Casey Legumina
P
Tampa Bay Rays
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.09
FIP4.10
K%20.1%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p2021.1%
K%
p1316.8%
xwOBA vs
p200.347
SI (20%)
CH (13%)
SL-1.2 (26%)
FB-1.3 (61%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 9 | 49 | 200 | 63 | 16 | 4 | 60% | 3.3 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 3.28 | 4.28 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 9 | 49 | 200 | 63 | 16 | 4 | 60% | 3.3 | 31.5% | 8.0% | 23.5% | 2.0% | 3.28 | 2.57 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 16 | 86 | 385 | 92 | 34 | 11 | 48% | 2.6 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.66 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 16 | 86 | 385 | 92 | 34 | 11 | 48% | 2.6 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 3.81 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 1 | 45 | 211 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3% | 1.2 | 21.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.96 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 1 | 45 | 211 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 3% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.96 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 68 | 283 | 64 | 20 | 10 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.3% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 3.99 | 4.00 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 68 | 283 | 64 | 20 | 10 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 3.5% | 3.99 | 4.02 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 1 | 60 | 264 | 68 | 28 | 7 | 2% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 1 | 60 | 264 | 68 | 28 | 7 | 2% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 4.80 | 3.75 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 37 | 2 | 48 | 201 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 5% | 1.3 | 16.8% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 3.40 | 3.68 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.09 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.09 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 60 | 252 | 45 | 14 | 6 | — | — | 18.0% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 2.2% | 3.54 | 3.77 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 60 | 252 | 45 | 14 | 6 | — | — | 17.9% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 2.2% | 3.54 | 3.50 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 43 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 46 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 39 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 46 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 41 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 37 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 256 | 3 | 281 | 1209 | 242 | 106 | 38 | 1% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.24 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 182 | 2 | 200 | 862 | 172 | 76 | 27 | 1% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 226 | 29 | 356 | 1544 | 327 | 140 | 49 | 13% | 1.6 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 16 | 200 | 867 | 183 | 79 | 28 | 13% | 1.6 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Casey Legumina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 23.5% | 10.4% | 3.2% | — | 4.76 | 19.6% | 10.6% | 157 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 85 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 83 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 83 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 82 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 82 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 81 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 81 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 81 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 81 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 80 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 80 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 80 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 80 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.02 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | .272 | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 62 | -0.45 | 3.57 | 224 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 1.25 | 4.61 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |