Luis Ledo
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 240 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.87
FIP4.87
K%20.7%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 5 | 3 | 18 | 72 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 60% | 3.5 | 10.4% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 3.57 | 3.32 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 5 | 3 | 18 | 72 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 60% | 3.5 | 15.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 3.57 | 2.70 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 16 | 14 | 65 | 269 | 55 | 23 | 3 | 88% | 4.0 | 13.9% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.64 | 4.14 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 16 | 14 | 65 | 269 | 55 | 23 | 3 | 88% | 4.0 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 1.1% | 2.64 | 3.07 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 1 | 15 | 68 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 10% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 5.52 | 5.09 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 1 | 15 | 68 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 10% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 5.52 | 5.28 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 32 | 1 | 56 | 255 | 59 | 38 | 6 | 3% | 1.8 | 17.1% | 17.6% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 5.45 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 32 | 1 | 56 | 255 | 59 | 38 | 6 | 3% | 1.8 | 23.1% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 4.95 | 4.41 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 34 | 0 | 44 | 178 | 41 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.7% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.83 | 3.95 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 34 | 0 | 44 | 178 | 41 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 1.1% | 1.83 | 3.26 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 34 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 52 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 1.2% | 4.17 | 3.22 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 34 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 52 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.9% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 1.1% | 4.17 | 2.59 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 47 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 3.38 | 4.87 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 47 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 3.38 | 4.69 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 24 | 16 | 76 | 353 | 62 | 53 | 8 | 67% | 3.2 | 15.5% | 15.8% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 5.66 | 5.15 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 24 | 16 | 76 | 353 | 62 | 53 | 8 | 67% | 3.2 | 17.6% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.66 | 4.92 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 3 | 43 | 209 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 11% | 1.5 | 17.8% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 8.16 | 5.35 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 3 | 43 | 209 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 11% | 1.5 | 19.6% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 8.16 | 5.12 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.66 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 109 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 220 | 38 | 403 | 1769 | 313 | 241 | 42 | 17% | 1.8 | 17.7% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.42 | 4.65 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 19 | 200 | 877 | 155 | 120 | 21 | 17% | 1.8 | 17.7% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.42 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Ledo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 20.7% | 11.5% | 3.1% | — | 5.04 | 20.5% | 8.8% | 25 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 84 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 82 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 79 |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 78 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 77 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 76 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 75 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 75 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 74 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 74 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 74 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 73 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | .270 | 4.93 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.27 | 2.90 | 227 | 73 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 72 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .355 | 4.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 51 | +0.39 | 4.23 | 221 | 72 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 72 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 20.6% | 11.6% | 1.23 | 4.91 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |