David Rodriguez — OGILVIE

David Rodriguez P Rome Emperors

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 196 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%13.7%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%4.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	8	59	250	48	24	4	50%	3.7	13.5%	11.7%	1.8%	1.9%	5.19	4.50	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	8	59	250	48	24	4	50%	3.7	13.5%	11.7%	1.8%	1.9%	5.19	4.50	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	8	59	250	48	24	4	50%	3.7	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	1.6%	5.19	3.57	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	4	69	270	55	17	5	16%	2.7	15.2%	7.4%	7.8%	2.1%	2.75	3.89	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	4	69	270	55	17	5	16%	2.7	15.2%	7.4%	7.8%	2.1%	2.75	3.89	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	4	69	270	55	17	5	16%	2.7	20.4%	6.3%	14.1%	1.9%	2.75	3.19	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	31	0	56	231	57	13	5	0%	1.8	19.0%	6.5%	12.5%	2.7%	3.38	3.80	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	31	0	56	231	57	13	5	0%	1.8	19.0%	6.5%	12.5%	2.7%	3.38	3.80	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	ATL	31	0	56	231	57	13	5	0%	1.8	24.7%	5.6%	19.0%	2.2%	3.38	2.92	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	ATL	5	0	6	24	3	2	1	0%	1.1	13.7%	9.7%	4.0%	2.8%	5.10	5.10	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	62	255	60	15	6	—	—	23.6%	6.0%	17.6%	2.2%	3.53	3.92	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ATL	65	0	68	287	45	27	8	0%	1.0	15.6%	9.5%	6.1%	2.8%	4.96	4.92	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	ATL	65	0	68	287	48	27	8	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.4%	7.3%	2.8%	4.86	4.82	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	ATL	64	0	67	283	48	27	8	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.5%	7.5%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	ATL	62	0	65	274	47	26	8	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.7%	7.4%	3.0%	4.87	4.91	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	ATL	28	0	29	122	19	12	3	0%	1.0	15.6%	9.5%	6.1%	2.8%	4.96	4.92	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	ATL	43	0	45	190	32	18	5	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.4%	7.3%	2.8%	4.86	4.82	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	ATL	50	0	52	220	37	21	6	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.5%	7.5%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	ATL	52	0	55	232	40	22	7	0%	1.1	17.1%	9.7%	7.4%	3.0%	4.87	4.91	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	128	73	22	0%	1.1	16.8%	9.5%	7.2%	2.9%	4.87	4.49	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	81	24	0%	1.1	16.8%	9.5%	7.2%	2.9%	4.87	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		72	12	184	751	119	64	17	17%	2.6	15.8%	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	3.72	4.06	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	13	200	818	129	70	18	17%	2.6	15.8%	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	3.72	4.06	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	13.7%	9.7%	2.8%	—	4.86	16.5%	7.0%	203	-0.24	—	—	—
David Reid-Foley R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	13.8%	8.8%	3.0%	.308	6.54	16.2%	7.6%	33	+1.86	4.68	110	91
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	89
Mark Peterson R 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SU	4.89	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	.277	4.71	15.9%	5.6%	112	-0.18	4.65	185	89
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	89
Devin Burke R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	11.7%	7.0%	2.3%	.275	4.20	13.7%	8.8%	87	-0.07	4.20	149	89
Troy Neiman R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.287	4.47	19.7%	11.7%	135	-0.07	4.03	199	87
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	87
Tyler Barnette R 2016 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	13.0%	10.0%	2.2%	.333	3.99	10.7%	-3.5%	13	-0.47	3.57	173	86
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	86
Robbie Aviles R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	24	SU	4.69	11.5%	8.7%	2.6%	.343	3.63	12.2%	6.5%	58	-1.06	3.63	172	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Raul Fernandez R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	14.2%	9.4%	1.7%	.285	4.79	16.1%	5.0%	103	+0.76	4.03	165	85
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	85
Tyler Wehrle R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	23	SU	4.06	15.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.300	5.42	15.1%	3.4%	60	+1.36	4.06	141	85
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	84
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	84
Robert Kwiatkowski R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	24	SU	4.12	9.6%	7.9%	1.5%	.277	4.35	16.2%	6.7%	164	+0.23	4.03	254	84
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	84
Josh Uhen R 2016 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.303	4.02	15.6%	1.2%	82	-0.07	3.17	185	83
Alejandro Barraza R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	13.2%	8.3%	2.3%	.291	4.64	13.1%	4.7%	93	+0.33	3.27	174	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	16.0%	9.6%	1.11	4.93
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41