Grant Ford — OGILVIE

Grant Ford P Altoona Curve

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%19.5%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	10	77	362	93	44	19	37%	2.9	20.1%	13.2%	6.9%	4.9%	6.87	5.78	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	10	77	362	93	44	19	37%	2.9	25.7%	12.2%	13.5%	5.2%	6.87	5.60	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	2	14	61	11	12	0	25%	1.8	18.0%	19.7%	-1.6%	0.0%	4.40	4.07	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	8	2	14	61	11	12	0	25%	1.8	18.0%	19.7%	-1.6%	0.0%	4.40	4.08	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	55	236	61	34	8	0%	1.4	20.2%	16.2%	4.0%	3.6%	4.12	5.43	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	55	236	61	34	8	0%	1.4	20.2%	16.2%	4.0%	3.6%	4.12	5.43	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	55	236	61	34	8	0%	1.4	25.8%	14.4%	11.4%	3.4%	4.12	4.64	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	35	2	57	263	58	31	2	6%	1.6	17.9%	13.0%	4.9%	1.1%	3.95	3.83	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	35	2	57	263	58	31	2	6%	1.6	17.9%	13.0%	4.9%	1.1%	3.95	3.83	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	35	2	57	263	58	31	2	6%	1.6	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	0.8%	3.95	3.15	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	PIT	3	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.7%	6.7%	2.8%	4.96	4.96	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PIT	36	0	37	157	31	20	5	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	2.9%	4.98	5.03	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	PIT	11	0	12	51	10	6	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	2.9%	4.98	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	6	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	2.9%	4.98	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	103	17	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	2.9%	4.98	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		109	14	203	922	179	132	29	13%	1.9	19.4%	14.3%	5.0%	3.2%	5.13	5.02	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	14	200	907	176	130	29	13%	1.9	19.4%	14.3%	5.0%	3.2%	5.13	5.02	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Grant Ford (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	19.5%	12.7%	2.8%	—	5.03	19.6%	7.0%	37	+0.07	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	88
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	83
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	82
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	82
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	80
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	80
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	80
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	80
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	80
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	80
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	80
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	79
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	78
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	78
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	78
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	19.5%	12.7%	1.10	4.97
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99