Luis Martinez-Gomez

Luis Martinez-Gomez P Knoxville Smokies

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 178 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%20.8%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%4.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF—50

CTRL—40

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	5	29	5	8	1	0%	1.2	17.2%	27.6%	-10.3%	3.4%	21.21	7.03	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	5	29	5	8	1	0%	1.2	17.2%	27.6%	-10.3%	3.4%	21.21	7.03	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	0	5	29	5	8	1	0%	1.2	17.2%	27.6%	-10.3%	3.4%	21.21	8.89	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	4	34	145	32	15	2	40%	3.4	13.9%	15.4%	-1.4%	2.5%	2.94	5.22	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	4	34	145	32	15	2	40%	3.4	13.9%	15.4%	-1.4%	2.5%	2.94	5.22	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	4	34	145	32	15	2	40%	3.4	22.1%	10.3%	11.7%	1.4%	2.94	3.31	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	55	236	68	34	1	0%	1.5	21.5%	16.9%	4.6%	0.6%	1.46	3.76	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	55	236	68	34	1	0%	1.5	21.5%	16.9%	4.6%	0.6%	1.46	3.76	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	55	236	68	34	1	0%	1.5	28.8%	14.4%	14.4%	0.4%	1.46	2.72	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	16	10	62	262	66	27	10	62%	3.9	20.0%	12.3%	7.7%	5.0%	3.94	5.73	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	16	10	62	262	66	27	10	62%	3.9	20.0%	12.3%	7.7%	5.0%	3.94	5.73	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	CHC	2	1	6	26	6	2	1	50%	3.0	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	3.8%	3.00	4.24	—
2026	23	A RAW	CHC	1	1	6	21	7	1	0	100%	6.0	33.3%	4.8%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.89	—
2026	23	AA RAW	CHC	13	8	50	215	53	24	9	62%	3.8	24.7%	11.2%	13.5%	4.2%	4.53	4.73	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	CHC	1	1	5	22	5	4	1	100%	5.2	20.8%	16.1%	4.7%	2.7%	5.22	5.22	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	67	284	71	31	11	—	—	24.9%	10.8%	14.1%	3.7%	4.04	5.69	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	60	0	63	266	58	37	7	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.0%	7.7%	2.7%	4.98	4.88	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	61	0	64	270	60	34	7	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.6%	9.6%	2.7%	4.78	4.67	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	27	0	28	118	26	16	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	14.0%	7.7%	2.7%	4.98	4.88	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	41	0	43	182	40	23	5	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.6%	9.6%	2.7%	4.78	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	0	71	298	65	39	8	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.1%	8.8%	2.7%	4.86	4.37	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	111	23	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.1%	8.8%	2.7%	4.86	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		67	14	155	672	128	102	19	21%	2.3	19.1%	15.2%	3.8%	2.8%	3.36	4.98	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	18	200	865	165	132	25	21%	2.3	19.1%	15.2%	3.8%	2.8%	3.36	4.98	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Martinez-Gomez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	20.8%	16.1%	2.7%	—	4.77	21.9%	8.7%	127	-0.45	—	—	—
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	89
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	88
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	88
Corey Black R 2015 · 4.19 FIP	23	SW	4.19	22.1%	13.9%	2.2%	.310	3.56	22.1%	6.0%	53	-0.63	3.56	139	87
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	87
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	86
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	85
Alex Amalfi R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	22	SW	4.24	19.9%	18.5%	0.9%	.300	4.43	22.7%	10.8%	249	+0.19	2.67	299	83
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	82
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	81
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	81
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	81
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	80
Yohan Ramírez R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	23	SW	4.72	18.2%	14.6%	2.4%	.243	4.16	27.6%	10.7%	172	-0.56	2.80	678	79
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	79
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	79
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	78
Dylan King R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	22	SW	4.43	21.4%	20.5%	1.0%	.233	4.79	27.1%	17.7%	90	+0.36	3.78	121	78
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	21.5%	14.2%	1.03	4.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41