Ryan Zeferjahn
P
Los Angeles Angels
+0.3
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 209 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA4.47
FIP4.64
xFIP4.34
SIERA3.79
K%26.7%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%15.3%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
STUF6060
CTRL3030
CMD5050
K†7070
FB Velo
p8496.9
Whiff%
p8831.3%
K%
p7526.9%
xwOBA vs
p900.246
SL+0.8 (53%)
CT (1%)
SI (21%)
FB (46%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Salem Red Sox | 16 | 16 | 56 | 250 | 59 | 18 | 4 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 5.98 | 4.20 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 34 | 5 | 71 | 305 | 80 | 33 | 7 | 21.0% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.45 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 36 | 1 | 46 | 216 | 70 | 40 | 7 | 27.0% | 21.6% | 4.0% | 4.70 | 5.73 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 42 | 1 | 63 | 261 | 79 | 25 | 4 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 1.9% | 3.00 | 3.16 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 1 | 57 | 257 | 73 | 32 | 12 | 28.4% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 4.74 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 6 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 13 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.82 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 61 | 24 | 7 | 30.3% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 4.39 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 57 | 240 | 74 | 28 | 7 | 30.6% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 3.70 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 56 | — | 56 | 234 | 69 | 28 | 8 | 29.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 4.26 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 65 | 27 | 8 | 28.4% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 4.34 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 60 | 26 | 7 | 27.6% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 4.43 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 56 | 25 | 7 | 26.9% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 4.54 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 53 | 24 | 7 | 26.2% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 49 | 23 | 7 | 25.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 24.8% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 4.93 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 24.0% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 5.09 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 196 | 24 | 302 | 1329 | 321 | 168 | 41 | 24.2% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.37 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 16 | 200 | 879 | 212 | 111 | 27 | 24.2% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.37 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Zeferjahn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 30.3% | 12.2% | 3.6% | — | 4.40 | 28.5% | 16.8% | 161 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.30 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .271 | 2.97 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.54 | 521 | 80 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 80 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.53 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.06 | 3.04 | 432 | 80 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.54 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .277 | 3.88 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | +0.34 | 2.86 | 596 | 79 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.38 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.49 | 17.9% | 6.5% | 61 | +1.11 | 3.38 | 173 | 79 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.01 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.91 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.90 | 4.01 | 130 | 79 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.48 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .325 | 3.14 | 23.4% | 16.2% | 191 | -1.34 | 2.39 | 332 | 79 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 78 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 77 |
| Ryne Stanek R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 27.2% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .262 | 3.32 | 28.2% | 15.7% | 123 | -0.70 | 2.94 | 708 | 77 |
| José Ramírez R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.63 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 206 | 77 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.09 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.54 | 2.28 | 186 | 77 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2024 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 76 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.38 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .253 | 3.83 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 154 | +0.45 | 2.84 | 484 | 76 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 76 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.37 | 27.5% | 13.4% | 3.4% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 246 | 76 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .358 | 3.95 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.52 | 3.08 | 205 | 75 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 75 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.83 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .247 | 3.31 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.52 | 3.31 | 159 | 75 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.89 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 234 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.