Robert Colina — OGILVIE

Robert Colina P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.21

FIP4.21

K%23.0%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%14.8%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	13	9	49	192	49	12	3	69%	3.8	17.4%	7.8%	9.5%	2.2%	2.94	3.82	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	13	9	49	192	49	12	3	69%	3.8	25.5%	6.2%	19.3%	1.6%	2.94	2.63	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	15	8	55	241	51	16	1	53%	3.7	14.4%	8.3%	6.1%	0.6%	3.93	3.25	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	15	8	55	241	51	16	1	53%	3.7	21.2%	6.6%	14.5%	0.4%	3.93	2.35	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	8	52	220	59	18	5	67%	4.3	19.0%	9.8%	9.1%	3.1%	2.96	4.42	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	8	52	220	59	18	5	67%	4.3	26.8%	8.2%	18.6%	2.3%	2.96	3.12	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	8	50	221	63	20	4	57%	3.5	20.5%	10.8%	9.7%	2.5%	5.80	4.09	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	8	50	221	63	20	4	57%	3.5	28.5%	9.0%	19.5%	1.8%	5.80	2.82	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	8	68	285	82	17	6	38%	3.2	22.3%	7.1%	15.2%	2.3%	3.72	3.37	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	8	68	285	82	17	6	38%	3.2	22.3%	7.1%	15.2%	2.3%	3.72	3.37	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	8	68	285	82	17	6	38%	3.2	28.8%	6.0%	22.8%	2.1%	3.72	2.58	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	NYM	1	1	4	17	4	1	1	100%	4.0	23.0%	8.2%	14.8%	3.0%	4.21	4.21	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	6	6	43	180	42	15	5	100%	7.1	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	3.0%	4.21	4.20	+0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	3	3	18	76	18	6	2	100%	6.0	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	3.0%	4.21	4.20	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	18	78	18	6	2	100%	6.1	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	3.0%	4.21	3.82	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	196	65	22	100%	6.7	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	3.0%	4.21	3.82	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		75	41	273	1159	219	101	24	55%	3.6	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	2.1%	3.86	3.76	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	30	200	849	160	74	18	55%	3.6	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	2.1%	3.86	3.76	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Colina (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.21	23.0%	8.2%	3.0%	—	4.20	23.3%	15.0%	43	-0.01	—	—	—
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	82
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	80
Hunter Dollander R 2022 · 3.92 FIP	25	SP-	3.92	19.2%	5.7%	3.1%	.311	6.77	17.6%	-0.7%	51	+2.85	3.92	106	79
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	79
Noah Gotsis R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SP-	3.48	16.5%	6.5%	1.7%	.296	4.25	15.9%	8.6%	90	+0.77	3.48	138	78
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	78
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	77
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	77
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	77
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	76
Tylor Megill R 2019 · 3.02 FIP	24	SW	3.02	22.2%	10.4%	0.9%	.331	3.91	26.8%	19.7%	177	+0.89	3.02	603	76
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	76
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	75
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.34	22.5%	9.8%	109	+0.91	3.43	142	75
Michael King R 2020 · 4.56 FIP	25	SW	4.56	21.5%	9.1%	3.9%	.316	2.74	28.3%	20.8%	219	-1.82	1.97	1,014	75
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	74
Tyler Guilfoil R 2023 · 3.18 FIP	23	SP-	3.18	26.0%	12.3%	1.3%	.305	5.52	17.8%	4.4%	190	+2.34	3.18	274	74
TJ Shook R 2023 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	21.0%	9.6%	3.6%	.273	4.07	21.2%	12.4%	191	-0.44	3.35	451	74
Daniel Federman R 2023 · 4.12 FIP	24	SP-	4.12	23.8%	8.3%	3.6%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	119	74
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	43	23.1%	8.2%	1.15	4.21
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97