Hudson Leach
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 211 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%29.3%
BB%15.6%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 120 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 1 | 39 | 167 | 49 | 31 | 3 | 4% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 20.0% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.26 | 5.23 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 1 | 39 | 167 | 49 | 31 | 3 | 4% | 1.4 | 29.3% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.98 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 0 | 39 | 172 | 63 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.0% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 0.9% | 5.54 | 2.65 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 0 | 39 | 172 | 63 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 36.6% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 1.7% | 5.54 | 2.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 33 | 0 | 30 | 159 | 31 | 36 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.2% | 24.3% | -8.1% | 2.3% | 8.90 | 6.05 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 111 | 59 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 120 | 539 | 142 | 95 | 14 | — | — | 26.4% | 17.7% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 5.64 | 4.92 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 29.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 111 | 54 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.38 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 110 | 52 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.34 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 85 | 0 | 90 | 379 | 107 | 51 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 103 | 49 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 49 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 74 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 84 | 39 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 70 | 0 | 73 | 308 | 86 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 0 | 246 | 1037 | 295 | 140 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.01 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 240 | 114 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 1 | 108 | 498 | 113 | 95 | 9 | 1% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 19.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 5.67 | 4.60 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 2 | 200 | 922 | 210 | 175 | 17 | 1% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 19.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 5.67 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hudson Leach (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 29.3% | 15.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.37 | 28.7% | 15.0% | 272 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 30.5% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .292 | 4.99 | 21.9% | 7.3% | 60 | +1.45 | 3.54 | 117 | 86 |
| Eduard Santos R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 28.1% | 15.2% | 1.5% | .265 | 3.62 | 24.0% | 10.0% | 79 | +0.13 | 2.04 | 138 | 84 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .278 | 5.86 | 20.3% | 5.0% | 58 | +0.96 | 4.90 | 103 | 82 |
| Justin Yeager R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.74 | 29.6% | 15.8% | 3.9% | .230 | 3.35 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 108 | -1.39 | 3.21 | 239 | 81 |
| Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.5% | .284 | 4.44 | 16.7% | -5.0% | 31 | +0.12 | 4.32 | 127 | 79 |
| Lucas Wepf R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.72 | 27.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .304 | 4.02 | 25.6% | 14.1% | 62 | +0.30 | 2.90 | 176 | 79 |
| Peter Tago R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 3.43 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 39 | -0.30 | 3.24 | 207 | 79 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 79 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 2.0% | .287 | 5.45 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 75 | +1.61 | 3.42 | 158 | 79 |
| Johnathan Lavallee R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 26.2% | 14.9% | 1.6% | .245 | 4.29 | 22.8% | 10.6% | 66 | +0.63 | 3.26 | 181 | 78 |
| Steven Wilson R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.13 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .271 | 3.80 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.33 | 3.36 | 311 | 78 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .270 | 4.55 | 21.7% | 5.4% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.72 | 197 | 78 |
| Alfredo Zarraga R 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.82 | 25.1% | 13.9% | 2.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 138 | 78 |
| Andre Granillo R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 2.5% | .228 | 4.07 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 104 | -0.27 | 3.18 | 306 | 78 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 26.9% | 17.3% | 1.1% | .278 | 6.08 | 19.6% | 3.0% | 76 | +2.46 | 3.62 | 183 | 78 |
| Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 78 |
| Peyton Gray R 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 78 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.43 | 30.1% | 16.5% | 1.4% | .250 | 5.39 | 24.3% | 3.1% | 52 | +1.96 | 3.43 | 129 | 77 |
| Trey Wingenter R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.98 | 27.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% | .240 | 3.29 | 33.0% | 20.2% | 51 | -0.69 | 2.81 | 293 | 77 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 90 | 28.7% | 14.0% | 1.12 | 4.43 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Dinelson Lamet ('23) | 6 | 61 | 30.0% | 10.7% | 1.29 | 4.66 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |