Kaleb Bowman P Nashville Sounds
Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132122vR 113
ERA4.99
FIP4.99
K%17.0%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
K: -3.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -5.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -2.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +11.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+11STAMTotal WAR: +0.06 (94 IP)+0.1WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD4040
K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202326MIX2 levels29033148411040%1.122.0%7.5%14.5%2.9%5.943.80
202326MIX2 levels29033148411040%1.127.7%6.8%20.9%2.7%5.943.10
202427AABiloxi Shuckers39170280672273%1.819.4%8.6%10.7%2.1%3.073.74
202427AABiloxi Shuckers39170280672273%1.823.9%7.9%16.1%2.5%3.073.43
202528AABiloxi Shuckers38046183371950%1.216.4%11.4%5.0%2.4%2.764.51
202528AABiloxi Shuckers38046183371950%1.220.2%10.4%9.8%2.7%2.764.15
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAANashville Sounds22035168342850%1.617.8%17.5%0.3%3.3%5.865.61-0.4
ROS29MLBMIL56058246422770%1.017.0%11.1%5.9%2.8%4.994.99-0.3
ROS29MLBMIL606254310%1.017.0%11.1%5.9%2.8%4.994.99-0.0
2026 TOT29MLBMIL9441476551218.3%13.4%5.0%2.9%5.325.22+0.0
2026 FULL29MLBMIL62543117.0%11.1%5.9%2.8%4.994.61-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBMIL52055231402670%1.117.3%11.2%6.1%3.0%5.035.10-0.4
202831MLBMIL49051216382570%1.017.4%11.4%6.0%3.3%5.135.24-0.4
202932MLBMIL45047200342370%1.117.2%11.7%5.5%3.5%5.295.42-0.5
202730MLBMIL190208415930%1.117.3%11.2%6.1%3.0%5.035.10-0.1
202831MLBMIL27028118211340%1.017.4%11.4%6.0%3.3%5.135.24-0.2
202932MLBMIL30032135231650%1.117.2%11.7%5.5%3.5%5.295.42-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career820863646342120%1.117.3%11.4%5.9%3.3%5.164.88+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084414697280%1.117.3%11.4%5.9%3.3%5.164.88+1.2
Career128118577914786201%1.418.8%11.0%7.8%2.6%4.054.33+2.3
/ 200 IP139120084415993221%1.418.8%11.0%7.8%2.6%4.054.33+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kaleb Bowman (OGILVIE) 4.99 17.0%11.1%2.8% 5.25 17.3%5.9%153 +0.26
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 92
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 89
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 28 SU 4.39 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.65 15.7%9.0%48 +0.26 4.39 101 88
Collin Balester R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 29 SU 4.25 14.2%9.3%2.1%.240 3.40 21.2%15.4%43 -0.85 3.40 116 85
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 19.0%12.3%2.4%.333 3.24 22.5%15.8%120 -1.15 2.96 230 85
Drew Hayes R 2025 · 4.12 FIP 28 SU 4.12 13.8%10.1%1.7%.302 3.34 117 85
Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 84
Jose De La Torre R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 14.5%13.1%1.5%.256 2.88 21.6%14.2%65 -1.51 2.54 130 84
Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP 28 SU 5.09 15.3%12.2%3.2%.347 3.42 173 83
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 83
Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 82
Eder Llamas R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 29 SU 5.20 12.3%8.8%3.7%.261 3.71 11.3%4.6%120 -1.49 3.27 171 82
Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 28 SU 4.58 17.9%13.1%2.4%.359 2.12 162 82
Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 29 SU 3.80 20.6%10.9%1.9%.281 3.81 21.6%12.6%179 +0.01 2.40 617 82
Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 81
Vin Mazzaro R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 29 SU 3.99 13.6%10.2%1.4%.279 2.82 126 81
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 29 SU 4.54 16.5%10.4%2.8%.288 3.57 187 81
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 29 SU 4.86 19.2%8.5%4.2%.275 3.73 18.5%11.1%152 -1.13 3.40 295 81
Noah Song R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 29 SU 4.96 16.6%14.2%2.7%.348 3.62 106 80
Sam Dyson R 2026 · 4.95 FIP 29 SU 4.95 13.1%8.8%3.3%.303 3.28 21.3%15.1%133 -1.67 2.67 333 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45317.2%11.3%1.215.10
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82