Orlando Ortiz-Mayr

Orlando Ortiz-Mayr P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION88 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.74

FIP5.74

K%15.1%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%-0.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	20	3	61	285	81	32	8	15%	3.0	21.0%	13.2%	7.8%	2.9%	6.79	4.61	—
2022	24	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	20	3	61	285	81	32	8	15%	3.0	28.4%	11.2%	17.2%	2.8%	6.79	3.72	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	13	111	478	93	38	9	48%	4.1	15.4%	8.9%	6.4%	2.1%	4.78	4.08	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	13	111	478	93	38	9	48%	4.1	15.4%	8.9%	6.4%	2.1%	4.78	4.08	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	13	111	478	93	38	9	48%	4.1	19.5%	7.9%	11.5%	1.9%	4.78	3.51	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	27	25	136	593	108	60	18	93%	5.0	14.8%	11.1%	3.6%	3.4%	4.71	5.14	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	27	25	136	593	108	60	18	93%	5.0	14.8%	11.1%	3.6%	3.4%	4.71	5.14	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	27	25	136	593	108	60	18	93%	5.0	18.2%	10.1%	8.1%	3.0%	4.71	4.56	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	24	20	97	425	90	61	9	83%	4.0	17.2%	15.8%	1.4%	2.3%	3.82	4.92	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	24	20	97	425	90	61	9	83%	4.0	17.2%	15.8%	1.4%	2.3%	3.82	4.92	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	24	20	97	425	90	61	9	83%	4.0	21.2%	14.4%	6.8%	2.1%	3.82	4.34	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	22	20	88	398	88	40	4	91%	4.0	17.9%	11.1%	6.9%	1.2%	6.06	3.65	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	22	20	88	398	88	40	4	91%	4.0	17.9%	11.1%	6.9%	1.2%	6.06	3.65	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	MIA	22	20	88	398	88	40	4	91%	4.0	22.1%	10.1%	12.1%	1.0%	6.06	3.06	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	MIA	1	1	6	27	4	4	1	100%	6.4	15.1%	15.4%	-0.4%	2.9%	5.74	5.74	-0.1
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	94	425	92	44	5	—	—	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	1.1%	6.04	3.79	+1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIA	12	12	73	307	48	46	9	100%	6.1	15.7%	15.0%	0.6%	3.0%	5.67	5.73	-0.7
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIA	11	11	68	288	46	43	9	100%	6.2	15.9%	14.9%	1.0%	3.2%	5.70	5.80	-0.7
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIA	4	4	23	97	15	15	3	100%	5.8	15.7%	15.0%	0.6%	3.0%	5.67	5.73	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIA	6	6	35	148	23	22	5	100%	5.8	15.9%	14.9%	1.0%	3.2%	5.70	5.80	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	58	245	39	37	8	100%	5.8	15.8%	15.0%	0.9%	3.2%	5.69	5.39	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	135	128	28	100%	6.0	15.8%	15.0%	0.9%	3.2%	5.69	5.39	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		120	81	492	2179	365	258	53	68%	4.1	16.8%	11.8%	4.9%	2.4%	5.05	4.52	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	33	200	886	148	105	22	68%	4.1	16.8%	11.8%	4.9%	2.4%	5.05	4.52	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.74	15.1%	15.4%	2.9%	—	5.76	15.8%	0.8%	141	+0.02	—	—	—
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	73
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	72
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	72
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	69
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	69
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	69
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	68
Felipe Paulino R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	31	SP	4.55	15.8%	11.8%	2.3%	.312	4.93	15.0%	4.8%	26	+0.38	4.55	150	68
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	68
Alex Blackford R 2017 · 5.59 FIP	26	SP	5.59	14.9%	12.5%	4.0%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	229	68
M.D. Johnson R 2023 · 5.64 FIP	26	SP	5.64	16.4%	12.7%	4.2%	.254	3.52	14.6%	4.7%	67	-2.12	3.52	395	67
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	66
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	66
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	66
Noah Davis R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	26	SP	4.91	15.4%	11.3%	3.1%	.296	4.70	18.0%	8.2%	271	-0.21	3.76	594	66
Mat Latos R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	28	SP-	4.93	13.4%	9.6%	3.2%	.279	5.66	16.8%	5.6%	41	+0.73	3.60	244	66
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	65
Daniel Corcino R 2019 · 5.83 FIP	28	SP	5.83	17.5%	12.2%	4.9%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	299	65
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	65
Zach Nuding R 2016 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	12.6%	9.3%	3.3%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	146	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	72	15.5%	15.1%	1.17	5.70
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91