Kaleb Ort — OGILVIE

Kaleb Ort P Salt Lake Bees

Age 34 RHP 6'4" / 248 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112103vR 95

ERA4.56

FIP4.76

K%26.5%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%14.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7796.4

Whiff%

p7529.2%

p6725.3%

xwOBA vs

p750.288

FB+2.3 (54%)

SL+1.7 (23%)

CT-0.8 (14%)

CH-1.4 (8%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	25	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	12	0	14	51	23	4	0	0%	1.2	30.7%	9.8%	20.9%	0.0%	0.63	1.75	—
2017	25	ROK RAW	Pulaski Yankees	12	0	14	51	23	4	0	0%	1.2	45.1%	7.8%	37.3%	0.0%	0.63	0.73	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	55	254	69	42	1	0%	1.6	21.6%	18.6%	3.0%	0.4%	3.74	3.86	—
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	55	254	69	42	1	0%	1.6	27.2%	16.5%	10.6%	0.4%	3.74	3.12	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	47	203	71	27	2	0%	1.4	30.1%	14.0%	16.0%	1.0%	3.61	2.88	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	47	203	71	27	2	0%	1.4	35.0%	13.3%	21.7%	1.0%	3.61	2.36	—
2021	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	46	203	62	19	4	0%	1.1	27.3%	9.4%	17.8%	1.7%	2.96	2.91	+0.9
2021	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	46	203	62	19	4	0%	1.1	30.5%	9.4%	21.2%	2.0%	2.96	2.77	+1.0
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	69	302	80	29	5	0%	1.1	24.4%	9.9%	14.5%	1.7%	4.30	3.25	+1.1
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	69	302	80	29	5	0%	1.1	26.5%	9.6%	16.9%	1.7%	4.30	2.98	+1.3
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	2	35	160	40	16	7	6%	1.0	23.3%	9.5%	13.8%	4.5%	4.67	4.82	-0.1
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	2	35	160	40	16	7	6%	1.0	23.3%	9.5%	13.8%	4.5%	4.67	4.82	-0.1
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	2	35	160	40	16	7	6%	1.0	25.0%	10.0%	15.0%	4.4%	4.67	4.80	-0.1
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	53	226	64	22	9	0%	1.0	25.5%	8.9%	16.5%	4.3%	4.39	4.42	+0.1
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	53	226	64	22	9	0%	1.0	25.5%	8.9%	16.5%	4.3%	4.39	4.42	+0.1
2024	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	53	226	64	22	9	0%	1.0	28.3%	9.7%	18.6%	4.0%	4.39	4.13	+0.3
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	52	226	54	31	10	0%	0.9	25.3%	13.4%	11.9%	4.2%	4.64	4.99	-0.3
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	52	226	54	31	10	0%	0.9	25.3%	13.4%	11.9%	4.2%	4.64	4.99	-0.3
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	52	226	54	31	10	0%	0.9	23.9%	13.7%	10.2%	4.4%	4.64	5.30	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			118	2	122	531	126	52	25	2%	1.0	23.7%	9.8%	13.9%	4.7%	5.00	4.97	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	54	1	56	269	65	33	8	2%	1.0	20.1%	11.0%	9.0%	3.3%	6.14	4.60	—
YTD	34	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	54	1	56	269	65	33	8	2%	1.0	20.1%	11.0%	9.0%	3.3%	6.14	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	AAA RAW	LAA	54	1	56	269	65	33	8	2%	1.0	24.2%	12.3%	11.9%	3.0%	6.14	4.25	—
ROS	34	MLB MLE	LAA	5	0	5	22	6	3	1	0%	1.0	26.5%	11.7%	14.8%	3.7%	4.56	4.76	-0.0
2026 TOT	34	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	61	291	71	36	9	—	—	24.3%	12.2%	12.1%	3.0%	6.01	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	LAA	49	0	52	218	56	27	9	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.2%	13.3%	4.1%	4.89	5.10	-0.3
2028	36	MLB MLE	LAA	44	0	46	193	47	25	9	0%	1.0	24.5%	12.8%	11.6%	4.4%	5.24	5.47	-0.5
2029	37	MLB MLE	LAA	38	0	40	169	39	23	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	13.5%	9.9%	4.8%	5.62	5.87	-0.6
2027	35	MLB CTX	LAA	3	0	3	13	3	2	1	0%	1.0	25.5%	12.2%	13.3%	4.1%	4.89	5.10	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.5%	12.8%	11.6%	4.4%	5.24	5.47	—
2029	37	MLB CTX	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.4%	13.5%	9.9%	4.8%	5.62	5.87	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		121	2	126	545	130	54	26	2%	1.0	23.8%	9.9%	13.9%	4.7%	5.00	4.91	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		193	3	200	867	207	86	41	2%	1.0	23.8%	9.9%	13.9%	4.7%	5.00	4.91	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		383	3	428	1894	466	225	47	1%	1.1	24.6%	11.9%	12.7%	2.5%	4.21	3.89	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	1	200	886	218	105	22	1%	1.1	24.6%	11.9%	12.7%	2.5%	4.21	3.89	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kaleb Ort (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	26.5%	11.7%	3.7%	—	5.45	24.5%	11.7%	138	+0.69	—	—	—
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	80
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	77
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	77
Pedro Strop R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	34	SU	4.05	27.5%	10.7%	3.5%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	277	76
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	74
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	73
Brad Peacock R 2022 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	23.9%	10.6%	2.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	533	72
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	71
Bud Norris R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	33	SU	3.65	27.3%	7.3%	3.5%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	316	70
David Hernandez R 2019 · 3.72 FIP	34	SU	3.72	26.8%	8.6%	3.3%	.380	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	268	70
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	69
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	69
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	69
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	34	SW	4.07	23.7%	9.9%	3.1%	.253	5.11	25.0%	13.8%	32	+1.04	3.34	212	68
AJ Ramos R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	34	SU	4.60	27.3%	10.7%	4.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.55	266	68
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	67
Jason Motte R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	34	SU	4.73	22.0%	6.4%	4.9%	.306	5.16	16.3%	4.9%	41	+0.43	3.18	113	67
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	67
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	67
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	176	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	25.1%	12.5%	1.63	5.02
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Michael Feliz ('21)	1.2	47	30.5%	9.8%	1.48	5.05
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15