Eric Cerantola
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 54 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 93
ERA4.02
FIP4.02
K%28.2%
BB%14.4%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Royals Blue | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 39.1% | 30.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.65 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Royals Blue | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 39.1% | 30.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.74 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 30 | 135 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 3.0 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 16.0% | 4.5% | 5.34 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 30 | 135 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 3.0 | 26.7% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 4.25 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 4 | 76 | 334 | 99 | 46 | 3 | 12% | 2.4 | 23.1% | 15.8% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 3.66 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 4 | 76 | 334 | 99 | 46 | 3 | 12% | 2.4 | 29.6% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 0.9% | 3.66 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 7 | 73 | 322 | 101 | 50 | 8 | 19% | 2.0 | 25.8% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 2.97 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 7 | 73 | 322 | 101 | 50 | 8 | 19% | 2.0 | 31.4% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 2.5% | 2.97 | 3.82 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 38 | 1 | 49 | 213 | 63 | 24 | 4 | 3% | 1.3 | 26.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | 4.04 | 3.53 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 38 | 1 | 49 | 213 | 63 | 24 | 4 | 3% | 1.3 | 29.6% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 1.9% | 4.04 | 3.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 60 | 1 | 67 | 305 | 94 | 47 | 10 | 2% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 3.88 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 64 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.02 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 64 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.02 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 122 | 534 | 158 | 80 | 16 | — | — | 29.7% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 3.94 | 4.17 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 60 | 251 | 158 | 80 | 16 | — | — | 63.1% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 6.4% | 8.05 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 68 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 65 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 65 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 62 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 160 | 0 | 169 | 719 | 198 | 114 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.47 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 850 | 234 | 135 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 181 | 25 | 300 | 1332 | 341 | 193 | 33 | 14% | 1.7 | 25.6% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 3.75 | 4.15 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 17 | 200 | 887 | 227 | 128 | 22 | 14% | 1.7 | 25.6% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 3.75 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eric Cerantola (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 28.2% | 14.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.76 | 27.4% | 12.0% | 115 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 87 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 28.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.34 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.06 | 331 | 83 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 83 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 83 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 82 |
| Jordan Gore R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.24 | 25.8% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .223 | 5.47 | 15.2% | -3.3% | 46 | +2.23 | 3.24 | 113 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.36 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 50 | +1.01 | 2.90 | 159 | 81 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.48 | 29.2% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .265 | 5.47 | 27.4% | 21.2% | 41 | +1.99 | 3.48 | 138 | 81 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 80 |
| Matt Blackham R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.90 | 25.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | .206 | 7.09 | 26.9% | 8.7% | 25 | +3.19 | 2.08 | 187 | 80 |
| Argenis Angulo R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 27.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .263 | 6.61 | 21.0% | 5.6% | 58 | +2.49 | 3.07 | 245 | 80 |
| Michael Stryffeler R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.35 | 30.4% | 17.3% | 3.0% | .277 | 4.75 | 19.4% | 1.1% | 33 | +0.40 | 2.43 | 140 | 80 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 80 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 24.7% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.39 | 22.9% | 7.5% | 129 | +0.92 | 3.20 | 314 | 80 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 27.7% | 15.0% | 1.12 | 4.62 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |