Casey Legumina
P
Seattle Mariners
+0.2
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA4.89
FIP4.40
xFIP5.03
SIERA4.09
K%23.7%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%14.0%
IP43
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL3535
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p3693.5
Whiff%
p1220.0%
K%
p1417.0%
xwOBA vs
p160.352
SI (23%)
CH (11%)
SL-1.2 (26%)
FB-1.3 (63%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 15 | 9 | 49 | 200 | 63 | 16 | 4 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 3.28 | 4.06 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 33 | 16 | 86 | 385 | 92 | 34 | 11 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.62 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 38 | 1 | 45 | 211 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 21.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.96 | 4.17 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 45 | 0 | 68 | 283 | 64 | 20 | 10 | 21.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 3.99 | 4.13 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 58 | 1 | 60 | 264 | 68 | 28 | 7 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.01 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 6 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.08 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SEA | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 34 | 15 | 5 | 23.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.95 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 43 | 181 | 41 | 16 | 5 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 4.20 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 40 | 17 | 5 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 37 | 17 | 5 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 35 | 16 | 5 | 21.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 33 | 16 | 5 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 19.4% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 5.12 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 195 | 27 | 317 | 1377 | 300 | 131 | 43 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.18 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 17 | 200 | 869 | 189 | 83 | 27 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.18 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Casey Legumina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 23.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.55 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 121 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 85 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 84 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 82 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 81 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 81 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 80 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 80 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 80 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 80 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 80 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 80 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 80 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.41 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .283 | 4.31 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.90 | 3.41 | 104 | 79 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 79 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.44 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .348 | 2.85 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.59 | 2.85 | 199 | 79 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .351 | 5.10 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 229 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.