Tanner Burns

P Columbus Clippers
Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA
Overview
AAAPROSPECT
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202526AAACLE240355.864.6017.7%12.0%—K 15.2% · BB 10.8% · FIP 4.58
202627AAACLE240277.094.8622.5%17.1%—K 19.3% · BB 15.3% · FIP 4.82
2027PROJ28MLBCLE2025.145.1418.8%12.9%-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB29MLBCLE6065.135.1819.0%12.8%-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsLuis Mateo (age 27) · Thad Weber (age 28) · Spencer Bivens (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115
ERA5.14
FIP5.14
K%18.8%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%5.9%
Proj IP20
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -1.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.14 (20 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.10.02728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202122A+ MLELake County Captains181876315912910100%4.222.2%10.6%11.7%3.2%3.574.34—
202122A+ RAWLake County Captains181876315912910100%4.228.9%9.2%19.7%3.2%3.573.56—
202223AA MLEAkron RubberDucks212189388924514100%4.219.2%12.8%6.4%4.3%3.555.44—
202223AA RAWAkron RubberDucks212189388924514100%4.223.7%11.6%12.1%3.6%3.554.60—
202324AA MLEAkron RubberDucks29148736086411148%3.019.4%12.5%6.8%4.0%3.015.27—
202324AA RAWAkron RubberDucks29148736086411148%3.023.9%11.4%12.5%3.1%3.014.18—
202425AAA MLEColumbus Clippers510693087046110%1.319.5%13.4%6.1%3.7%4.595.19—
202425AAA MLEColumbus Clippers510693087046110%1.319.5%13.4%6.1%3.7%4.595.19—
202425AAA RAWColumbus Clippers510693087046110%1.322.7%14.9%7.8%3.6%4.595.15—
202526AAA MLEColumbus Clippers24035158281940%1.515.2%10.8%4.4%2.5%5.864.58—
202526AAA MLEColumbus Clippers24035158281940%1.515.2%10.8%4.4%2.5%5.864.58—
202526AAA RAWColumbus Clippers24035158281940%1.517.7%12.0%5.7%2.5%5.864.60—
202627AAA MLEColumbus Clippers24027129292230%1.119.3%15.3%4.0%2.6%7.094.82—
202627AAA MLEColumbus Clippers24027129292230%1.119.3%15.3%4.0%2.6%7.094.82—
202627AAA RAWColumbus Clippers24027129292230%1.122.5%17.1%5.4%2.3%7.094.86—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202728MLBCLE20282100%1.018.8%12.9%5.9%2.9%5.145.14-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202829MLB MLECLE150166613820%1.019.0%12.8%6.2%3.1%5.135.18-0.1
202829MLB CTXCLE606255310%1.019.0%12.8%6.2%3.1%5.135.18-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW506245310%1.119.0%12.8%6.2%3.1%5.134.80-0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW1900200844174105350%1.119.0%12.8%6.2%3.1%5.134.80-0.6
Career— MLE1675338216583232066032%2.319.5%12.4%7.1%3.6%4.085.02-0.1
/ 200 IP— MLE88282008691701083132%2.319.5%12.4%7.1%3.6%4.085.02-1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 27 IPFIP 4.64 → 4.82 (+0.18)K% 22.5% → 19.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.48%—×0.86019.33%
BB% (unintentional) /BF17.05%—×0.90015.35%
HR / BF /BF2.33%÷1.000×1.1002.56%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.64 → 4.82, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 35 IPFIP 4.52 → 4.58 (+0.07)K% 17.7% → 15.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF17.72%—×0.86015.24%
BB% (unintentional) /BF12.03%—×0.90010.82%
HR / BF /BF2.53%÷1.093×1.1002.55%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 118).

Result: FIP 4.52 → 4.58, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 69 IPFIP 5.03 → 5.19 (+0.15)K% 22.7% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.73%—×0.86019.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF14.94%—×0.90013.44%
HR / BF /BF3.57%÷1.060×1.1003.70%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 112).

Result: FIP 5.03 → 5.19, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 87 IPFIP 4.20 → 5.27 (+1.07)K% 23.9% → 19.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF23.89%—×0.81019.35%
BB% (unintentional) /BF11.39%—×1.10012.53%
HR / BF /BF3.06%÷0.909×1.2004.04%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).

Result: FIP 4.20 → 5.27, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAkron RubberDucks · 89 IPFIP 4.55 → 5.44 (+0.89)K% 23.7% → 19.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF23.71%—×0.81019.21%
BB% (unintentional) /BF11.60%—×1.10012.76%
HR / BF /BF3.61%÷1.014×1.2004.27%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).

Result: FIP 4.55 → 5.44, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Lake County Captains · 76 IPFIP 3.57 → 4.34 (+0.78)K% 28.9% → 22.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF28.89%—×0.77022.24%
BB% (unintentional) /BF9.21%—×1.15010.59%
HR / BF /BF3.17%÷1.222×1.2503.25%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 144).

Result: FIP 3.57 → 4.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).