Garrett Apker — OGILVIE

Garrett Apker P Asheville Tourists

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 195 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%20.9%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	9	59	281	62	44	9	35%	2.3	15.0%	18.8%	-3.8%	3.7%	7.58	6.24	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	9	59	281	62	44	9	35%	2.3	15.0%	18.8%	-3.8%	3.7%	7.58	6.24	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	9	59	281	62	44	9	35%	2.3	22.1%	15.7%	6.4%	3.2%	7.58	5.21	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	53	216	55	21	3	3%	1.7	19.8%	11.2%	8.6%	2.1%	3.88	4.01	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	53	216	55	21	3	3%	1.7	19.8%	11.2%	8.6%	2.1%	3.88	4.01	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	53	216	55	21	3	3%	1.7	25.5%	9.7%	15.7%	1.4%	3.88	2.95	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	9	47	7	15	1	0%	1.6	14.9%	31.9%	-17.0%	2.1%	6.75	7.05	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	9	47	7	15	1	0%	1.6	14.9%	31.9%	-17.0%	2.1%	6.75	7.05	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	9	47	7	15	1	0%	1.6	14.9%	31.9%	-17.0%	2.1%	6.75	7.81	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	15	2	21	99	24	20	4	13%	1.4	15.4%	23.0%	-7.6%	6.8%	7.17	8.46	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	15	2	21	99	24	20	4	13%	1.4	15.4%	23.0%	-7.6%	6.8%	7.17	8.46	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	ROK RAW	HOU	7	2	10	44	13	9	1	29%	1.5	29.5%	20.5%	9.1%	2.3%	3.48	4.44	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	HOU	8	0	11	55	11	11	3	0%	1.4	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	5.5%	10.64	6.94	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	45	0	47	200	42	24	6	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.2%	9.0%	3.0%	4.88	4.90	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	HOU	44	0	46	194	41	23	6	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.1%	9.1%	3.1%	4.90	4.94	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	HOU	42	0	44	185	39	22	6	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.2%	8.9%	3.3%	4.97	5.04	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	16	0	17	72	15	9	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.2%	9.0%	3.0%	4.88	4.90	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	HOU	26	0	27	114	24	14	4	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.1%	9.1%	3.1%	4.90	4.94	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	HOU	30	0	31	131	28	16	4	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.2%	8.9%	3.3%	4.97	5.04	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		72	0	75	318	67	39	10	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.1%	9.0%	3.2%	4.92	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	104	27	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.1%	9.0%	3.2%	4.92	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		78	12	143	643	107	115	23	15%	1.8	16.7%	17.9%	-1.2%	3.5%	6.09	5.89	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	17	200	897	150	160	32	15%	1.8	16.7%	17.9%	-1.2%	3.5%	6.09	5.89	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Apker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	20.9%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.96	21.1%	9.0%	137	+0.04	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	83
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	83
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	82
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	82
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	81
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	81
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	81
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	41	21.1%	12.2%	1.20	4.92
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22