Colin Fields — OGILVIE

Colin Fields P Erie SeaWolves

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.95

FIP3.95

K%22.7%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%15.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD6565

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	9	48	194	57	16	3	60%	3.2	20.5%	10.3%	10.3%	1.7%	3.17	3.62	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	9	48	194	57	16	3	60%	3.2	20.5%	10.3%	10.3%	1.7%	3.17	3.62	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	9	48	194	57	16	3	60%	3.2	29.4%	8.2%	21.1%	1.5%	3.17	2.54	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	26	21	103	418	104	35	9	81%	4.0	19.2%	9.6%	9.5%	3.0%	3.22	4.36	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	26	21	103	418	104	35	9	81%	4.0	19.2%	9.6%	9.5%	3.0%	3.22	4.36	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	26	21	103	418	104	35	9	81%	4.0	24.9%	8.4%	16.5%	2.2%	3.22	3.24	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	4	71	280	86	19	3	12%	2.1	24.3%	6.8%	17.5%	1.7%	2.55	2.87	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	4	71	280	86	19	3	12%	2.1	24.3%	6.8%	17.5%	1.7%	2.55	2.87	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	4	71	280	86	19	3	12%	2.1	30.7%	6.8%	23.9%	1.1%	2.55	2.02	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	30	4	49	200	62	17	6	13%	1.6	25.7%	9.6%	16.1%	3.7%	3.51	4.19	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	30	4	49	200	62	17	6	13%	1.6	25.7%	9.6%	16.1%	3.7%	3.51	4.19	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	ROK RAW	DET	2	0	2	9	4	2	0	0%	1.1	44.4%	22.2%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	2.16	—
2026	26	A RAW	DET	2	0	3	14	4	1	1	0%	1.5	28.6%	7.1%	21.4%	7.1%	3.00	5.51	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	DET	3	0	4	16	3	0	0	0%	1.4	18.8%	0.0%	18.8%	0.0%	0.00	1.52	—
2026	26	AA RAW	DET	23	4	39	161	51	14	5	17%	1.7	31.7%	8.7%	23.0%	3.1%	4.15	3.23	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	DET	6	0	6	27	6	2	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	6.7%	15.9%	2.8%	3.95	3.95	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	DET	—	—	55	227	68	19	7	—	—	30.0%	8.3%	21.7%	3.0%	3.56	4.16	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	DET	116	0	122	513	116	35	15	0%	1.0	22.6%	6.9%	15.7%	2.9%	4.01	4.02	+0.8
2028	28	MLB MLE	DET	112	0	118	498	112	35	15	0%	1.1	22.4%	7.1%	15.3%	3.0%	4.08	4.12	+0.6
2029	29	MLB MLE	DET	107	0	113	475	105	35	15	0%	1.1	22.1%	7.4%	14.8%	3.1%	4.19	4.26	+0.4
2030	30	MLB MLE	DET	101	0	106	447	97	34	15	0%	1.0	21.8%	7.7%	14.1%	3.3%	4.34	4.44	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	DET	44	0	46	194	44	13	5	0%	1.0	22.6%	6.9%	15.7%	2.7%	3.94	3.95	+0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	DET	67	0	70	296	66	21	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	7.1%	15.3%	2.8%	4.01	4.05	+0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	DET	76	0	80	338	75	25	10	0%	1.1	22.1%	7.4%	14.8%	3.0%	4.12	4.19	+0.3
2030	30	MLB CTX	DET	79	0	83	350	76	27	11	0%	1.1	21.8%	7.7%	14.1%	3.2%	4.26	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		265	0	278	1176	261	86	35	0%	1.1	22.2%	7.3%	14.8%	3.0%	4.10	3.79	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	62	25	0%	1.1	22.2%	7.3%	14.8%	3.0%	4.10	3.79	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		105	38	271	1092	239	98	28	36%	2.6	21.9%	9.0%	12.9%	2.6%	3.09	3.82	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	28	200	806	176	73	21	36%	2.6	21.9%	9.0%	12.9%	2.6%	3.09	3.82	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Colin Fields (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.95	22.7%	6.7%	2.8%	—	4.13	22.4%	15.2%	352	+0.18	—	—	—
Alex Colomé R 2015 · 3.33 FIP	26	SW	3.33	19.3%	5.9%	2.0%	.309	2.95	25.5%	19.3%	191	-0.38	2.72	530	87
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	83
Adam Warren R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	27	SW	3.32	19.5%	7.1%	1.8%	.272	3.72	21.9%	14.4%	174	+0.40	2.72	392	78
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	77
Heath Holder R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	26	SW	3.26	21.9%	7.5%	1.9%	.263	5.51	19.8%	4.9%	85	+2.25	2.94	367	77
Stephen Perakslis R 2017 · 3.07 FIP	26	SW	3.07	21.3%	8.2%	1.3%	.313	5.15	11.8%	5.9%	42	+2.08	3.07	211	76
Carlos Navas R 2019 · 4.06 FIP	26	SW	4.06	20.7%	7.0%	3.3%	.271	6.98	19.3%	10.0%	44	+2.92	2.98	385	76
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	76
Ryan Eades R 2018 · 3.19 FIP	26	SW	3.19	22.4%	7.4%	1.9%	.352	4.24	23.9%	15.3%	64	+1.05	3.19	451	75
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	75
Walker Powell R 2022 · 2.87 FIP	26	SW	2.87	18.4%	6.1%	1.0%	.251	5.24	17.4%	11.6%	147	+2.37	2.87	242	75
Kevin Herget R 2017 · 3.68 FIP	26	SW	3.68	20.3%	7.0%	2.5%	.332	4.67	18.1%	12.4%	139	+0.99	2.19	722	75
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	75
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	74
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	74
Reinier Roibal R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	26	SU	3.11	19.1%	4.5%	1.9%	.262	4.37	16.9%	9.8%	35	+1.26	3.11	133	73
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	73
Kade McClure R 2022 · 4.09 FIP	26	SU	4.09	21.8%	7.6%	3.4%	.317	5.49	9.8%	0.8%	23	+1.40	3.57	388	73
Matt Wotherspoon R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	26	SW	4.30	22.2%	8.8%	3.6%	.311	4.93	21.5%	11.9%	71	+0.63	2.96	419	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	116	22.3%	7.1%	1.16	4.11
Jordan Montgomery ('24)	4.3	124	21.4%	6.9%	1.07	4.01
Alex Cobb ('23)	4.0	114	19.5%	6.6%	1.03	4.14
Tyler Skaggs ('19)	1.7	85	22.9%	8.2%	1.09	4.24
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Luis Garcia ('23)	1.7	113	25.5%	7.7%	1.19	3.63
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20