Chad Donato
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.4%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 10 | 8 | 32 | 143 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 80% | 3.2 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 2.78 | 3.85 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 10 | 8 | 32 | 143 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 80% | 3.2 | 30.8% | 9.1% | 21.7% | 1.4% | 2.78 | 2.39 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 12 | 10 | 62 | 238 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 83% | 5.1 | 23.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 1.2% | 2.04 | 2.91 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 12 | 10 | 62 | 238 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 83% | 5.1 | 32.4% | 8.0% | 24.4% | 0.8% | 2.04 | 1.95 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 122 | 518 | 132 | 39 | 16 | 73% | 4.7 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 4.54 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 122 | 518 | 132 | 39 | 16 | 73% | 4.7 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 18.0% | 3.1% | 4.86 | 3.60 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 9 | 56 | 238 | 52 | 15 | 8 | 60% | 3.7 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 4.50 | 4.56 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 9 | 56 | 238 | 52 | 15 | 8 | 60% | 3.7 | 21.8% | 6.3% | 15.5% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 3.90 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 29 | 18 | 125 | 552 | 101 | 60 | 20 | 62% | 4.3 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.34 | 5.81 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 29 | 18 | 125 | 552 | 101 | 60 | 20 | 62% | 4.3 | 18.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 5.34 | 5.01 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 13 | 11 | 42 | 217 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 85% | 3.2 | 13.4% | 11.7% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 11.57 | 6.14 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 13 | 11 | 42 | 217 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 85% | 3.2 | 16.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 11.57 | 7.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 4 | 4 | 22 | 91 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.31 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 89 | 30 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 105 | 75 | 439 | 1906 | 353 | 187 | 71 | 71% | 4.2 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 4.84 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 34 | 200 | 868 | 161 | 85 | 33 | 71% | 4.2 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chad Donato (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.69 | 22.1% | 12.2% | 22 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 72 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 70 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.96 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .313 | 4.83 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | -0.13 | 4.83 | 294 | 68 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 67 |
| Phil Hughes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.03 | 15.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | .328 | 6.34 | 21.1% | 15.2% | 33 | +1.31 | 4.61 | 301 | 65 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 65 |
| Tyler Herron R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 117 | 65 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 65 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2024 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 64 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.04 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | .261 | 4.12 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 96 | +0.08 | 2.88 | 533 | 64 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.30 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 200 | 64 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 62 |
| Yu Darvish R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.36 | 27.2% | 11.7% | 3.8% | .282 | 3.50 | 30.5% | 24.0% | 421 | -0.86 | 1.91 | 1,253 | 62 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.10 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .301 | 7.89 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.79 | 0.76 | 348 | 61 |
| Danny Gutierrez R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 15.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 239 | 61 |
| Garrett Richards R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.09 | 26.9% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .276 | 4.36 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 188 | +0.27 | 2.34 | 577 | 60 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2024 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 60 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 60 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.44 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .273 | 6.28 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.84 | 3.44 | 155 | 60 |