Jack Jasiak — OGILVIE

Jack Jasiak P Akron RubberDucks

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%18.0%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

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K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	0	69	307	50	37	5	0%	2.1	12.1%	14.2%	-2.2%	2.1%	4.46	5.03	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	0	69	307	50	37	5	0%	2.1	12.1%	14.2%	-2.2%	2.1%	4.46	5.03	—
2023	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	0	69	307	50	37	5	0%	2.1	16.3%	12.1%	4.2%	1.6%	4.46	4.21	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	2	67	301	62	22	6	6%	2.1	15.2%	8.6%	6.6%	3.1%	4.57	4.59	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	2	67	301	62	22	6	6%	2.1	15.2%	8.6%	6.6%	3.1%	4.57	4.59	—
2024	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	2	67	301	62	22	6	6%	2.1	20.6%	7.3%	13.3%	2.0%	4.57	3.40	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	69	302	77	19	4	0%	1.7	19.9%	7.1%	12.7%	1.7%	3.38	3.24	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	69	302	77	19	4	0%	1.7	19.9%	7.1%	12.7%	1.7%	3.38	3.24	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	69	302	77	19	4	0%	1.7	25.5%	6.3%	19.2%	1.3%	3.38	2.45	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	38	0	64	275	79	20	10	0%	1.7	25.2%	7.4%	17.8%	3.0%	4.66	3.57	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	38	0	64	275	79	20	10	0%	1.7	25.2%	7.4%	17.8%	3.0%	4.66	3.57	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	CLE	33	0	57	238	74	16	6	0%	1.7	31.1%	6.7%	24.4%	2.5%	3.02	2.71	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	CLE	5	0	7	37	5	4	4	0%	1.4	13.5%	10.8%	2.7%	10.8%	18.00	9.26	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	CLE	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	18.0%	7.7%	10.4%	2.7%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	70	300	83	22	11	—	—	27.8%	7.3%	20.5%	3.6%	4.64	3.64	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	67	0	70	296	56	23	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	7.8%	11.0%	2.7%	4.39	4.38	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	69	291	56	23	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.0%	11.2%	2.8%	4.41	4.42	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	CLE	64	0	67	282	54	23	8	0%	1.0	19.2%	8.2%	11.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.50	+0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	CLE	61	0	64	270	52	23	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.4%	10.7%	3.1%	4.55	4.62	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	30	0	31	131	25	10	4	0%	1.0	18.8%	7.8%	11.0%	2.7%	4.39	4.38	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	42	0	44	186	36	15	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.0%	11.2%	2.8%	4.41	4.42	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CLE	49	0	51	215	41	18	6	0%	1.0	19.2%	8.2%	11.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.50	+0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	CLE	50	0	52	220	42	19	7	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.4%	10.7%	3.1%	4.55	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	143	61	22	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.1%	11.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.11	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	69	25	0%	1.1	19.1%	8.1%	11.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		142	2	269	1185	212	112	29	1%	1.9	17.9%	9.4%	8.5%	2.4%	4.25	4.12	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	1	200	882	158	83	22	1%	1.9	17.9%	9.4%	8.5%	2.4%	4.25	4.12	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Jasiak (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	18.0%	7.7%	2.7%	—	4.43	19.1%	11.1%	206	+0.01	—	—	—
Nelson Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	25	SU	3.42	19.6%	7.7%	1.8%	.293	4.98	17.7%	7.8%	115	+1.56	3.42	258	91
Taylor Grover R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	17.5%	8.4%	1.8%	.317	4.92	19.4%	9.1%	89	+1.24	3.68	239	90
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	90
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	16.4%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.59	2.23	174	89
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	89
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	88
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	88
Alex Hermeling R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	127	88
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	575	87
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	87
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	87
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	87
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	87
Matt Pierpont R 2016 · 3.51 FIP	25	SU	3.51	20.7%	8.6%	1.9%	.295	3.41	21.6%	13.6%	156	-0.10	2.76	280	87
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	86
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	86
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	86
Rafael Pineda R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	24	SU	4.25	14.6%	5.2%	3.1%	.298	5.26	6.5%	-3.4%	20	+1.01	4.25	101	86
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	86
Joe Colón J R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	19.4%	7.4%	1.6%	.312	4.07	20.7%	7.8%	65	+0.80	3.27	113	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	18.9%	8.0%	1.10	4.44
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63