Caleb Simpson P Columbus Clippers
Age 34 RHP 6'4" / 231 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 6 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%22.9%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP6
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: +0.00 (6 IP)+0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201725A+San Jose Giants44060260803980%1.423.7%17.2%6.4%3.8%4.685.35
201725A+San Jose Giants44060260803980%1.430.8%15.0%15.8%3.1%4.684.12
201826AARichmond Flying Squirrels29029137372500%1.021.9%20.1%1.8%0.0%1.533.80
201826AARichmond Flying Squirrels29029137372500%1.027.0%18.2%8.8%0.0%1.533.13
201927MIX2 levels34042181562820%1.224.7%17.3%7.4%1.6%3.004.10
201927MIX2 levels34042181562820%1.230.9%15.5%15.5%1.1%3.003.05
202129AAAWorcester Red Sox130146121720%1.130.3%12.0%18.2%2.2%3.863.28
202129AAAWorcester Red Sox130146121720%1.134.4%11.5%23.0%3.3%3.863.46
202230MIX2 levels30040187432340%1.319.7%13.0%6.7%2.7%7.204.56
202230MIX2 levels30040187432340%1.323.0%12.3%10.7%2.1%7.203.98
202331AAAColumbus Clippers111126081939%1.111.7%33.3%-21.5%5.1%7.719.13
202331AAAColumbus Clippers111126081939%1.113.3%31.7%-18.3%5.0%7.719.96
▸ 2026 Season
202634MLBCLE606266310%1.022.9%10.3%12.5%3.0%4.534.53+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735MLBCLE190208419930%1.122.3%10.8%11.5%3.4%4.694.81-0.1
202735MLBCLE10141000%1.022.3%10.8%11.5%3.4%4.694.81-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10151100%1.122.3%10.8%11.5%3.4%4.694.43+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418218200%1.122.3%10.8%11.5%3.4%4.694.43+2.3
Career1611197886199155221%1.222.4%17.5%4.9%2.5%4.484.80+1.4
/ 200 IP1641200901202158231%1.222.4%17.5%4.9%2.5%4.484.80+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Caleb Simpson (OGILVIE) 4.53 22.9%10.3%3.0% 4.81 22.3%11.5%20 +0.28
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 34 SU 3.89 23.8%8.6%3.1%.309 4.58 16.8%9.0%63 +0.69 2.51 251 80
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 34 SU 4.82 18.6%9.4%3.8%.232 2.22 187 79
Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP 35 SU 3.51 25.4%8.6%2.7%.290 3.93 22.4%12.7%161 +0.42 3.51 219 79
Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 78
Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 34 SU 3.83 22.6%9.3%2.6%.230 4.59 19.4%12.7%78 +0.76 3.83 208 77
Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 20.2%7.9%5.1%.289 3.03 120 77
Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP 33 SU 3.41 20.2%5.9%2.3%.312 4.36 17.6%4.0%57 +0.95 3.41 144 77
Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 77
Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 76
Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 34 SU 3.93 27.5%10.7%3.3%.260 2.48 277 76
Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 33 SU 4.99 23.4%10.7%4.6%.254 3.26 122 75
Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 34 SU 3.49 18.4%6.0%2.2%.262 3.63 14.0%8.2%40 +0.14 2.35 140 75
Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 34 SU 4.22 18.3%6.6%3.3%.282 3.92 18.6%12.0%67 -0.30 3.92 186 75
Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 20.4%6.4%4.8%.311 2.50 107 74
Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 34 SU 4.00 18.1%12.9%1.4%.333 2.56 147 74
Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP 34 SU 3.84 22.1%8.5%2.8%.248 7.10 19.5%11.0%25 +3.26 2.85 141 73
Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 18.0%9.6%4.4%.316 3.05 176 73
Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 34 SU 4.37 22.0%6.4%4.2%.306 5.16 16.3%4.9%41 +0.79 3.11 113 73
Dustin Molleken R 2024 · 3.35 FIP 32 SU 3.35 24.3%12.4%1.3%.311 3.35 129 72
Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 3.45 FIP 34 SU 3.45 19.9%11.9%1.0%.275 2.80 162 72