Grant Ford P Altoona Curve
Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%21.7%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.01 (39 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202123MIX2 levels27107736293441937%2.920.1%13.2%6.9%4.1%6.875.34
202123MIX2 levels27107736293441937%2.925.7%12.2%13.5%5.2%6.875.60
202224MIX3 levels8214611112025%1.818.0%19.7%-1.6%0.0%4.404.07
202224MIX3 levels8214611112025%1.818.0%19.7%-1.6%0.0%4.404.08
202325MIX2 levels39055236613480%1.420.2%16.2%4.0%3.2%4.125.20
202325MIX2 levels39055236613480%1.425.8%14.4%11.4%3.4%4.124.64
202426AAAltoona Curve35257263583126%1.617.9%13.0%4.9%1.3%3.953.96
202426AAAltoona Curve35257263583126%1.622.1%11.8%10.3%0.8%3.953.15
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBPIT37039165361850%1.121.7%10.7%10.9%2.8%4.534.53+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBPIT36037157341750%1.021.6%10.8%10.8%2.9%4.594.64-0.0
202729MLBPIT110125111510%1.121.6%10.8%10.8%2.9%4.594.64-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career110124911510%1.121.6%10.8%10.8%2.9%4.594.26+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418886170%1.121.6%10.8%10.8%2.9%4.594.26+2.7
Career109142039221791322613%1.919.4%14.3%5.0%2.8%5.134.83+1.4
/ 200 IP107142009071761302613%1.919.4%14.3%5.0%2.8%5.134.83+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Grant Ford (OGILVIE) 4.53 21.7%10.7%2.8% 4.64 21.6%10.8%37 +0.11
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 83
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 82
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 82
Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 82
Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 29 SU 3.56 20.4%9.8%1.7%.283 4.38 18.7%6.1%24 +0.82 3.56 104 81
Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 20.2%9.8%1.8%.333 4.06 17.7%10.2%75 +0.44 3.62 147 81
Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 28 SU 3.87 24.9%8.8%3.2%.276 2.42 21.7%12.6%34 -1.45 2.42 125 81
Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 28 SU 4.12 22.9%10.0%3.1%.312 3.50 472 80
Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 27 SU 3.89 22.4%11.9%2.1%.247 3.24 21.7%11.9%47 -0.65 3.24 159 80
Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 80
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 80
Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP 28 SU 3.36 21.6%8.5%1.8%.276 4.03 20.3%11.3%85 +0.67 3.27 150 80
Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 28 SU 3.46 19.6%7.2%2.0%.359 5.26 12.8%2.8%47 +1.80 3.46 108 79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 79
Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 28 SU 3.46 22.6%9.0%2.1%.327 4.77 20.9%11.8%74 +1.31 2.32 676 79
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 79
Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.18 21.3%12.5%114 -0.40 2.76 228 79
Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP 27 SU 4.51 20.5%12.6%2.8%.355 4.54 16.5%6.1%39 +0.03 3.57 187 79
Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 79
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 28 SU 3.99 17.2%8.8%2.2%.309 4.16 21.2%13.3%48 +0.17 3.23 253 79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23821.6%10.7%1.114.56
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07