Cole Hillier
P
Eugene Emeralds
+0.0
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.4%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%10.3%
IP58
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL3030
CMD3535
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.45 | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 32 | 0 | 60 | 278 | 64 | 35 | 4 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 2.1% | 3.58 | 4.68 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 35 | 0 | 68 | 298 | 70 | 35 | 2 | 18.1% | 14.5% | 0.7% | 2.37 | 3.79 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 8.44 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 50 | 33 | 7 | 20.2% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 64 | 273 | 53 | 38 | 8 | 19.3% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 51 | 32 | 7 | 20.8% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 51 | 31 | 7 | 21.0% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.81 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 51 | 30 | 7 | 21.0% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SF | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 49 | 29 | 7 | 21.0% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | SF | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 47 | 29 | 7 | 20.8% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | SF | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 45 | 28 | 7 | 20.5% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.94 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | SF | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 43 | 27 | 6 | 20.3% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | SF | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 20.0% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 5.11 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SF | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 19.6% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 5.21 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | SF | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 19.2% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 5.32 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | SF | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 32 | 23 | 6 | 18.8% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 5.45 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 138 | 617 | 108 | 90 | 9 | 17.5% | 14.6% | 1.4% | 3.14 | 4.26 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 0 | 200 | 896 | 157 | 131 | 13 | 17.5% | 14.6% | 1.4% | 3.14 | 4.26 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Hillier (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 20.2% | 13.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.82 | 20.9% | 8.2% | 173 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 94 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 93 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.05 | 3.49 | 237 | 93 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.23 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .330 | 4.35 | 13.7% | 5.0% | 129 | +0.12 | 3.93 | 258 | 90 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 90 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.45 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.74 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.29 | 3.86 | 242 | 89 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.76 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 106 | 89 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.15 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.62 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.47 | 4.15 | 172 | 89 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 88 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.51 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .293 | 7.98 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.47 | 4.42 | 155 | 88 |
| Merrick Baldo R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.61 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 116 | 88 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.00 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.26 | 3.66 | 154 | 88 |
| Armando Rivero R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 87 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.17 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .284 | 2.58 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.59 | 1.53 | 433 | 87 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 87 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.48 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.17 | 4.31 | 107 | 87 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.75 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 124 | 87 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.99 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% | .272 | 5.30 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.31 | 4.99 | 105 | 86 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.39 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 1.8% | .326 | 4.50 | 20.2% | 0.2% | 47 | +0.11 | 4.39 | 178 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.08 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 3.84 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 73 | -0.24 | 3.84 | 206 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.