Chris Campos
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.8
WAR
Age 25
RHP
5'10" / 170 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.0 · 2027
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.7%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%12.0%
IP116
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2027
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.91 | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 25 | 16 | 69 | 300 | 85 | 30 | 9 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 5.06 | 4.92 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 25 | 15 | 110 | 452 | 118 | 30 | 16 | 20.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.43 | 4.54 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 26 | 23 | 127 | 529 | 111 | 32 | 16 | 17.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.19 | 4.60 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 21 | 116 | 490 | 97 | 38 | 17 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.8 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 119 | 506 | 100 | 40 | 17 | 19.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 4.55 | 4.55 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 22 | 123 | 519 | 106 | 40 | 18 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.59 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 23 | 23 | 126 | 532 | 109 | 41 | 18 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 4.57 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 23 | 23 | 126 | 533 | 109 | 41 | 18 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 4.59 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 22 | 123 | 521 | 106 | 41 | 18 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.62 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 22 | 120 | 505 | 102 | 40 | 18 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.68 | +0.8 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 21 | 116 | 488 | 97 | 39 | 17 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.76 | +0.7 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 111 | 468 | 92 | 38 | 17 | 19.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.84 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 106 | 447 | 87 | 37 | 17 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 4.88 | 4.94 | +0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 18 | 18 | 101 | 425 | 81 | 36 | 16 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 4.98 | 5.05 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 17 | 95 | 400 | 75 | 35 | 16 | 18.7% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 5.10 | 5.17 | +0.1 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 16 | 16 | 89 | 374 | 68 | 34 | 15 | 18.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 5.22 | 5.31 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 84 | 59 | 317 | 1325 | 258 | 107 | 51 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 4.09 | 4.59 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 37 | 200 | 837 | 163 | 68 | 32 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 4.09 | 4.59 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Campos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | — | 4.58 | 20.4% | 12.8% | 375 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.97 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .321 | 5.23 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.26 | 3.97 | 171 | 93 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.57 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .287 | 3.79 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.78 | 3.40 | 289 | 92 |
| Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.23 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .309 | 3.76 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 309 | -0.47 | 3.22 | 907 | 91 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .331 | 5.58 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.73 | 3.85 | 141 | 90 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2028 · 4.42 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.42 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 5.02 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.60 | 4.42 | 200 | 88 |
| Hayden Minton R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.21 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 194 | 88 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .286 | 4.13 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.24 | 3.89 | 248 | 88 |
| Brett Sears R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.63 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 111 | 88 |
| Forrest Snow R 2027 · 5.10 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.10 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .263 | 4.13 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.97 | 3.03 | 406 | 87 |
| Garrett Edwards R 2024 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 107 | 87 |
| M.D. Johnson R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.29 | 21.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.85 | 15.7% | 4.1% | 181 | +0.56 | 3.52 | 395 | 87 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 433 | 87 |
| Garrett Stallings R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.37 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .327 | 4.42 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 179 | +0.05 | 3.69 | 531 | 86 |
| Mitch Myers R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 16.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | .338 | 3.57 | 18.5% | 14.5% | 23 | -0.75 | 3.57 | 362 | 86 |
| Mason Adams R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.76 | 18.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 229 | 86 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .277 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.3% | 164 | +1.27 | 3.83 | 550 | 86 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.05 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 86 |
| David Hale R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.26 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | .343 | 4.14 | 13.8% | 8.1% | 251 | -0.12 | 3.32 | 493 | 86 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .291 | 4.02 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.14 | 3.45 | 274 | 86 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.0 | $8M | +$8M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.8 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $3M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.5M |
| Totals | $9M | $31M | +$22M | ||