Zach Barnes — OGILVIE

Zach Barnes P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%15.9%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%2.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	1	1	3	14	2	1	2	100%	3.0	14.3%	7.1%	7.1%	14.3%	9.00	10.64	—
2021	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	1	1	3	14	2	1	2	100%	3.0	14.3%	7.1%	7.1%	14.3%	9.00	11.43	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	0	30	153	40	29	2	0%	1.4	18.2%	22.0%	-3.8%	1.8%	8.31	5.35	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	0	30	153	40	29	2	0%	1.4	26.1%	19.0%	7.2%	1.3%	8.31	4.19	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	63	288	54	35	5	0%	1.5	15.2%	13.6%	1.7%	2.5%	4.60	4.90	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	63	288	54	35	5	0%	1.5	15.2%	13.6%	1.7%	2.5%	4.60	4.90	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	63	288	54	35	5	0%	1.5	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	1.7%	4.60	4.09	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	49	238	46	24	8	0%	1.4	15.1%	10.3%	4.8%	3.4%	7.66	4.98	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	49	238	46	24	8	0%	1.4	15.1%	10.3%	4.8%	3.4%	7.66	4.98	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	49	238	46	24	8	0%	1.4	19.3%	10.1%	9.2%	3.4%	7.66	4.80	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	16	0	14	61	10	13	1	0%	0.9	13.3%	23.4%	-10.2%	1.5%	2.57	5.76	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	16	0	14	61	10	13	1	0%	0.9	13.3%	23.4%	-10.2%	1.5%	2.57	5.76	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	16	0	14	61	10	13	1	0%	0.9	16.4%	21.3%	-4.9%	1.6%	2.57	5.39	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	ARI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	15.9%	13.6%	2.2%	2.9%	5.48	5.48	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	14	11	3	0%	1.1	16.5%	13.4%	3.1%	3.0%	5.42	5.45	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	ARI	8	0	8	34	6	5	1	0%	1.0	16.5%	13.4%	3.1%	3.0%	5.42	5.45	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	5	4	1	0%	1.1	16.5%	13.4%	3.1%	3.0%	5.42	5.07	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	133	106	27	0%	1.1	16.5%	13.4%	3.1%	3.0%	5.42	5.07	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		117	1	159	754	118	113	21	1%	1.4	15.6%	14.9%	0.7%	2.8%	6.16	5.20	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	1	200	946	148	141	26	1%	1.4	15.6%	14.9%	0.7%	2.8%	6.16	5.20	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Barnes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	15.9%	13.6%	2.9%	—	5.45	16.5%	3.1%	20	-0.03	—	—	—
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	91
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	88
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	85
Nelson Gonzalez R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	15.3%	13.7%	2.6%	.239	5.79	17.4%	6.7%	96	+0.79	3.42	258	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	83
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	83
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	82
Adrian Garza R 2015 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	14.9%	10.5%	4.2%	.360	4.17	13.1%	6.5%	84	-1.30	3.94	229	82
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	81
David Goforth R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	14.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.333	4.52	13.9%	4.6%	122	-0.16	3.98	256	81
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	81
Michael Blazek R 2016 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	17.9%	11.9%	3.3%	.336	4.43	17.5%	8.0%	124	-0.49	2.99	221	81
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	81
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	81
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	80
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	80