Florencio Serrano
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
K%18.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 7 | 3 | 27 | 121 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 43% | 3.9 | 13.5% | 12.4% | 1.1% | 5.8% | 4.67 | 6.71 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 7 | 3 | 27 | 121 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 43% | 3.9 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 4.67 | 5.06 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 9 | 5 | 28 | 111 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 56% | 3.1 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | 1.27 | 3.84 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 9 | 5 | 28 | 111 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 56% | 3.1 | 26.1% | 7.2% | 18.9% | 1.8% | 1.27 | 2.82 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 3 | 32 | 129 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 23% | 2.4 | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.41 | 4.98 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 3 | 32 | 129 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 23% | 2.4 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 3.41 | 3.61 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 56 | 249 | 47 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 2.2 | 14.0% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.17 | 5.42 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 56 | 249 | 47 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 2.2 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 5.17 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 3 | 52 | 244 | 43 | 35 | 6 | 11% | 1.9 | 15.0% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 5.75 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 3 | 52 | 244 | 43 | 35 | 6 | 11% | 1.9 | 17.6% | 14.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.75 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 3 | 37 | 163 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 18% | 2.2 | 12.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.82 | 5.74 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 3 | 37 | 163 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 18% | 2.2 | 15.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.65 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 4.48 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 4.48 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 98 | 17 | 232 | 1017 | 146 | 103 | 36 | 17% | 2.4 | 14.4% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.47 | 5.13 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 15 | 200 | 878 | 126 | 89 | 31 | 17% | 2.4 | 14.4% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.47 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Florencio Serrano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 18.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% | — | 4.86 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 23 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 81 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 80 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 80 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 79 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 78 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.82 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .313 | 4.72 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 84 | -0.10 | 4.36 | 194 | 78 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 78 |
| Brayden Spears R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 78 |
| Jose Campos R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.73 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .377 | 8.03 | 15.5% | 4.5% | 26 | +3.30 | 3.35 | 241 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 78 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 78 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 78 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 77 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .304 | 3.13 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 51 | -1.15 | 3.02 | 214 | 77 |
| Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 77 |
| Ryan Halstead R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.38 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | .296 | 3.31 | 16.1% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.07 | 3.31 | 222 | 77 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 77 |
| Scott Burke R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 119 | 77 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.58 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 50 | -0.70 | 3.50 | 219 | 76 |