Chris Campos
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 25
RHP
5'10" / 170 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION8 act + 81 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128118vR 109
ERA4.80
FIP4.80
K%17.0%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP81
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 83% | 1.2 | 32.1% | 3.6% | 28.6% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 2.80 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 83% | 1.2 | 32.1% | 3.6% | 28.6% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 2.83 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 25 | 16 | 69 | 300 | 85 | 30 | 9 | 64% | 2.8 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 5.06 | 4.86 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 25 | 16 | 69 | 300 | 85 | 30 | 9 | 64% | 2.8 | 28.3% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 110 | 452 | 118 | 30 | 16 | 60% | 4.4 | 20.7% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 3.9% | 3.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 110 | 452 | 118 | 30 | 16 | 60% | 4.4 | 26.1% | 6.6% | 19.5% | 3.5% | 3.43 | 3.66 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 26 | 23 | 127 | 529 | 111 | 32 | 16 | 88% | 4.9 | 17.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 4.19 | 4.69 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 26 | 23 | 127 | 529 | 111 | 32 | 16 | 88% | 4.9 | 21.0% | 6.0% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 3.75 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 6 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 7.04 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 77 | 0 | 81 | 343 | 58 | 23 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.80 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 89 | 381 | 67 | 27 | 13 | — | — | 17.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 4.99 | 4.39 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 8 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 17.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 14 | 14 | 81 | 343 | 61 | 23 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.8% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.71 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 80 | 338 | 68 | 21 | 12 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.1% | 6.1% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 4.54 | 4.45 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 78 | 328 | 72 | 18 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 5.5% | 16.5% | 3.5% | 4.36 | 4.25 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 74 | 313 | 68 | 18 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.9% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 3.7% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 70 | 294 | 63 | 18 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 15.3% | 3.9% | 4.48 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 58 | 18 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 4.1% | 4.65 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 60 | 254 | 52 | 18 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.7% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 4.85 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 11 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 17.8% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 45 | 14 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.1% | 6.1% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 56 | 14 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 5.5% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 4.31 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 56 | 15 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.9% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 3.6% | 4.31 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 54 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.42 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 52 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 4.0% | 4.59 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 48 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.7% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 4.78 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 64 | 395 | 1666 | 347 | 104 | 61 | 89% | 5.5 | 20.8% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 4.50 | 4.14 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 53 | 31 | 89% | 5.5 | 20.8% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 4.50 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 59 | 321 | 1347 | 264 | 109 | 52 | 67% | 3.7 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 4.20 | 4.58 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 37 | 200 | 838 | 165 | 68 | 32 | 67% | 3.7 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 4.20 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Campos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.80 | 17.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | — | 4.47 | 19.9% | 13.8% | 239 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 90 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 85 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.94 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.09 | 3.46 | 274 | 82 |
| Forrest Snow R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 82 |
| Mitch Myers R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | .338 | 5.87 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 72 | +1.25 | 3.50 | 412 | 82 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 82 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .309 | 3.63 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 1.87 | 232 | 81 |
| Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.47 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .309 | 3.81 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 309 | -0.66 | 3.05 | 907 | 81 |
| Ryan Etsell R 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.79 | 14.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 110 | 81 |
| Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 81 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 81 |
| Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 80 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.07 | 17.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 256 | 80 |
| Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.34 | 15.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | .338 | 4.74 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 209 | +0.40 | 4.34 | 340 | 80 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 80 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 79 |
| Deivi Villafana R 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.22 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 109 | 79 |
| Roel Garcia III R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.83 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | .307 | 4.62 | 15.2% | 4.6% | 58 | -0.21 | 2.69 | 252 | 79 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 79 |
| Randy Bell R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.46 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 120 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 74 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 1.43 | 4.59 |
| Matt Wisler ('22) | 8 | 63 | 20.1% | 7.6% | 1.40 | 4.59 |
| Matt Andriese ('21) | 7 | 73 | 21.7% | 6.7% | 1.34 | 4.63 |
| Erasmo Ramírez ('24) | 8 | 78 | 18.1% | 5.8% | 1.40 | 4.33 |
| Tyler Duffey ('22) | 8 | 59 | 23.0% | 6.8% | 1.25 | 4.57 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Luis Cessa ('23) | 8 | 53 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 1.40 | 4.43 |