Joshua Quezada — OGILVIE

Joshua Quezada P Wilson Warbirds

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%19.9%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	4	46	192	48	18	2	36%	4.2	17.0%	11.7%	5.3%	0.8%	3.69	3.61	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	4	46	192	48	18	2	36%	4.2	17.0%	11.7%	5.3%	0.8%	3.69	3.61	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	11	4	46	192	48	18	2	36%	4.2	25.0%	9.4%	15.6%	1.0%	3.69	2.75	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	9	5	34	149	40	14	3	56%	3.8	18.3%	11.7%	6.5%	2.6%	3.44	4.46	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	9	5	34	149	40	14	3	56%	3.8	18.3%	11.7%	6.5%	2.6%	3.44	4.46	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	9	5	34	149	40	14	3	56%	3.8	26.8%	9.4%	17.4%	2.0%	3.44	3.13	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	3	46	209	51	16	3	17%	2.6	15.8%	8.4%	7.4%	2.6%	6.80	4.28	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	3	46	209	51	16	3	17%	2.6	15.8%	8.4%	7.4%	2.6%	6.80	4.28	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	3	46	209	51	16	3	17%	2.6	24.4%	7.7%	16.7%	1.4%	6.80	2.78	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	38	0	58	248	74	23	6	0%	1.5	22.5%	9.1%	13.4%	2.7%	5.40	3.83	—
YTD	22	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	38	0	58	248	74	23	6	0%	1.5	22.5%	9.1%	13.4%	2.7%	5.40	3.83	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	MIL	31	0	45	194	59	15	4	0%	1.5	30.4%	7.7%	22.7%	2.1%	5.40	2.64	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	MIL	5	0	11	45	12	7	2	0%	2.1	26.7%	15.6%	11.1%	4.4%	6.75	5.26	—
2026	22	AA RAW	MIL	1	0	1	5	2	1	0	0%	1.3	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2026	22	AAA RAW	MIL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIL	56	0	59	250	53	23	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	2.9%	4.52	4.45	+0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	58	0	61	256	56	22	7	0%	1.0	21.8%	8.8%	13.0%	2.9%	4.41	4.34	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIL	59	0	62	260	58	22	7	0%	1.0	22.2%	8.6%	13.7%	2.9%	4.33	4.27	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIL	59	0	62	260	58	22	7	0%	1.0	22.5%	8.6%	13.9%	2.9%	4.28	4.25	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIL	58	0	61	256	57	22	8	0%	1.0	22.5%	8.6%	13.8%	2.9%	4.29	4.29	+0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIL	28	0	29	122	26	11	4	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	2.9%	4.52	4.45	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	40	0	42	177	39	16	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	8.8%	13.0%	2.9%	4.41	4.34	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIL	48	0	50	211	47	18	6	0%	1.0	22.2%	8.6%	13.7%	2.9%	4.33	4.27	+0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIL	51	0	54	228	51	20	7	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.6%	13.9%	2.9%	4.28	4.25	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIL	52	0	55	232	52	20	7	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.6%	13.8%	2.9%	4.29	4.29	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		219	0	230	970	215	84	28	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.7%	13.4%	2.9%	4.35	3.93	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	73	24	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.7%	13.4%	2.9%	4.35	3.93	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		76	12	185	798	149	80	18	16%	2.4	18.6%	10.0%	8.6%	2.2%	4.96	4.01	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	13	200	863	161	87	19	16%	2.4	18.6%	10.0%	8.6%	2.2%	4.96	4.01	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joshua Quezada (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	19.9%	9.6%	3.0%	—	4.35	21.7%	12.9%	181	-0.30	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	94
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	88
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	88
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	87
Reece Karalus R 2016 · 4.80 FIP	22	SU	4.80	18.5%	8.6%	4.0%	.298	4.81	14.8%	4.1%	103	+0.01	4.73	149	87
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	87
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	87
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	86
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	86
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	86
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	86
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	85
David Garner R 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	21.7%	10.0%	2.3%	.282	4.52	19.8%	5.2%	98	+0.71	3.81	154	85
Connor Eller R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	22	SU	4.35	16.7%	7.5%	3.1%	.222	4.55	10.8%	-1.2%	136	+0.20	3.79	170	84
Gerlin Rosario R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	21	SU	3.79	20.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.294	4.94	18.1%	5.4%	153	+1.15	3.02	248	84
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	84
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	54	21.9%	8.8%	1.12	4.38
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04