Gabe Bierman
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144135vR 125
ERA5.56
FIP5.56
K%15.7%
BB%15.8%
K-BB%-0.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 28 | 118 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 88% | 3.5 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 4.50 | 5.08 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 28 | 118 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 88% | 3.5 | 26.3% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 3.92 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 108 | 469 | 116 | 49 | 10 | 86% | 4.9 | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 5.04 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 108 | 469 | 116 | 49 | 10 | 86% | 4.9 | 24.7% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 2.1% | 4.49 | 3.52 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 19 | 19 | 91 | 373 | 68 | 37 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.46 | 4.23 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 19 | 19 | 91 | 373 | 68 | 37 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 0.8% | 3.46 | 3.25 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 2.70 | 5.11 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 2.70 | 5.10 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 61 | 285 | 62 | 38 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.0% | 15.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.26 | 4.20 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 61 | 285 | 62 | 38 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 3.26 | 3.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 21 | 1 | 34 | 155 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 5% | 1.6 | 22.5% | 16.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.82 | 5.82 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 47 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 15.8% | -0.0% | 2.6% | 5.56 | 5.56 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 15.8% | -0.0% | 2.6% | 5.56 | 5.56 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 104 | 451 | 90 | 70 | 14 | — | — | 19.9% | 15.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.97 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.7% | 15.8% | -0.0% | 2.6% | 5.56 | 5.18 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 48 | 44 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.46 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 48 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 14.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.43 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 46 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 14.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.48 | 5.55 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.46 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 29 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 14.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.43 | 5.47 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 32 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 14.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.48 | 5.55 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 80 | 71 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 14.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 5.13 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 142 | 126 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 14.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 46 | 332 | 1442 | 255 | 190 | 39 | 40% | 2.9 | 17.7% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.75 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 28 | 200 | 868 | 154 | 114 | 23 | 40% | 2.9 | 17.7% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabe Bierman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.56 | 15.7% | 15.8% | 2.6% | — | 5.50 | 16.8% | 1.8% | 200 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 83 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.74 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .236 | 3.71 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 172 | -1.03 | 2.59 | 280 | 79 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 79 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 78 |
| Robbie Peto R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 78 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 78 |
| Jesús Reyes R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.80 | 15.9% | 15.7% | 3.7% | .283 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.6% | 118 | -0.76 | 3.79 | 554 | 78 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .249 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 249 | -0.40 | 3.64 | 500 | 77 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 77 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 77 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 76 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.81 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 3.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.87 | 274 | 76 |
| Endrys Briceno R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 14.0% | 13.2% | 2.2% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 303 | 76 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 76 |
| Alex Caldera R 2029 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 75 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2027 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 75 |
| Kender Villegas R 2024 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 131 | 75 |
| Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 75 |
| Nick Frasso R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.17 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 30.1% | 14.0% | 24 | -1.49 | 2.60 | 248 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 16.5% | 15.2% | 1.06 | 5.48 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |