Chris Campos — OGILVIE

Chris Campos P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%17.0%

BB%6.8%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	5	7	28	9	1	1	83%	1.2	32.1%	3.6%	28.6%	3.6%	4.91	2.80	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	5	7	28	9	1	1	83%	1.2	32.1%	3.6%	28.6%	3.6%	4.91	2.83	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	25	16	69	300	85	30	9	64%	2.8	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	3.8%	5.06	4.91	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	25	16	69	300	85	30	9	64%	2.8	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	3.8%	5.06	4.91	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	25	16	69	300	85	30	9	64%	2.8	28.3%	10.0%	18.3%	3.0%	5.06	3.63	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	110	452	118	30	16	60%	4.4	20.7%	7.4%	13.3%	4.1%	3.43	4.54	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	110	452	118	30	16	60%	4.4	20.7%	7.4%	13.3%	4.1%	3.43	4.54	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	15	110	452	118	30	16	60%	4.4	26.1%	6.6%	19.5%	3.5%	3.43	3.66	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	26	23	127	529	111	32	16	88%	4.9	17.0%	6.7%	10.3%	3.8%	4.19	4.59	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	26	23	127	529	111	32	16	88%	4.9	17.0%	6.7%	10.3%	3.8%	4.19	4.59	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	26	23	127	529	111	32	16	88%	4.9	21.0%	6.0%	14.9%	3.0%	4.19	3.75	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	9	0	11	52	12	6	2	0%	1.2	—	—	—	—	5.91	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	9	0	11	52	12	6	2	0%	1.2	—	—	—	—	5.91	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	LAD	2	0	2	7	3	2	0	0%	1.0	42.9%	28.6%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	LAD	7	0	9	45	9	4	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	8.9%	11.1%	4.4%	7.27	4.98	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	LAD	6	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.1	17.0%	6.8%	10.2%	3.4%	4.79	4.79	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	17	79	17	8	3	—	—	21.0%	9.9%	11.1%	3.7%	5.49	1.78	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAD	19	19	114	481	86	33	16	100%	6.0	17.8%	6.8%	11.0%	3.4%	4.71	4.70	+0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAD	19	19	112	474	86	33	16	100%	5.9	18.1%	7.0%	11.1%	3.4%	4.69	4.71	+0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAD	18	18	109	460	83	33	16	100%	6.1	18.2%	7.2%	11.0%	3.5%	4.73	4.77	+0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	LAD	17	17	104	439	79	32	16	100%	6.1	18.0%	7.4%	10.6%	3.6%	4.82	4.89	+0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	LAD	16	16	98	413	73	32	16	100%	6.1	17.7%	7.7%	10.0%	3.8%	4.97	5.06	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAD	9	9	55	232	41	16	8	100%	6.1	17.8%	6.8%	11.0%	3.5%	4.79	4.78	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAD	12	12	74	312	57	22	11	100%	6.2	18.1%	7.0%	11.1%	3.6%	4.77	4.79	+0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAD	14	14	84	355	64	25	13	100%	6.0	18.2%	7.2%	11.0%	3.6%	4.81	4.85	+0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	LAD	14	14	86	363	65	27	14	100%	6.1	18.0%	7.4%	10.6%	3.8%	4.90	4.97	+0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	LAD	14	14	85	359	63	28	14	100%	6.1	17.7%	7.7%	10.0%	4.0%	5.06	5.15	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	64	385	1625	292	118	60	98%	5.9	18.0%	7.2%	10.7%	3.7%	4.88	4.54	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	33	200	844	152	61	31	99%	6.0	18.0%	7.2%	10.7%	3.7%	4.88	4.54	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		91	59	324	1361	267	111	53	65%	3.6	19.6%	8.2%	11.5%	3.9%	4.19	4.61	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	36	200	839	165	69	33	65%	3.6	19.6%	8.2%	11.5%	3.9%	4.19	4.61	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Campos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	17.0%	6.8%	3.4%	—	4.73	18.0%	11.0%	335	-0.06	—	—	—
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	87
Angel Araiza R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP-	4.57	16.7%	6.5%	3.8%	.287	3.79	15.0%	7.6%	193	-0.78	3.40	289	86
Carlos Frías R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	25	SP-	4.01	14.1%	7.2%	2.2%	.320	4.85	13.0%	2.6%	74	+0.84	3.58	204	83
Steven Bruce R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	25	SW	3.69	14.9%	5.0%	2.2%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.8%	94	+0.25	3.69	148	82
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	82
Parker Curry R 2019 · 4.79 FIP	25	SP-	4.79	17.8%	5.4%	4.6%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	256	82
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	81
Brooks Hall R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	25	SP-	4.12	14.3%	6.9%	2.5%	.291	4.00	14.0%	7.0%	153	-0.12	3.45	274	81
Buck Farmer R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	19.5%	8.7%	3.2%	.309	3.78	20.9%	12.5%	309	-0.51	3.16	907	80
Kolton Mahoney R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	25	SW	3.62	17.1%	4.4%	2.6%	.312	3.73	16.9%	9.5%	198	+0.11	3.56	302	80
Jacob Turner R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	15.9%	7.8%	2.8%	.338	4.63	15.0%	5.3%	209	+0.34	4.29	340	80
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	80
Ryan Etsell R 2015 · 3.66 FIP	23	SP-	3.66	14.7%	6.4%	1.8%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	110	80
Hunter Dollander R 2022 · 3.92 FIP	25	SP-	3.92	19.2%	5.7%	3.1%	.311	6.77	17.6%	-0.7%	51	+2.85	3.92	106	80
Collin Lowe R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	24	SP-	3.62	15.2%	6.2%	1.8%	.292	3.11	15.1%	11.2%	75	-0.51	3.11	165	79
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	79
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.40	16.6%	6.3%	296	+0.18	3.64	391	79
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	79
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	79
Aaron Brown R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	24	SP-	3.98	19.8%	8.8%	2.6%	.337	5.89	16.8%	8.8%	186	+1.91	3.98	418	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	103	17.8%	7.1%	1.36	4.78
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37
Daniel Mengden ('19)	1.5	73	17.3%	7.7%	1.24	4.68
Marco Gonzales ('24)	4.4	111	17.5%	6.1%	1.26	4.13
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56