Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 44 | 0 | 60 | 260 | 80 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.68 | 5.35 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 44 | 0 | 60 | 260 | 80 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.8% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.12 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 29 | 0 | 29 | 137 | 37 | 25 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 20.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 1.53 | 3.80 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 29 | 0 | 29 | 137 | 37 | 25 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 1.53 | 3.13 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 42 | 181 | 56 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.7% | 17.3% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 3.00 | 4.10 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 42 | 181 | 56 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.9% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 1.1% | 3.00 | 3.05 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 13 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.3% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 3.28 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 13 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.4% | 11.5% | 23.0% | 3.3% | 3.86 | 3.46 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 7.20 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 7.20 | 3.98 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 11 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 9% | 1.1 | 11.7% | 33.3% | -21.5% | 5.1% | 7.71 | 9.13 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 11 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 9% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 31.7% | -18.3% | 5.0% | 7.71 | 9.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.43 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 161 | 1 | 197 | 886 | 199 | 155 | 22 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 17.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.48 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 1 | 200 | 901 | 202 | 158 | 23 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 17.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.48 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Simpson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 22.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.81 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 20 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 80 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 79 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 79 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 77 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 76 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.93 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 277 | 76 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 75 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.49 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .262 | 3.63 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | +0.14 | 2.35 | 140 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 75 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 74 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .248 | 7.10 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +3.26 | 2.85 | 141 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 73 |
| Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.37 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .306 | 5.16 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 41 | +0.79 | 3.11 | 113 | 73 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2024 · 3.35 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.35 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 129 | 72 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.45 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 72 |