Jimmy Kingsbury
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 27
RHP
5'11" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 105
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
K%16.4%
BB%7.4%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 8 | 7 | 33 | 132 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 88% | 4.1 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 2.20 | 4.00 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 8 | 7 | 33 | 132 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 88% | 4.1 | 29.5% | 8.3% | 21.2% | 1.5% | 2.20 | 2.52 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 11 | 53 | 241 | 56 | 23 | 1 | 69% | 3.3 | 18.3% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 4.39 | 3.59 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 11 | 53 | 241 | 56 | 23 | 1 | 69% | 3.3 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 0.4% | 4.39 | 2.54 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 31 | 8 | 60 | 266 | 63 | 23 | 9 | 26% | 1.9 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 4.65 | 5.09 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 31 | 8 | 60 | 266 | 63 | 23 | 9 | 26% | 1.9 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 2 | 62 | 261 | 58 | 22 | 4 | 5% | 1.6 | 17.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 2.76 | 3.66 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 2 | 62 | 261 | 58 | 22 | 4 | 5% | 1.6 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 1.5% | 2.76 | 3.13 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 44 | 2 | 71 | 285 | 60 | 18 | 4 | 5% | 1.6 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 2.93 | 4.08 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 44 | 2 | 71 | 285 | 60 | 18 | 4 | 5% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 14.7% | 1.4% | 2.93 | 2.90 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 25 | 0 | 35 | 146 | 35 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 4.37 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 48 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 105 | 442 | 83 | 35 | 11 | — | — | 18.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 4.54 | 4.43 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 49 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.67 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 47 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 44 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.93 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 0 | 104 | 441 | 75 | 36 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.43 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 69 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 30 | 314 | 1331 | 245 | 129 | 32 | 18% | 1.9 | 18.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 3.56 | 4.10 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 19 | 200 | 849 | 156 | 82 | 20 | 18% | 1.9 | 18.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 3.56 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jimmy Kingsbury (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 16.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.79 | 17.1% | 9.0% | 194 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 88 |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 87 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.6% | .284 | 4.80 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 297 | 85 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 84 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .246 | 3.53 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.05 | 2.96 | 160 | 84 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 83 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .306 | 4.31 | 23.1% | 11.7% | 66 | +0.78 | 3.53 | 134 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 82 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Jose Casilla R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 82 |
| Derek Self R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.95 | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | .273 | 4.79 | 14.5% | 10.7% | 131 | -0.16 | 3.61 | 302 | 82 |
| John Church R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% | .278 | 2.78 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 30 | -0.96 | 2.78 | 101 | 82 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 82 |
| Ronnie Shaban R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 14.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 104 | 81 |
| Tristan Archer R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 18.0% | 7.2% | 1.9% | .286 | 5.21 | 15.0% | 6.8% | 30 | +1.67 | 2.30 | 321 | 81 |
| Scott Burke R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 119 | 81 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 16.9% | 7.9% | 1.19 | 4.70 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |