Anderson Cardenas
P
ACL D-backs
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 160 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 13 | 12 | 36 | 149 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 92% | 2.8 | 17.3% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 2.48 | 4.19 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 13 | 12 | 36 | 149 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 92% | 2.8 | 25.5% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 1.3% | 2.48 | 2.96 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 12 | 3 | 35 | 136 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 25% | 2.9 | 19.5% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.38 | 5.23 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 12 | 3 | 35 | 136 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 25% | 2.9 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 2.2% | 3.38 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 4 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 25% | 2.1 | 38.7% | 6.5% | 32.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.65 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 4 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 25% | 2.1 | 38.7% | 6.5% | 32.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 11 | 8 | 46 | 189 | 62 | 19 | 1 | 73% | 4.2 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 0.9% | 2.74 | 3.34 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 67 | 277 | 82 | 27 | 4 | — | — | 29.7% | 9.8% | 19.9% | 1.3% | 3.25 | 3.66 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 22 | 92 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 74 | 19 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 24 | 125 | 505 | 106 | 61 | 10 | 60% | 3.1 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 2.66 | 3.93 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 38 | 200 | 806 | 169 | 97 | 16 | 60% | 3.1 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 2.66 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anderson Cardenas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.25 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 22 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 85 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 84 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 82 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 81 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 80 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 79 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 79 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 79 |
| Anderson Brito R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 79 |
| Michael Knorr R 2029 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 79 |
| Miguel Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 5.83 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 108 | +2.53 | 2.55 | 272 | 79 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 78 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 78 |
| Amilcar Chirinos R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.26 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .349 | 4.01 | 19.3% | 6.3% | 147 | +0.75 | 2.86 | 212 | 78 |
| Colin Fields R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 77 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 77 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 77 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 3.70 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 111 | -0.76 | 3.25 | 266 | 76 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .293 | 4.27 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 73 | -0.07 | 3.48 | 153 | 76 |
| Tanner Hall R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 76 |