Amir Garrett
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 34
LHP
6'5" / 239 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION16 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.33
FIP4.39
xFIP3.55
SIERA3.32
K%26.1%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%15.6%
IP16
K†6060
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
FB (37%)
SI (2%)
SL-0.9 (63%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 26 | 26 | 140 | 575 | 133 | 55 | 4 | 17.8% | 11.0% | 0.8% | 2.44 | 3.43 | +3.2 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 25 | 23 | 145 | 585 | 132 | 56 | 6 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 2.55 | 3.62 | +3.0 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 30 | 28 | 138 | 623 | 124 | 62 | 30 | 18.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 6.57 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 66 | 0 | 63 | 264 | 71 | 22 | 8 | 26.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.46 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 69 | 0 | 56 | 246 | 78 | 34 | 7 | 31.7% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 3.21 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 21 | 0 | 18 | 69 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 37.7% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.45 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 63 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 61 | 25 | 9 | 28.4% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 6.04 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 62 | 0 | 47 | 203 | 50 | 32 | 0 | 25.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% | 4.75 | 3.06 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 35 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 34 | 29 | 7 | 25.0% | 17.9% | 3.8% | 4.26 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 32 | 2 | 39 | 175 | 54 | 21 | 6 | 25.1% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 5.08 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 10 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 30.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 7.36 | 4.02 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 16 | — | 16 | 70 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 26.1% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 25.1% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 4.57 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 439 | 80 | 737 | 3150 | 712 | 358 | 85 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.13 | 4.11 | +11.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 22 | 200 | 854 | 193 | 97 | 23 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.13 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Amir Garrett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 26.1% | 10.5% | 3.3% | — | 4.73 | 25.1% | 14.1% | 20 | +0.34 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.20 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 256 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 405 | 72 |
| Jon Lester L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.18 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.52 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 374 | +0.34 | 2.74 | 1,144 | 68 |
| Cole Hamels L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.08 | 23.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .281 | 3.75 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 142 | -0.33 | 3.22 | 893 | 68 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 67 |
| CC Sabathia L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.30 | 18.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | .311 | 3.96 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 481 | -0.34 | 3.75 | 756 | 63 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.04 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 70 | -0.80 | 3.07 | 650 | 63 |
| Hyun Jin Ryu L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.93 | 20.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | .294 | 4.70 | 16.0% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.77 | 2.87 | 725 | 57 |
| Barry Zito L 2029 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 57 |
| Clayton Richard L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.50 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .282 | 5.77 | 10.9% | 1.9% | 45 | +1.27 | 3.58 | 574 | 55 |
| J.A. Happ L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.67 | 22.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.22 | 23.3% | 16.2% | 388 | +0.55 | 3.28 | 1,053 | 55 |
| Eric Stults L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 51 |
| Jason Vargas L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.64 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | .286 | 4.51 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 242 | -0.13 | 3.87 | 478 | 46 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.74 | 20.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 391 | 41 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.05 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 426 | 41 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 39 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.58 | 25.9% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .276 | 4.15 | 20.2% | 13.4% | 322 | +0.57 | 3.54 | 1,073 | 38 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2028 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 36 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 36 |
| Marco Estrada R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.48 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .294 | 5.50 | 15.6% | 7.6% | 167 | +1.02 | 4.04 | 710 | 35 |
| Justin Verlander R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.58 | 25.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .267 | 2.70 | 35.1% | 30.4% | 437 | -0.88 | 2.24 | 1,584 | 34 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.