Zach Barnes
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.87
FIP4.87
K%19.7%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 9.00 | 10.64 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 9.00 | 11.43 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 0 | 30 | 153 | 40 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 22.0% | -3.8% | 1.7% | 8.31 | 5.30 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 0 | 30 | 153 | 40 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 19.0% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 8.31 | 4.19 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 63 | 288 | 54 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.2% | 13.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.60 | 4.98 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 63 | 288 | 54 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 4.60 | 4.09 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 49 | 238 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 7.66 | 4.81 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 49 | 238 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 7.66 | 4.80 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 16 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 13.3% | 23.4% | -10.2% | 1.2% | 2.57 | 5.60 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 16 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.4% | 21.3% | -4.9% | 1.6% | 2.57 | 5.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.52 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 106 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 1 | 159 | 754 | 118 | 114 | 20 | 1% | 1.4 | 15.7% | 15.2% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 5.14 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 1 | 200 | 946 | 149 | 144 | 25 | 1% | 1.4 | 15.7% | 15.2% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Barnes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.90 | 19.9% | 8.3% | 20 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 87 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 86 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.21 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.04 | 5.04 | 129 | 85 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 85 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 84 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 84 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.09 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .336 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.57 | 3.05 | 221 | 83 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 83 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 83 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 82 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .321 | 5.43 | 19.2% | 8.7% | 24 | +0.91 | 2.85 | 174 | 81 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 81 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.7% | .280 | 3.38 | 12.7% | 9.3% | 64 | -0.55 | 2.56 | 323 | 81 |
| Guido Knudson R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 106 | 81 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 81 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 81 |