RHP
6'8" / 234 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.46
FIP4.52
K%21.3%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p5325.8%
K%
p4521.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.360
SI (53%)
CT-2.2 (23%)
SL-2.8 (20%)
FB-3.2 (57%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 7 | 6 | 23 | 96 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 86% | 3.2 | 15.2% | 13.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 3.48 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 7 | 6 | 23 | 96 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 86% | 3.2 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 2.88 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 70 | 341 | 64 | 44 | 12 | 100% | 4.1 | 14.7% | 14.5% | 0.2% | 4.9% | 6.91 | 6.39 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 70 | 341 | 64 | 44 | 12 | 100% | 4.1 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 6.91 | 5.37 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 36 | 1 | 69 | 315 | 77 | 49 | 4 | 3% | 1.9 | 19.8% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 5.87 | 4.72 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 36 | 1 | 69 | 315 | 77 | 49 | 4 | 3% | 1.9 | 24.4% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 5.87 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 72 | 41 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 16.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 3.16 | 3.23 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 72 | 41 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.0% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 3.16 | 2.76 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 38 | 197 | 41 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 15.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 9.24 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 38 | 197 | 41 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 15.2% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 9.24 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 26 | 1 | 34 | 135 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 4% | 1.3 | 27.7% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 1.0% | 3.74 | 2.48 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PIT | 18 | 0 | 19 | 82 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PIT | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 53 | 217 | 59 | 21 | 3 | — | — | 27.4% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 1.2% | 4.00 | 3.23 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 11 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 21.3% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 43 | 0 | 47 | 226 | 48 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 15.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 7.64 | 3.88 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 0 | 200 | 955 | 203 | 144 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 15.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 7.64 | 3.88 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 162 | 25 | 296 | 1351 | 265 | 203 | 27 | 15% | 1.8 | 19.6% | 15.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 5.53 | 4.44 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 17 | 200 | 912 | 179 | 137 | 18 | 15% | 1.8 | 19.6% | 15.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 5.53 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Murdock (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 21.3% | 13.8% | 2.0% | — | 4.59 | 21.4% | 7.9% | 28 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 83 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 83 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 82 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.14 | 18.6% | 13.9% | 1.5% | .236 | 3.39 | 23.3% | 14.2% | 91 | -0.75 | 2.23 | 367 | 81 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 80 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 80 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 79 |
| Erik Davis R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 79 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 79 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2029 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 78 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 78 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.34 | 19.5% | 11.2% | 0.9% | .333 | 4.12 | 13.8% | 3.7% | 59 | +0.78 | 3.34 | 117 | 78 |
| Kyle Grana R 2024 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.67 | 21.7% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 109 | 78 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 20.1% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .333 | 3.63 | 21.6% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.23 | 2.59 | 280 | 78 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.59 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 0.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 160 | 77 |