Andrew McInvale — OGILVIE

Andrew McInvale P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%23.6%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%13.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	4	2	8	35	10	5	2	50%	2.1	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	5.7%	6.48	5.63	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	4	2	8	35	10	5	2	50%	2.1	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	5.7%	6.48	5.62	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	48	213	70	30	7	0%	1.3	26.4%	16.3%	10.2%	3.6%	4.10	4.92	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	48	213	70	30	7	0%	1.3	32.9%	14.1%	18.8%	3.3%	4.10	3.95	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	2	42	195	45	26	7	7%	1.5	17.6%	15.9%	1.7%	2.8%	7.29	5.15	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	2	42	195	45	26	7	7%	1.5	23.1%	13.3%	9.7%	3.6%	7.29	4.98	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	16	0	23	106	32	14	5	0%	1.4	24.5%	14.5%	9.9%	6.5%	7.04	6.44	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	16	0	23	106	32	14	5	0%	1.4	24.5%	14.5%	9.9%	6.5%	7.04	6.44	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	16	0	23	106	32	14	5	0%	1.4	30.2%	13.2%	17.0%	4.7%	7.04	4.97	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	KC	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.6%	13.0%	3.1%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	KC	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	3.3%	4.61	4.68	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	KC	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	3.3%	4.61	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	3.3%	4.61	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	3.3%	4.61	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		84	4	122	549	127	86	22	5%	1.4	23.0%	15.7%	7.4%	4.0%	5.92	5.34	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	7	200	902	208	141	36	5%	1.4	23.0%	15.7%	7.4%	4.0%	5.92	5.34	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew McInvale (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	23.6%	10.6%	3.1%	—	4.68	23.3%	12.5%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	83
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	83
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	81
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	81
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	80
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	79
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	79
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	78
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	78
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	78
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	78
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	78
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	77
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	77
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	77
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	77
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	77
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	77