David Rodriguez P Rome Emperors
Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 196 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.05
FIP5.05
K%13.7%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
K: -2.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -2.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +13.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +0.97 (101 IP)+1.0WAR
0.10.10.10.10.1262830
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202422MIX2 levels168592504824450%3.713.5%11.7%1.8%1.7%5.194.41
202422MIX2 levels168592504824450%3.719.2%9.6%9.6%1.6%5.193.57
202523MIX2 levels254692705517516%2.715.2%7.4%7.8%2.0%2.753.83
202523MIX2 levels254692705517516%2.720.4%6.3%14.1%1.9%2.753.19
▸ 2026 Season
202624A+Rome Emperors19034141421030%1.822.9%8.2%14.8%2.7%3.213.66+0.4
ROS24MLBATL64067284392680%1.113.7%9.3%4.4%2.8%5.055.05-0.3
ROS24MLBATL013.7%9.3%4.4%2.8%5.055.05
2026 TOT24MLBATL10142581361119.0%8.6%10.5%2.6%4.444.58+1.0
2026 FULL24MLBATL0100013.7%9.3%4.4%2.8%5.054.67-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBATL65068287452680%1.015.6%9.2%6.5%2.8%4.914.87-0.1
202826MLBATL65068287482680%1.016.7%9.1%7.6%2.8%4.814.78-0.0
202725MLBATL28029122191130%1.015.6%9.2%6.5%2.8%4.914.87-0.1
202826MLBATL43045190321750%1.016.7%9.1%7.6%2.8%4.814.78-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career71075316512990%1.116.3%9.1%7.1%2.8%4.854.43+0.4
/ 200 IP190020084413678240%1.116.3%9.1%7.1%2.8%4.854.43+2.3
Career6012161661107611320%2.716.2%9.2%7.0%2.0%3.744.01+2.6
/ 200 IP7415200819133751720%2.716.2%9.2%7.0%2.0%3.744.01+3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
David Rodriguez (OGILVIE) 5.05 13.7%9.3%2.8% 4.83 16.2%7.0%136 -0.22
Devin Burke R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 24 SU 4.61 11.7%7.0%3.0%.275 3.97 13.7%8.8%87 -0.64 3.97 149 90
Scott Burke R 2026 · 4.84 FIP 24 SW 4.84 14.2%7.7%3.6%.316 5.01 14.9%6.7%61 +0.17 4.84 119 90
Aaron Northcraft R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 25 SW 4.50 13.6%10.2%2.3%.286 4.16 16.1%7.8%91 -0.34 3.28 252 90
Kevin Johnson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 24 SW 4.59 11.0%8.5%2.5%.302 5.48 9.9%-2.0%26 +0.89 4.59 106 89
Conor Steinbaugh R 2027 · 4.77 FIP 25 SU 4.77 16.0%9.9%3.2%.281 6.87 14.3%0.8%39 +2.10 4.77 107 89
David Reid-Foley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 24 SU 4.89 13.8%8.8%3.4%.308 6.53 16.2%7.6%33 +1.64 4.89 110 88
Tyler Barnette R 2026 · 4.53 FIP 24 SW 4.53 13.0%10.0%2.3%.333 3.99 10.7%-3.5%13 -0.54 3.53 173 87
Dylan Cumming R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 24 SW 4.25 16.0%10.7%2.1%.311 4.09 18.9%10.2%274 -0.16 3.69 366 87
Mark Peterson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP 24 SU 5.15 11.5%8.5%3.5%.277 4.72 15.9%5.6%112 -0.43 4.62 185 86
Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 24 SU 4.28 9.6%7.9%1.8%.277 4.38 16.2%6.7%164 +0.10 4.01 254 85
Troy Neiman R 2026 · 4.93 FIP 24 SU 4.93 13.1%8.5%3.4%.287 4.60 19.7%11.7%135 -0.33 3.84 199 85
Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 24 SU 4.81 15.4%11.9%2.7%.299 4.74 149 84
Robbie Aviles R 2026 · 4.77 FIP 24 SU 4.77 11.5%8.7%2.8%.343 3.62 12.2%6.5%58 -1.15 3.62 172 84
Pedro Echemendia R 2027 · 4.76 FIP 25 SU 4.76 15.0%8.0%3.5%.286 4.02 11.0%5.9%72 -0.74 4.02 141 84
Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 24 SU 3.87 14.3%8.8%1.6%.254 3.87 20.3%8.8%145 -0.00 3.04 219 83
Trevor Foss R 2027 · 4.43 FIP 25 SU 4.43 14.5%5.9%3.3%.308 3.47 17.3%13.8%42 -0.96 3.47 120 83
Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 83
Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP 25 SU 4.75 15.7%11.9%2.7%.262 4.62 16.2%1.8%93 -0.13 4.51 151 83
Daniel Concepcion R 2024 · 5.38 FIP 22 SW 5.38 13.0%10.6%3.7%.271 3.84 110 83
Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP 24 SW 5.35 13.0%12.2%3.3%.275 3.92 22.5%11.6%118 -1.43 2.99 197 83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36815.4%9.2%1.094.92
Vance Worley ('17)37715.4%8.5%1.024.73
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
JC Ramírez ('17)38317.0%7.7%1.304.33
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72