Owen Holt
P
ACL Reds
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION1 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%21.4%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%11.3%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 4 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 25% | 1.8 | 34.4% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 3.1% | 7.71 | 2.70 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 4 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 25% | 1.8 | 34.4% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 3.1% | 7.71 | 2.67 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 45 | 179 | 49 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 2.42 | 3.89 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 45 | 179 | 49 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 27.4% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 1.1% | 2.42 | 2.56 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 75 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 75 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 3.61 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 37 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 5.03 | 4.43 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 37 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 5.03 | 3.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | ROK | ACL Reds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.53 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 31 | 132 | 28 | 14 | 4 | — | — | 21.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 28 | 0 | 29 | 124 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 103 | 1 | 162 | 694 | 139 | 80 | 18 | 1% | 1.6 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.27 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 1 | 200 | 857 | 172 | 99 | 22 | 1% | 1.6 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Owen Holt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 21.4% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.60 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 29 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 85 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 84 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 84 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 83 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 83 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 83 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 83 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 83 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 82 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 82 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 81 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 81 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 1.14 | 4.54 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |