Aneudis Mejia — OGILVIE

Aneudis Mejia P Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.11

FIP6.11

K%16.9%

BB%20.3%

K-BB%-3.5%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	4	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.9	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.17	2.73	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	4	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.9	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.17	2.71	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	11	4	20	113	31	27	3	36%	1.8	18.7%	29.9%	-11.2%	3.3%	8.10	7.12	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	11	4	20	113	31	27	3	36%	1.8	18.7%	29.9%	-11.2%	3.3%	8.10	7.12	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	11	4	20	113	31	27	3	36%	1.8	27.4%	23.9%	3.5%	2.7%	8.10	6.00	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	15	72	19	13	2	29%	2.2	26.4%	18.1%	8.3%	2.8%	6.46	4.68	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	15	72	19	13	2	29%	2.2	26.4%	18.1%	8.3%	2.8%	6.46	4.68	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	2	15	72	19	13	2	29%	2.2	26.4%	18.1%	8.3%	2.8%	6.46	4.86	—
2025	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	22	9	61	288	67	43	2	41%	2.8	17.2%	17.6%	-0.4%	0.9%	6.16	4.36	—
2025	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	22	9	61	288	67	43	2	41%	2.8	17.2%	17.6%	-0.4%	0.9%	6.16	4.36	—
2025	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	22	9	61	288	67	43	2	41%	2.8	23.3%	14.9%	8.3%	0.7%	6.16	3.44	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	25	3	42	192	41	21	8	12%	1.7	16.4%	12.5%	4.0%	5.1%	6.26	6.06	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	25	3	42	192	41	21	8	12%	1.7	16.4%	12.5%	4.0%	5.1%	6.26	6.06	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	TEX	24	3	40	180	40	19	7	12%	1.7	22.2%	10.6%	11.7%	3.9%	5.80	4.70	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	TEX	1	0	1	12	1	2	1	0%	1.3	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	8.3%	20.25	9.08	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TEX	55	0	57	242	44	42	7	0%	1.0	18.3%	17.5%	0.8%	2.7%	5.75	5.63	-0.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	248	48	39	7	0%	1.0	19.3%	15.7%	3.6%	2.7%	5.45	5.32	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	TEX	27	0	28	118	22	21	3	0%	1.0	18.3%	17.5%	0.8%	2.7%	5.75	5.63	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	39	0	41	173	33	27	5	0%	1.1	19.3%	15.7%	3.6%	2.7%	5.45	5.32	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	69	292	55	48	8	0%	1.0	18.9%	16.5%	2.4%	2.7%	5.57	5.06	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	139	23	0%	1.1	18.9%	16.5%	2.4%	2.7%	5.57	5.06	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		69	18	146	699	130	126	18	26%	2.1	18.6%	18.1%	0.5%	2.6%	6.23	5.23	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	25	200	958	178	173	25	26%	2.1	18.6%	18.1%	0.5%	2.6%	6.23	5.23	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aneudis Mejia (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.11	16.9%	20.3%	2.7%	—	5.47	18.8%	2.2%	116	-0.64	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	88
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	84
Kyle Wilcox R 2016 · 4.92 FIP	22	SW	4.92	16.2%	22.0%	0.7%	.330	4.23	27.1%	10.4%	140	-0.69	2.78	310	82
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	82
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	82
Cole Aker R 2019 · 5.60 FIP	22	SW	5.60	19.5%	20.6%	2.8%	.239	6.17	12.0%	-9.9%	28	+0.57	3.60	147	81
Jared Kelley R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	18.9%	19.4%	1.9%	.365	4.90	16.4%	0.7%	99	-0.13	4.25	250	81
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	81
Kyle Crick R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	22	SW	4.95	19.6%	23.7%	0.9%	.278	3.84	19.7%	7.7%	231	-1.11	2.64	383	80
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	80
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	79
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	79
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	79
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	79
Cole Percival R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	22	SU	4.99	16.5%	14.9%	2.5%	.243	4.70	16.6%	3.7%	218	-0.29	3.58	327	79
Yeiber Cartaya R 2023 · 5.38 FIP	20	SW	5.38	16.4%	21.2%	1.8%	.307	4.38	20.4%	3.8%	235	-1.00	4.12	283	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	18.2%	17.8%	1.04	5.76
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99