Dylan Lesko
P
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.21
FIP5.21
K%21.8%
BB%14.7%
K-BB%7.0%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 12 | 33 | 145 | 52 | 22 | 3 | 100% | 2.8 | 26.8% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 5.45 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 12 | 33 | 145 | 52 | 22 | 3 | 100% | 2.8 | 35.9% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 2.1% | 5.45 | 3.13 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 22 | 19 | 84 | 390 | 100 | 75 | 13 | 86% | 3.8 | 19.7% | 22.1% | -2.4% | 4.0% | 6.96 | 6.45 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 22 | 19 | 84 | 390 | 100 | 75 | 13 | 86% | 3.8 | 25.6% | 19.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 6.96 | 5.41 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 1 | 18 | 103 | 18 | 33 | 2 | 6% | 1.0 | 8.6% | 41.3% | -32.7% | 1.6% | 10.50 | 8.50 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 1 | 18 | 103 | 18 | 33 | 2 | 6% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 32.0% | -14.6% | 1.9% | 10.50 | 8.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 19 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 25 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.5% | 23.2% | -6.7% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 5.92 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 5.21 | 5.21 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TB | — | — | 46 | 198 | 44 | 35 | 5 | — | — | 22.1% | 17.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.81 | 5.61 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TB | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TB | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.49 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 116 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 71 | 32 | 161 | 750 | 143 | 181 | 23 | 45% | 2.3 | 19.1% | 24.2% | -5.1% | 3.1% | 6.65 | 6.27 | -1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 40 | 200 | 932 | 178 | 225 | 29 | 45% | 2.3 | 19.1% | 24.2% | -5.1% | 3.1% | 6.65 | 6.27 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan Lesko (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 21.8% | 14.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.87 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 21 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 87 |
| Alec Barger R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 84 |
| Joey Matulovich R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 19.8% | 14.6% | 4.0% | .378 | 5.06 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 133 | -0.42 | 3.22 | 201 | 84 |
| Blake Holub R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 21.7% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.90 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 156 | -0.41 | 3.31 | 236 | 83 |
| Tyler Santana R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.36 | 20.3% | 15.1% | 1.9% | .333 | 4.38 | 16.0% | 5.7% | 259 | +0.02 | 3.41 | 390 | 83 |
| Junior Rincon R 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 82 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 80 |
| Edwardo Melendez R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 20.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 139 | 80 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 80 |
| Trayson Kubo R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.01 | 19.8% | 15.6% | 2.9% | .450 | 4.86 | 17.7% | 1.4% | 66 | -0.15 | 4.40 | 107 | 80 |
| Victor Simeon R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.32 | 20.3% | 15.7% | 3.5% | .333 | 3.84 | 25.6% | 5.4% | 81 | -1.48 | 3.21 | 180 | 80 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 80 |
| Sam Ryan R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 1.6% | .328 | 3.76 | 13.7% | 2.9% | 49 | -0.71 | 3.76 | 178 | 79 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 79 |
| James Acuna R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 79 |
| Jordan Brink R 2027 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 79 |
| Brandon Dufault R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.28 | 22.1% | 15.9% | 3.7% | .278 | 5.24 | 21.0% | 4.2% | 66 | -0.04 | 4.38 | 152 | 78 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.25 | 18.3% | 14.1% | 1.7% | .359 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 11.9% | 213 | -0.23 | 3.69 | 348 | 78 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.27 | 17.9% | 16.5% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 38 | +0.18 | 4.27 | 103 | 78 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2027 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 78 |