Tanner Burns
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA5.01
FIP5.01
K%20.0%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%7.8%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 18 | 18 | 76 | 315 | 91 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 4.2 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 3.57 | 4.07 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 18 | 18 | 76 | 315 | 91 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 4.2 | 28.9% | 9.2% | 19.7% | 3.2% | 3.57 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 21 | 21 | 89 | 388 | 92 | 45 | 14 | 100% | 4.2 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.55 | 5.41 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 21 | 21 | 89 | 388 | 92 | 45 | 14 | 100% | 4.2 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 3.55 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 29 | 14 | 87 | 360 | 86 | 41 | 11 | 48% | 3.0 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.01 | 5.52 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 29 | 14 | 87 | 360 | 86 | 41 | 11 | 48% | 3.0 | 23.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 3.01 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 51 | 0 | 69 | 308 | 70 | 46 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 15.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 5.32 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 51 | 0 | 69 | 308 | 70 | 46 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.7% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 5.15 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 24 | 0 | 35 | 158 | 28 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.6% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.86 | 4.67 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 24 | 0 | 35 | 158 | 28 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.7% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 5.86 | 4.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 21 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 25 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 17.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 7.04 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 53 | 238 | 50 | 33 | 6 | — | — | 21.2% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 5.89 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | 20.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 28 | 0 | 29 | 123 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 4.64 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 104 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 53 | 378 | 1640 | 322 | 215 | 58 | 32% | 2.3 | 19.7% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.05 | 5.04 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 28 | 200 | 868 | 171 | 114 | 31 | 32% | 2.3 | 19.7% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.05 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Burns (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.01 | 20.0% | 12.2% | 3.0% | — | 5.02 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 29 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 86 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 82 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 79 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 79 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Logan Taylor R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 78 |
| Josh Zeid R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 77 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 77 |
| Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.83 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .305 | 5.33 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 41 | +0.50 | 3.11 | 313 | 76 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 76 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 76 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 76 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.21 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.04 | 5.04 | 129 | 76 |
| Linder Castro R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 76 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 75 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 75 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 75 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 20.1% | 12.2% | 1.19 | 5.00 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |