Eiberson Castellano P Hartford Yard Goats
Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 214 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 80 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%22.5%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP80
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 158 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -2.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -1.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +21.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+21STAMTotal WAR: +1.79 (158 IP)+1.8WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF5555
CMD3540
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202120ROKDSL Phillies White16133137361616%2.117.9%14.6%3.3%1.4%1.094.21
202120ROKDSL Phillies White16133137361616%2.126.3%11.7%14.6%0.7%1.092.77
202221AClearwater Threshers178512076118447%3.021.8%10.3%11.5%2.5%3.513.94
202221AClearwater Threshers178512076118447%3.029.5%8.7%20.8%1.9%3.512.79
202322AClearwater Threshers227502345828332%2.318.3%14.1%4.2%1.7%5.044.25
202322AClearwater Threshers227502345828332%2.324.8%12.0%12.8%1.3%5.043.24
202423MIX2 levels2220104434136291191%4.724.6%7.6%17.0%3.1%3.993.69
202423MIX2 levels2220104434136291191%4.731.3%6.7%24.7%2.5%3.992.69
202524MIX2 levels212361723917410%1.719.6%9.6%10.1%2.8%6.444.18
202524MIX2 levels212361723917410%1.722.7%9.9%12.8%2.3%6.443.79
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBColorado Rockies1610783377640662%4.918.9%13.3%5.6%2.2%3.014.41+0.5
ROS25MLBCOL141480338763310100%5.722.5%9.7%12.8%3.0%4.444.44+0.5
ROS25MLBCOL141480338763310100%5.722.5%9.7%12.8%3.0%4.444.44+0.5
2026 TOT25MLBCOL158675152731622.5%10.8%11.7%2.4%3.744.43+1.8
2026 FULL25MLBCOL83351152731643.3%20.8%22.6%4.6%7.104.58+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBCOL118012452211949150%1.022.8%9.5%13.3%3.0%4.404.38+1.5
202827MLBCOL116012251411748160%1.122.7%9.4%13.3%3.0%4.404.41+1.4
202726MLBCOL112011849811347150%1.122.8%9.5%13.3%3.0%4.404.38+1.4
202827MLBCOL110011649011146150%1.122.7%9.4%13.3%3.0%4.404.41+1.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career234113161335302126395%1.422.6%9.4%13.2%3.0%4.374.01+5.2
/ 200 IP148720084419180255%1.422.6%9.4%13.2%3.0%4.374.01+3.3
Career1144835215213171693742%3.120.8%11.1%9.7%2.4%3.844.07+5.5
/ 200 IP6527200864180962142%3.120.8%11.1%9.7%2.4%3.844.07+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Eiberson Castellano (OGILVIE) 4.44 22.5%9.7%3.0% 4.39 22.7%13.3%246 -0.05
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 87
Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 85
Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 16.9%8.6%2.8%.338 3.01 22.4%12.3%71 -1.30 3.01 176 82
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2027 · 3.25 FIP 26 SW 3.25 21.3%8.8%1.5%.330 4.63 18.0%7.3%110 +1.38 3.25 221 82
Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 81
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.41 FIP 25 SW 4.41 21.0%9.6%3.4%.273 4.29 23.1%14.9%172 -0.12 3.36 432 81
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 80
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 80
Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 80
Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 80
Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 25 SW 4.37 16.2%10.3%2.4%.290 4.81 11.8%0.5%58 +0.44 4.37 160 79
Logan Verrett R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 25 SW 3.75 18.5%6.7%2.5%.277 5.30 15.8%6.3%164 +1.55 3.73 550 79
Cole Sands R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 25 SP- 4.60 21.3%8.9%4.0%.358 3.05 25.5%19.0%196 -1.55 2.28 473 78
Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP 26 SW 3.83 18.1%11.0%1.6%.280 3.17 24.5%17.9%97 -0.66 3.17 178 78
Brad Lord R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 25 SW 4.14 19.8%7.9%3.1%.288 3.85 21.0%13.3%58 -0.29 3.42 419 78
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 25 SP- 3.77 20.3%8.7%2.4%.309 3.63 21.4%13.2%123 -0.14 1.87 232 77
Erich Uelmen R 2026 · 5.19 FIP 25 SW 5.19 17.9%11.0%4.0%.267 3.90 20.0%8.6%112 -1.29 3.53 383 77
Ariel Peña R 2027 · 3.91 FIP 26 SW 3.91 21.3%9.5%2.6%.300 4.91 19.9%5.6%92 +1.00 3.91 223 77
Alex Colomé R 2027 · 3.37 FIP 26 SW 3.37 19.3%5.9%2.1%.309 2.98 25.5%19.3%191 -0.39 2.72 530 76
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION311022.7%9.5%1.154.41
Nate Karns ('17)39624.2%9.3%1.224.24
James Kaprielian ('23)310520.5%9.6%1.264.58
Kyle Wright ('23)38322.4%8.9%1.123.97
Tyler Skaggs ('19)48522.9%8.2%1.094.24
Ian Anderson ('22)39122.5%10.4%0.963.97
Jimmy Nelson ('21)511722.2%9.1%0.974.08