Ryan Vanderhei
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 202 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 134
ERA5.98
FIP5.98
K%13.9%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%-2.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 9 | 46 | 206 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 45% | 2.3 | 16.4% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 4.08 | 3.97 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 9 | 46 | 206 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 45% | 2.3 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 1.0% | 4.08 | 3.08 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 35 | 0 | 54 | 243 | 46 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.6% | 15.1% | -0.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 5.26 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 35 | 0 | 54 | 243 | 46 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 4.33 | 4.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 27 | 0 | 39 | 158 | 46 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | 2.56 | 3.56 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 41 | 49 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.9% | 16.6% | -2.7% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.98 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.9% | 16.6% | -2.7% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.98 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 109 | 454 | 87 | 66 | 10 | — | — | 19.2% | 14.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 4.76 | 5.12 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 13.9% | 16.6% | -2.7% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 46 | 47 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 15.8% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 5.77 | 5.74 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 47 | 45 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 15.4% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.67 | 5.67 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 46 | 43 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 15.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.65 | 5.69 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 20 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 15.8% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 5.77 | 5.74 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 29 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 15.4% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.67 | 5.67 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 35 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 15.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.65 | 5.69 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 85 | 81 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 15.4% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 5.69 | 5.32 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 130 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 15.4% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 5.69 | 5.32 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 9 | 139 | 607 | 105 | 85 | 11 | 11% | 1.7 | 17.3% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.76 | 4.38 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 118 | 13 | 200 | 873 | 151 | 122 | 15 | 11% | 1.7 | 17.3% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.76 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Vanderhei (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.98 | 13.9% | 16.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.70 | 16.1% | 0.6% | 206 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 87 |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 85 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 83 |
| Aroni Nina R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 16.8% | 20.5% | 1.3% | .312 | 3.06 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.94 | 2.68 | 115 | 83 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 83 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 82 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 82 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 82 |
| Livan Reinoso R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.87 | 15.1% | 17.7% | 1.5% | .229 | 5.44 | 16.5% | -2.0% | 87 | +0.57 | 4.34 | 207 | 81 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.52 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 2.5% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 178 | 81 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 81 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Yunior Thibo R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.26 | 14.3% | 15.6% | 2.5% | .231 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 110 | 81 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 81 |
| Luke Savage R 2025 · 5.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.70 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | .358 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 80 |
| CJ Weins R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.65 | 15.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 113 | 80 |
| Austin Pettibone R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.94 | 14.6% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 142 | 80 |
| Scott Griggs R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 11.3% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.01 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 112 | -1.07 | 3.06 | 176 | 80 |
| Justin Camp R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 80 |
| Wandi Montout R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 13.4% | 18.7% | 1.9% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 103 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 15.5% | 15.7% | 1.13 | 5.77 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |