Kobe Robinson — OGILVIE

Kobe Robinson P Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%20.3%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	3	0	3	16	3	2	0	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	6.00	3.10	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	3	0	3	16	3	2	0	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	6.00	3.10	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	7	3	23	99	31	12	2	43%	3.2	23.2%	14.3%	8.9%	2.8%	3.57	4.49	—
2022	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	7	3	23	99	31	12	2	43%	3.2	31.3%	12.1%	19.2%	2.0%	3.57	3.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	34	0	52	226	64	25	0	0%	1.5	21.0%	13.1%	7.9%	0.0%	4.01	2.98	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	34	0	52	226	64	25	0	0%	1.5	21.0%	13.1%	7.9%	0.0%	4.01	2.98	—
2023	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	34	0	52	226	64	25	0	0%	1.5	28.3%	11.1%	17.3%	0.0%	4.01	2.07	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	20	0	32	164	34	21	1	0%	1.6	15.3%	15.1%	0.2%	0.8%	6.96	4.18	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	20	0	32	164	34	21	1	0%	1.6	15.3%	15.1%	0.2%	0.8%	6.96	4.18	—
2024	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	20	0	32	164	34	21	1	0%	1.6	20.7%	12.8%	7.9%	0.6%	6.96	3.35	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	SD	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.3%	13.0%	7.4%	2.8%	4.97	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	28	0	29	123	26	15	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.5%	8.3%	2.9%	4.89	4.87	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	11	0	12	51	11	6	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.5%	8.3%	2.9%	4.89	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	53	11	7	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.5%	8.3%	2.9%	4.89	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	113	32	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.5%	8.3%	2.9%	4.89	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		64	3	110	505	98	70	4	5%	1.7	19.5%	13.9%	5.5%	0.8%	4.84	3.67	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	5	200	921	180	128	8	5%	1.7	19.5%	13.9%	5.5%	0.8%	4.84	3.67	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kobe Robinson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	20.3%	13.0%	2.8%	—	4.87	20.9%	8.3%	29	-0.10	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	87
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	85
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	85
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	85
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	84
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	84
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	84
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	84
Tyler Mitzel R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	20.8%	12.0%	2.1%	.323	4.14	23.4%	17.9%	58	+0.11	4.03	142	84
Will Latcham R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	25	SU	4.30	18.8%	11.5%	2.4%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	134	83
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	83
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	83
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	83
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.6%	12.7%	1.10	4.92
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99