Gabe Bierman — OGILVIE

Gabe Bierman P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

+0.0 WAR

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.3%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%8.8%

IP65

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†4545

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	8	7	28	118	31	11	4	21.3%	11.8%	3.7%	4.50	4.83	+0.0
2022	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	22	19	108	469	116	49	10	18.3%	13.0%	3.2%	4.49	4.97	+0.4
2023	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	19	19	91	373	68	37	3	14.0%	11.4%	1.2%	3.46	4.03	+1.2
2024	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	7	0	10	42	9	4	2	—	—	—	2.70	—	—
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	37	0	61	285	62	38	3	17.0%	15.1%	1.2%	3.26	4.25	+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	2	0	4	23	4	5	0	—	—	—	13.50	—	—
ROS	26	MLB	MIA	12	12	65	274	53	38	7	19.1%	13.8%	2.6%	5.03	5.03	-0.0
2026 Total	26	MLB	MIA	—	—	69	297	57	43	7	19.0%	14.4%	2.4%	5.52	4.74	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	27	MLB	MIA	12	12	64	272	53	36	7	19.6%	13.3%	2.6%	4.96	4.96	+0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIA	12	12	64	268	53	35	7	19.8%	13.1%	2.7%	4.93	4.94	+0.0
2029	29	MLB	MIA	11	11	62	262	52	34	7	19.9%	12.9%	2.8%	4.93	4.96	+0.0
2030	30	MLB	MIA	11	11	60	254	50	33	7	19.8%	13.0%	2.8%	4.97	5.00	-0.0
2031	31	MLB	MIA	58	—	58	245	48	32	7	19.5%	13.1%	2.9%	5.03	5.08	-0.1
2032	32	MLB	MIA	56	—	56	236	45	31	7	19.2%	13.2%	3.0%	5.11	5.16	-0.1
2033	33	MLB	MIA	53	—	53	225	43	30	7	18.9%	13.4%	3.1%	5.20	5.26	-0.2
2034	34	MLB	MIA	51	—	51	214	40	29	7	18.6%	13.6%	3.2%	5.30	5.37	-0.2
2035	35	MLB	MIA	48	—	48	201	37	28	7	18.2%	13.8%	3.3%	5.42	5.49	-0.3
2036	36	MLB	MIA	45	—	45	188	33	27	6	17.8%	14.1%	3.4%	5.54	5.63	-0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			95	45	302	1310	225	170	29	17.2%	13.0%	2.2%	3.99	4.53	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—			63	30	200	868	149	113	19	17.2%	13.0%	2.2%	3.99	4.53	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabe Bierman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	19.1%	13.8%	2.6%	—	4.95	19.8%	6.6%	190	-0.08	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2027 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.46	15.2%	3.1%	156	+1.00	4.46	215	93
Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.29 FIP	27	SW	4.29	18.0%	12.5%	2.1%	.296	3.94	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.35	3.68	146	92
Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.26 FIP	27	SW	4.26	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.69	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.57	2.69	125	91
Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	20.7%	14.0%	2.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	90
Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	26	SW	4.58	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.73	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.15	4.58	151	88
Brad Schreiber R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	26	SW	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	171	87
Nick Ernst R 2025 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	117	86
Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.13 FIP	28	SW	4.13	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.06	4.13	265	86
Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.14 FIP	27	SW	5.14	15.1%	13.8%	2.9%	.335	4.48	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.66	4.42	214	86
Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.76 FIP	25	SW	4.76	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	106	86
Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 5.36 FIP	26	SW	5.36	15.8%	13.2%	3.5%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.03	4.33	164	86
Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.92 FIP	27	SW	3.92	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.45	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.53	3.42	365	86
Eduard Santos R 2026 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	22.2%	14.4%	1.5%	.248	2.04	31.1%	18.7%	16	-1.82	2.04	138	85
Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.17 FIP	25	SW	5.17	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	85
Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 5.28 FIP	26	SW	5.28	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.12	3.16	253	85
David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP	26	SW	4.06	17.4%	9.8%	2.2%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.52	4.06	256	85
Nefi Ogando R 2026 · 3.87 FIP	26	SW	3.87	17.0%	11.6%	1.4%	.266	4.12	14.7%	3.1%	40	+0.25	3.87	103	85
Matt Lollis R 2025 · 5.00 FIP	25	SW	5.00	19.2%	14.5%	3.1%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	85
Merrick Baldo R 2025 · 4.61 FIP	25	SW	4.61	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	2.69	116	85
Jake Gilbert R 2025 · 4.65 FIP	25	SW	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	103	85

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.