Ryan Zeferjahn
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 209 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10091vR 82
ERA3.78
FIP3.93
K%30.8%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%17.4%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.5
Whiff%
p9033.4%
K%
p9031.9%
xwOBA vs
p810.282
SL+0.8 (51%)
SI (17%)
CU (1%)
FB (48%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 56 | 250 | 59 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 3.5 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 5.98 | 4.23 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 56 | 250 | 59 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 3.5 | 23.6% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | 5.98 | 2.88 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 71 | 305 | 80 | 33 | 7 | 15% | 2.1 | 21.0% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.45 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 71 | 305 | 80 | 33 | 7 | 15% | 2.1 | 26.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 2.3% | 5.05 | 3.52 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 46 | 216 | 70 | 40 | 7 | 3% | 1.3 | 27.0% | 21.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.70 | 5.61 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 46 | 216 | 70 | 40 | 7 | 3% | 1.3 | 32.4% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 1 | 63 | 261 | 79 | 25 | 4 | 2% | 1.5 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 3.00 | 3.30 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 1 | 63 | 261 | 79 | 25 | 4 | 2% | 1.5 | 30.3% | 9.6% | 20.7% | 1.5% | 3.00 | 2.61 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 1 | 57 | 257 | 73 | 32 | 12 | 2% | 0.9 | 28.4% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 4.74 | 4.93 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 1 | 57 | 257 | 73 | 32 | 12 | 2% | 0.9 | 28.4% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 4.7% | 4.74 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 38 | 0 | 44 | 192 | 61 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.8% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 2.1% | 3.89 | 3.41 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 3.2% | 3.78 | 3.93 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 3.2% | 3.78 | 3.93 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 69 | 296 | 93 | 42 | 7 | — | — | 31.4% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 3.85 | 3.60 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 69 | 290 | 93 | 42 | 7 | — | — | 32.1% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 2.5% | 3.85 | 3.60 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 62 | 0 | 66 | 277 | 83 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 76 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.3% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 3.5% | 4.56 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 79 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 73 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 3.5% | 4.56 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 250 | 1 | 263 | 1127 | 335 | 149 | 37 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 4.21 | 4.05 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 1 | 200 | 856 | 254 | 113 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 4.21 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 228 | 24 | 337 | 1481 | 369 | 192 | 46 | 11% | 1.5 | 24.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.33 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 14 | 200 | 879 | 219 | 114 | 27 | 11% | 1.5 | 24.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Zeferjahn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 29.8% | 12.7% | 3.6% | — | 4.59 | 29.7% | 15.9% | 127 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 81 |
| Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 29.7% | 16.5% | 3.9% | .250 | 4.08 | 28.9% | 11.6% | 97 | -0.73 | 3.16 | 266 | 75 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 74 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 74 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.68 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .389 | 4.81 | 29.1% | 19.7% | 116 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 220 | 73 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.44 | 29.2% | 12.4% | 2.2% | .353 | 2.98 | 35.5% | 27.4% | 61 | -0.46 | 1.52 | 452 | 73 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 28.0% | 9.2% | 4.6% | .236 | 4.98 | 17.1% | 4.4% | 138 | +0.54 | 3.57 | 291 | 72 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .253 | 3.91 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 154 | +0.37 | 2.90 | 484 | 71 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2029 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 71 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 71 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .277 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | -0.06 | 2.78 | 596 | 70 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 70 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 70 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 70 |
| Steven Wilson R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.29 | 26.0% | 11.9% | 3.4% | .217 | 4.58 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 102 | +0.29 | 3.36 | 311 | 70 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 70 |
| Justin Grimm R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.12 | 26.5% | 11.4% | 5.1% | .270 | 3.81 | 24.3% | 12.3% | 103 | -1.31 | 2.93 | 335 | 70 |
| Lucas Erceg R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 25.8% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.10 | 22.2% | 14.8% | 160 | -0.52 | 2.09 | 339 | 69 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.64 | 36.2% | 13.8% | 3.4% | .259 | 2.88 | 31.9% | 24.0% | 128 | -0.76 | 2.45 | 394 | 69 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 65 | 29.7% | 13.4% | 1.34 | 4.43 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |