Kaleb Bowman — OGILVIE

Kaleb Bowman P Nashville Sounds

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%17.0%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	33	148	41	10	4	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.5%	14.5%	3.1%	5.94	3.88	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	33	148	41	10	4	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.5%	14.5%	3.1%	5.94	3.88	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	33	148	41	10	4	0%	1.1	27.7%	6.8%	20.9%	2.7%	5.94	3.10	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	39	1	70	280	67	22	7	3%	1.8	19.4%	8.6%	10.7%	2.5%	3.07	3.93	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	39	1	70	280	67	22	7	3%	1.8	19.4%	8.6%	10.7%	2.5%	3.07	3.93	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	39	1	70	280	67	22	7	3%	1.8	23.9%	7.9%	16.1%	2.5%	3.07	3.43	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	38	0	46	183	37	19	5	0%	1.2	16.4%	11.4%	5.0%	2.8%	2.76	4.70	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	38	0	46	183	37	19	5	0%	1.2	16.4%	11.4%	5.0%	2.8%	2.76	4.70	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	38	0	46	183	37	19	5	0%	1.2	20.2%	10.4%	9.8%	2.7%	2.76	4.15	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	33	0	52	244	47	38	7	0%	1.6	16.0%	14.0%	2.0%	3.2%	6.02	5.26	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	33	0	52	244	47	38	7	0%	1.6	16.0%	14.0%	2.0%	3.2%	6.02	5.26	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	MIL	33	0	52	244	47	38	7	0%	1.6	19.3%	15.6%	3.7%	2.9%	6.02	5.02	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIL	52	0	55	231	40	26	7	0%	1.1	17.3%	11.2%	6.2%	3.1%	5.08	5.15	-0.4
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIL	49	0	51	216	38	25	7	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.3%	5.18	5.29	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIL	19	0	20	84	15	9	3	0%	1.1	17.3%	11.2%	6.2%	3.1%	5.08	5.15	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIL	27	0	28	118	21	13	4	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.3%	5.18	5.29	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		46	0	48	204	35	23	7	0%	1.1	17.4%	11.3%	6.1%	3.2%	5.14	4.85	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	145	95	29	0%	1.1	17.4%	11.3%	6.1%	3.2%	5.14	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		139	1	202	855	156	90	24	1%	1.5	18.2%	10.6%	7.7%	2.9%	4.24	4.47	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	1	200	848	155	90	24	1%	1.5	18.2%	10.6%	7.7%	2.9%	4.24	4.47	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kaleb Bowman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	17.0%	11.1%	2.9%	—	5.22	17.4%	6.1%	106	+0.18	—	—	—
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	92
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	89
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	88
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	86
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	85
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	84
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	84
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	83
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	83
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	83
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	82
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	82
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	81
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	81
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	81
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	29	SU	5.54	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	81
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	81
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	80
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	17.2%	11.2%	1.21	5.10
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58