Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 3.69 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 3.75 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 27 | 102 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 1.9% | 1.01 | 3.38 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 27 | 102 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.6% | 1.0% | 1.01 | 2.27 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 31 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 50 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.5% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 3.12 | 3.54 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 31 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 50 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.0% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 1.9% | 3.12 | 2.98 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 65 | 303 | 59 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 4.55 | 3.97 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 65 | 303 | 59 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 4.55 | 3.70 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 47 | 0 | 68 | 313 | 61 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.2% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.45 | 4.78 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 47 | 0 | 68 | 313 | 61 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.5% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 5.45 | 4.55 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 39 | 0 | 56 | 245 | 68 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.4% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 5.01 | 3.33 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 39 | 0 | 56 | 245 | 68 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.8% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 2.0% | 5.01 | 3.01 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 23 | 2 | 34 | 162 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 9% | 1.5 | 16.3% | 14.9% | 1.4% | 4.6% | 6.88 | 6.14 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 23 | 2 | 34 | 162 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 9% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 14.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.88 | 5.28 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | STL | 24 | 0 | 26 | 108 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 4.62 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 90 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 207 | 2 | 306 | 1369 | 259 | 157 | 31 | 1% | 1.5 | 18.9% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 4.18 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 1 | 200 | 895 | 169 | 102 | 20 | 1% | 1.5 | 18.9% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 4.18 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Gomez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 20.9% | 11.5% | 3.1% | — | 5.00 | 20.8% | 9.3% | 24 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 90 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 82 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 82 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 81 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 81 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 79 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 79 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 79 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 79 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 78 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 78 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 78 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 78 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 78 |