Amir Garrett
P
Buffalo Bisons
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
LHP
6'5" / 239 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.05
FIP4.53
xFIP3.55
SIERA3.32
K%23.9%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%13.5%
IP24
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p5494.8
Whiff%
p5726.4%
K%
p6525.0%
xwOBA vs
p280.338
FB (37%)
SI (2%)
SL-0.9 (63%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 26 | 26 | 140 | 575 | 133 | 55 | 4 | 17.8% | 11.0% | 0.8% | 2.44 | 3.44 | +3.0 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 25 | 23 | 145 | 585 | 132 | 56 | 6 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 1.3% | 2.55 | 3.52 | +2.9 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 30 | 28 | 138 | 623 | 124 | 62 | 30 | 18.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 6.57 | 5.31 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 66 | 0 | 63 | 264 | 71 | 22 | 8 | 26.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.29 | 3.33 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 69 | 0 | 56 | 246 | 78 | 34 | 7 | 31.7% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 3.21 | 3.72 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 21 | 0 | 18 | 69 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 37.7% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.45 | 4.08 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 63 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 61 | 25 | 9 | 28.4% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 6.04 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 62 | 0 | 47 | 203 | 50 | 32 | 0 | 25.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% | 4.75 | 3.06 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 35 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 34 | 29 | 7 | 25.0% | 17.9% | 3.4% | 4.26 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 32 | 2 | 39 | 175 | 54 | 21 | 6 | 25.1% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 5.08 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 10 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.36 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 24 | — | 24 | 100 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 24.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.04 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 22 | — | 22 | 94 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 23.7% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.41 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 439 | 80 | 737 | 3150 | 712 | 358 | 81 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 4.04 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 22 | 200 | 854 | 193 | 97 | 22 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 4.04 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Amir Garrett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 24.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% | — | 4.65 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 22 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Boone Logan L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.22 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 4.8% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 113 | 77 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.97 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 181 | 74 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | .269 | 2.55 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.29 | 2.19 | 195 | 74 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 3.98 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.50 | 2.66 | 166 | 69 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 67 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 67 |
| Luke Westphal L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.42 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .302 | 5.50 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.08 | 2.97 | 294 | 67 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.59 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.32 | 182 | 66 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.02 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 259 | 65 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.57 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | .276 | 3.54 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -1.03 | 2.22 | 405 | 65 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 65 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.83 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 127 | 65 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 64 |
| Adam Loewen L 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.20 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.6% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 63 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.75 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.42 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 2.97 | 117 | 63 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.45 | 18.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | .283 | 4.23 | 25.7% | 18.0% | 79 | +0.78 | 3.45 | 512 | 62 |
| Andrew Miller L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.91 | 29.7% | 11.0% | 5.3% | .264 | 3.43 | 25.6% | 16.5% | 49 | -1.48 | 1.15 | 336 | 62 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.55 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.77 | 1.56 | 219 | 62 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 62 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 61 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.