Kaleb Ort P Salt Lake Bees
Age 34 RHP 6'4" / 248 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113103vR 94
ERA4.52
FIP4.72
K%26.6%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%14.6%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP
K: +2.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -4.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -3.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +12.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+12STAMTotal WAR: +0.66 (96 IP)+0.7WAR
-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.6262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD5050
K†6060
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p7529.2%
K%
p6725.3%
xwOBA vs
p750.288
FB+2.3 (54%)
SL+1.7 (23%)
CT-0.8 (14%)
CH-1.4 (8%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201725ROKPulaski Yankees120145123400%1.230.7%9.8%20.9%0.0%0.631.75
201725ROKPulaski Yankees120145123400%1.245.1%7.8%37.3%0.0%0.630.73
201826MIX2 levels35055254694210%1.621.6%18.6%3.0%0.3%3.743.82
201826MIX2 levels35055254694210%1.627.2%16.5%10.6%0.4%3.743.12
201927MIX2 levels33047203712720%1.430.1%14.0%16.0%0.9%3.612.84
201927MIX2 levels33047203712720%1.435.0%13.3%21.7%1.0%3.612.36
202129MIX2 levels43046203621940%1.127.3%9.4%17.8%1.3%2.962.73+1.0
202129MIX2 levels43046203621940%1.130.5%9.4%21.2%2.0%2.962.77+0.9
202230MIX2 levels64069302802950%1.124.4%9.9%14.5%1.7%4.303.24+1.2
202230MIX2 levels64069302802950%1.126.5%9.6%16.9%1.7%4.302.98+1.4
202331MIX2 levels34235160401676%1.023.8%10.2%13.6%4.4%4.674.80-0.1
202331MIX2 levels34235160401676%1.025.0%10.0%15.0%4.4%4.674.80-0.1
202432MIX2 levels52053226642290%1.026.3%10.1%16.2%4.1%4.394.43+0.1
202432MIX2 levels52053226642290%1.028.3%9.7%18.6%4.0%4.394.13+0.3
202533MIX2 levels560522265431100%0.925.3%13.4%11.9%3.9%4.644.80-0.2
202533MIX2 levels560522265431100%0.923.9%13.7%10.2%4.4%4.645.30-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202634AAASalt Lake Bees37139189472753%1.021.9%15.0%6.9%2.9%6.524.75-0.1
ROS34MLBLAA55058243652990%1.026.6%12.0%14.6%3.6%4.524.72-0.1
ROS34MLBLAA606257310%1.026.6%12.0%14.6%3.6%4.524.72-0.0
2026 TOT34MLBLAA96432112561425.9%13.0%12.9%3.2%5.324.73+0.7
2026 FULL34MLBLAA62463126.6%12.0%14.6%3.6%4.524.34+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735MLBLAA49052218562790%1.125.7%12.6%13.1%3.9%4.845.06-0.3
202836MLBLAA44046193482580%1.024.6%13.2%11.5%4.3%5.195.43-0.5
202937MLBLAA38040169402380%1.123.6%13.8%9.8%4.7%5.575.83-0.6
202735MLBLAA303133200%1.025.7%12.6%13.1%3.9%4.845.06-0.0
202836MLBLAA024.6%13.2%11.5%4.3%5.195.43
202937MLBLAA023.6%13.8%9.8%4.7%5.575.83
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career126213156713656262%1.023.9%9.9%13.9%4.6%4.984.89+0.8
/ 200 IP193320086720886402%1.023.9%9.9%13.9%4.6%4.984.89+1.2
Career36634111814457228411%1.125.2%12.5%12.6%2.3%4.163.82+7.6
/ 200 IP1781200883222111201%1.125.2%12.5%12.6%2.3%4.163.82+3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kaleb Ort (OGILVIE) 4.72 26.6%12.0%3.6% 5.41 24.7%11.6%138 +0.69
Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 33 SU 4.99 23.4%10.7%4.6%.254 3.26 122 78
Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 34 SU 3.83 22.6%9.3%2.6%.230 4.59 19.4%12.7%78 +0.76 3.83 208 76
Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 34 SU 3.93 27.5%10.7%3.3%.260 2.48 277 75
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 34 SU 3.89 23.8%8.6%3.1%.309 4.58 16.8%9.0%63 +0.69 2.51 251 75
Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 75
Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.52 FIP 33 SU 3.52 27.3%7.3%3.3%.283 3.52 316 73
Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 34 SU 4.03 23.9%10.6%2.9%.280 2.88 533 71
Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 20.2%7.9%5.1%.289 3.03 120 70
David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 34 SU 3.77 26.8%8.6%3.4%.380 2.56 268 70
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 34 SU 4.82 18.6%9.4%3.8%.232 2.22 187 69
Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 68
Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 20.4%6.4%4.8%.311 2.50 107 67
AJ Ramos R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 34 SU 4.88 27.3%10.7%5.0%.341 2.55 266 66
Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 34 SU 4.31 21.8%13.9%2.3%.343 2.77 110 66
Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 34 SU 4.37 22.0%6.4%4.2%.306 5.16 16.3%4.9%41 +0.79 3.11 113 66
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 34 SW 3.72 23.7%9.9%2.5%.253 5.26 25.0%13.8%32 +1.54 3.41 212 65
Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 34 SU 4.22 18.3%6.6%3.3%.282 3.92 18.6%12.0%67 -0.30 3.92 186 65
Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 18.0%9.6%4.4%.316 3.05 176 65
Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 65
José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 34 SU 4.22 26.2%8.6%4.1%.323 5.60 23.0%12.2%16 +1.38 2.28 279 64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44925.3%12.8%1.584.98
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Michael Kopech ('24)49626.1%12.5%1.454.15
Robert Stephenson ('23)65726.2%9.9%1.394.33
Michael Feliz ('21)54730.5%9.8%1.485.05