Ray Gaither
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 224 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%20.5%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 1.6% | 3.95 | 3.17 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 1.6% | 3.95 | 3.17 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 11 | 47 | 207 | 60 | 22 | 6 | 69% | 3.0 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 3.99 | 4.91 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 11 | 47 | 207 | 60 | 22 | 6 | 69% | 3.0 | 29.0% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 3.61 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 30 | 0 | 33 | 161 | 36 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 16.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.51 | 4.64 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 30 | 0 | 33 | 161 | 36 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 3.51 | 4.66 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 51 | 3 | 63 | 275 | 62 | 34 | 4 | 6% | 1.2 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 3.13 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 51 | 3 | 63 | 275 | 62 | 34 | 4 | 6% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 3.13 | 3.57 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 2 | 29 | 124 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 7% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.14 | 5.10 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 2 | 29 | 124 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 7% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 3.14 | 4.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.46 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 101 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 16 | 186 | 828 | 164 | 112 | 21 | 12% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 3.48 | 4.51 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 17 | 200 | 889 | 176 | 120 | 22 | 12% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 3.48 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ray Gaither (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.84 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 22 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 83 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 81 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 81 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 81 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 79 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 79 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 79 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 79 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.91 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 22 | +0.95 | 2.88 | 312 | 78 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 78 |