Jimmy Kingsbury — OGILVIE

Jimmy Kingsbury P Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 RHP 5'11" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%16.4%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	8	7	33	132	39	11	2	88%	4.1	21.9%	9.8%	12.0%	2.3%	2.20	3.76	—
2021	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	8	7	33	132	39	11	2	88%	4.1	29.5%	8.3%	21.2%	1.5%	2.20	2.52	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	11	53	241	56	23	1	69%	3.3	18.3%	12.4%	5.9%	0.7%	4.39	3.51	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	11	53	241	56	23	1	69%	3.3	23.2%	9.5%	13.7%	0.4%	4.39	2.54	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	31	8	60	266	63	23	9	26%	1.9	18.2%	9.9%	8.3%	4.2%	4.65	5.11	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	31	8	60	266	63	23	9	26%	1.9	18.2%	9.9%	8.3%	4.2%	4.65	5.11	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	31	8	60	266	63	23	9	26%	1.9	23.7%	8.6%	15.0%	3.4%	4.65	4.10	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	2	62	261	58	22	4	5%	1.6	17.6%	9.7%	7.9%	1.7%	2.76	3.78	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	2	62	261	58	22	4	5%	1.6	17.6%	9.7%	7.9%	1.7%	2.76	3.78	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	2	62	261	58	22	4	5%	1.6	22.2%	8.4%	13.8%	1.5%	2.76	3.13	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	44	2	71	285	60	18	4	5%	1.6	17.1%	6.9%	10.1%	2.1%	2.93	3.69	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	44	2	71	285	60	18	4	5%	1.6	17.1%	6.9%	10.1%	2.1%	2.93	3.69	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	44	2	71	285	60	18	4	5%	1.6	21.1%	6.3%	14.7%	1.4%	2.93	2.90	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	39	0	58	249	60	18	4	0%	1.5	19.5%	8.0%	11.6%	1.9%	4.17	3.52	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	39	0	58	249	60	18	4	0%	1.5	19.5%	8.0%	11.6%	1.9%	4.17	3.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	SEA	39	0	58	249	60	18	4	0%	1.5	24.1%	7.2%	16.9%	1.6%	4.17	2.86	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	SEA	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	16.4%	7.6%	8.8%	2.7%	4.55	4.55	0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	64	274	64	20	5	—	—	23.4%	7.3%	16.1%	1.7%	4.20	3.61	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	287	49	23	8	0%	1.0	16.9%	7.9%	9.0%	2.8%	4.58	4.61	-0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	274	47	22	8	0%	1.0	17.2%	8.2%	9.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.72	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	25	0	26	110	19	9	3	0%	1.0	16.9%	7.9%	9.0%	2.8%	4.58	4.61	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	34	0	36	152	26	12	5	0%	1.1	17.2%	8.2%	9.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	45	21	8	0%	1.0	17.1%	8.1%	9.0%	2.9%	4.63	4.30	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	146	68	26	0%	1.1	17.1%	8.1%	9.0%	2.9%	4.63	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		178	30	337	1434	265	134	31	17%	1.9	18.5%	9.4%	9.1%	2.2%	3.58	3.92	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	18	200	851	157	80	18	17%	1.9	18.5%	9.4%	9.1%	2.2%	3.58	3.92	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jimmy Kingsbury (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	16.4%	7.6%	2.7%	—	4.66	17.1%	9.0%	133	+0.11	—	—	—
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	89
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	88
David Martinez R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	14.2%	8.3%	1.8%	.284	4.76	15.0%	7.9%	230	+0.84	3.92	297	87
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	86
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	85
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	85
Pedro Beato R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.93	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.46	3.47	295	85
Cody Hall R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.5%	9.3%	1.1%	.306	4.08	23.1%	11.7%	66	+0.57	3.51	134	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	84
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	84
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	83
John Church R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	28	SU	3.84	13.2%	5.7%	2.1%	.278	2.78	17.7%	8.4%	30	-1.06	2.78	101	83
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	83
Tristan Archer R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	27	SU	3.65	18.0%	7.2%	2.1%	.286	5.11	15.0%	6.8%	30	+1.46	2.40	321	83
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	16.4%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.59	2.23	174	82
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	82
Derek Self R 2017 · 4.89 FIP	27	SU	4.89	11.9%	6.7%	3.5%	.273	4.66	14.5%	10.7%	131	-0.23	3.82	302	82
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	82
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	82
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	16.8%	7.9%	1.11	4.60
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97