Cole Hillier
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA5.48
FIP5.48
K%17.1%
BB%15.7%
K-BB%1.4%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.6% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 1.59 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.6% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 1.74 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 60 | 278 | 64 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.58 | 4.69 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 60 | 278 | 64 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 1.4% | 3.58 | 3.58 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 68 | 298 | 70 | 35 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 18.1% | 14.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 2.37 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 68 | 298 | 70 | 35 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 23.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.7% | 2.37 | 2.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 24 | 0 | 36 | 167 | 41 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.9% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.94 | 6.04 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 50 | 46 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.48 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.1% | 15.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.48 | 5.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 106 | 463 | 91 | 65 | 15 | — | — | 19.8% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.64 | 5.67 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.1% | 15.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.48 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 44 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.34 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 53 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 52 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 14.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 23 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.34 | 5.33 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 33 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 5.30 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 39 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 14.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 96 | 77 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.30 | 4.94 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 155 | 124 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.30 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 93 | 0 | 169 | 757 | 137 | 107 | 16 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.0% | 14.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.58 | 4.55 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 110 | 0 | 200 | 898 | 162 | 127 | 19 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.0% | 14.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.58 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Hillier (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.48 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 2.6% | — | 5.32 | 18.3% | 3.6% | 206 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 89 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 87 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 86 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 86 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 85 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 85 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 1.6% | .279 | 4.38 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 167 | -0.26 | 4.02 | 328 | 85 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 85 |
| Rob Huber R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 85 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 85 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.46 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 1.9% | .326 | 4.33 | 22.0% | 5.9% | 87 | -0.13 | 4.13 | 217 | 85 |
| Billy Seidl R 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 84 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 84 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 84 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 84 |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 83 |
| Danny Reynolds R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.74 | 16.6% | 16.8% | 1.7% | .263 | 3.67 | 16.0% | 4.3% | 88 | -1.07 | 3.29 | 165 | 83 |
| Tyler Burch R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.70 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 119 | 83 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 83 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 156 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 18.0% | 14.9% | 1.06 | 5.35 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |