Ray Gaither — OGILVIE

Ray Gaither P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 224 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%18.0%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	0	14	61	15	6	1	0%	1.2	24.6%	9.8%	14.8%	1.6%	3.95	3.17	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	0	14	61	15	6	1	0%	1.2	24.6%	9.8%	14.8%	1.6%	3.95	3.17	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	11	47	207	60	22	6	69%	3.0	21.9%	13.2%	8.7%	3.5%	3.99	4.85	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	11	47	207	60	22	6	69%	3.0	29.0%	10.6%	18.4%	2.9%	3.99	3.61	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	30	0	33	161	36	24	4	0%	1.1	18.1%	16.4%	1.7%	2.3%	3.51	4.89	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	30	0	33	161	36	24	4	0%	1.1	18.1%	16.4%	1.7%	2.3%	3.51	4.89	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	30	0	33	161	36	24	4	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	2.5%	3.51	4.66	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	51	3	63	275	62	34	4	6%	1.2	18.7%	11.1%	7.6%	1.8%	3.13	3.90	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	51	3	63	275	62	34	4	6%	1.2	18.7%	11.1%	7.6%	1.8%	3.13	3.90	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	51	3	63	275	62	34	4	6%	1.2	22.5%	12.4%	10.2%	1.5%	3.13	3.57	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	2	29	124	22	15	3	7%	1.1	15.4%	11.2%	4.3%	3.0%	3.14	4.88	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	2	29	124	22	15	3	7%	1.1	15.4%	11.2%	4.3%	3.0%	3.14	4.88	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	2	29	124	22	15	3	7%	1.1	17.7%	12.1%	5.6%	2.4%	3.14	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	HOU	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.0%	11.3%	6.7%	2.8%	4.91	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	HOU	20	0	22	91	17	10	3	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.98	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	HOU	8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.3%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.98	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	33	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.3%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	101	25	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		135	16	186	828	160	104	21	12%	1.4	19.3%	12.6%	6.8%	2.5%	3.48	4.42	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	17	200	889	172	112	22	12%	1.4	19.3%	12.6%	6.8%	2.5%	3.48	4.42	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ray Gaither (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	18.0%	11.3%	2.8%	—	4.98	18.3%	7.0%	22	+0.07	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	87
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	86
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	85
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	85
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	83
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	80
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	80
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	80
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	80
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	80
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	80
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	79
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	79
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	79