Alex Makarewich
P
Great Lakes Loons
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%24.1%
BB%15.6%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 10 | 32 | 174 | 45 | 37 | 4 | 59% | 1.9 | 19.7% | 26.7% | -7.0% | 2.3% | 9.28 | 6.07 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 10 | 32 | 174 | 45 | 37 | 4 | 59% | 1.9 | 25.9% | 21.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 9.28 | 5.38 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 75 | 49 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 27.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.07 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 75 | 49 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 36.8% | 24.0% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 3.07 | 3.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 27 | 0 | 32 | 152 | 53 | 38 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.8% | 28.7% | -1.9% | 2.5% | 5.34 | 5.83 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.1% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.84 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 55 | 248 | 76 | 53 | 5 | — | — | 30.7% | 21.4% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 5.13 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.1% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.21 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 119 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 10 | 108 | 530 | 132 | 147 | 8 | 12% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 27.7% | -2.8% | 1.5% | 5.58 | 5.30 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 19 | 200 | 981 | 245 | 272 | 14 | 12% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 27.7% | -2.8% | 1.5% | 5.58 | 5.30 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex Makarewich (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 2.6% | — | 4.58 | 24.4% | 10.7% | 23 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 89 |
| Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.5% | .284 | 4.44 | 16.7% | -5.0% | 31 | +0.12 | 4.32 | 127 | 88 |
| Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 88 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 87 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .278 | 5.86 | 20.3% | 5.0% | 58 | +0.96 | 4.90 | 103 | 87 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 87 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.18 | 22.1% | 15.2% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.59 | 18.2% | 2.0% | 53 | +0.41 | 4.18 | 103 | 87 |
| Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 86 |
| Zane Russell R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.19 | 22.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 5.10 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 71 | -0.09 | 4.28 | 108 | 86 |
| Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.95 | 24.3% | 15.3% | 1.8% | .328 | 3.42 | 26.4% | 17.1% | 108 | -0.53 | 3.10 | 218 | 86 |
| Tyler Schimpf R 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.97 | 24.3% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .300 | 5.60 | 24.1% | 7.1% | 58 | +1.63 | 3.35 | 126 | 86 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 105 | +0.06 | 3.44 | 213 | 85 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 85 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 85 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 84 |
| Jay Driver R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 84 |
| LJ McDonough R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 22.6% | 16.7% | 2.2% | .385 | 4.74 | 20.7% | 5.1% | 76 | +0.21 | 4.32 | 114 | 84 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 84 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 84 |