Ryan Vanderhei — OGILVIE

Ryan Vanderhei P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 202 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 131

ERA6.03

FIP6.03

K%13.9%

BB%17.0%

K-BB%-3.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	9	46	206	48	23	2	45%	2.3	16.4%	14.1%	2.3%	0.8%	4.08	3.95	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	9	46	206	48	23	2	45%	2.3	16.4%	14.1%	2.3%	0.8%	4.08	3.95	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	9	46	206	48	23	2	45%	2.3	23.3%	11.2%	12.1%	1.0%	4.08	3.08	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	35	0	54	243	46	32	5	0%	1.5	14.6%	15.1%	-0.6%	2.6%	4.33	5.23	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	35	0	54	243	46	32	5	0%	1.5	14.6%	15.1%	-0.6%	2.6%	4.33	5.23	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	35	0	54	243	46	32	5	0%	1.5	18.9%	13.2%	5.8%	2.1%	4.33	4.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	42	0	60	251	66	33	2	0%	1.4	20.8%	14.6%	6.2%	1.0%	2.41	3.73	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	42	0	60	251	66	33	2	0%	1.4	20.8%	14.6%	6.2%	1.0%	2.41	3.73	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	SF	17	0	26	102	31	8	1	0%	1.5	30.4%	7.8%	22.5%	1.0%	1.71	2.07	—
2026	25	AA RAW	SF	25	0	33	149	35	25	1	0%	1.3	23.5%	16.8%	6.7%	0.7%	2.97	3.61	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	SF	6	0	6	25	3	4	1	0%	1.0	13.9%	17.0%	-3.1%	2.9%	6.03	6.03	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	66	276	69	37	3	—	—	25.2%	13.5%	11.7%	1.0%	2.74	3.94	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SF	67	0	70	296	46	48	8	0%	1.0	15.6%	16.2%	-0.6%	2.9%	5.82	5.79	-0.9
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	66	0	69	291	47	46	9	0%	1.0	16.2%	15.8%	0.4%	2.9%	5.71	5.72	-0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	64	0	67	282	46	44	9	0%	1.0	16.4%	15.6%	0.8%	3.0%	5.69	5.73	-0.9
2030	29	MLB MLE	SF	61	0	64	270	44	42	9	0%	1.0	16.4%	15.7%	0.7%	3.2%	5.76	5.83	-0.9
2027	26	MLB CTX	SF	30	0	31	131	20	21	4	0%	1.0	15.6%	16.2%	-0.6%	2.9%	5.82	5.79	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	42	0	44	186	30	29	5	0%	1.0	16.2%	15.8%	0.4%	2.9%	5.71	5.72	-0.6
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	49	0	51	215	35	34	7	0%	1.0	16.4%	15.6%	0.8%	3.0%	5.69	5.73	-0.7
2030	29	MLB CTX	SF	50	0	52	220	36	34	7	0%	1.0	16.4%	15.7%	0.7%	3.2%	5.76	5.83	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	121	118	23	0%	1.0	16.2%	15.8%	0.4%	3.0%	5.74	5.39	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	137	133	26	0%	1.1	16.2%	15.8%	0.4%	3.0%	5.74	5.39	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		97	9	160	700	121	103	10	9%	1.6	17.3%	14.7%	2.7%	1.5%	3.54	4.32	-3.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	11	200	875	152	128	13	9%	1.6	17.3%	14.7%	2.7%	1.5%	3.54	4.32	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Vanderhei (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.03	13.9%	17.0%	2.9%	—	5.75	16.1%	0.2%	206	-0.28	—	—	—
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	87
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	83
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	82
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	82
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	82
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	81
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	81
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	81
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	81
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	81
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	81
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	81
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	80
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	80
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	80
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	80
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	80
Scott Griggs R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	25	SU	5.11	11.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.278	4.19	19.7%	8.0%	112	-0.92	3.06	176	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	15.7%	16.1%	1.15	5.80
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91