Aneudis Mejia P Hickory Crawdads
Age 22 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151141vR 132
ERA5.88
FIP5.88
K%16.9%
BB%18.5%
K-BB%-1.7%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
K: -3.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -7.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-7BBCONTACT: -7.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-7CONTACTSTAM: +9.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+9STAMTotal WAR: -0.86 (88 IP)-0.9WAR
0.00.10.10.20.20.20.126283032
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL2525
CMD3030
K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202218ROKDSL TEX Blue408349500%1.926.5%14.7%11.8%0.0%1.172.73
202218ROKDSL TEX Blue408349500%1.926.5%14.7%11.8%0.0%1.172.71
202319ROKACL Rangers114201133127336%1.818.7%29.9%-11.2%3.0%8.106.94
202319ROKACL Rangers114201133127336%1.827.4%23.9%3.5%2.7%8.106.00
202420MIX2 levels7215721913229%2.226.4%18.1%8.3%2.8%6.464.68
202420MIX2 levels7215721913229%2.226.4%18.1%8.3%2.8%6.464.86
202521AHickory Crawdads229612886743241%2.817.2%17.6%-0.4%0.8%6.164.34
202521AHickory Crawdads229612886743241%2.823.3%14.9%8.3%0.7%6.163.44
▸ 2026 Season
202622A+Hub City Spartanburgers193351643418716%1.916.1%12.4%3.6%5.1%7.136.13-0.7
ROS22MLBTEX50052222374160%1.116.9%18.5%-1.7%2.7%5.885.88-0.8
ROS22MLBTEX016.9%18.5%-1.7%2.7%5.885.88
2026 TOT22MLBTEX8838671591318.5%15.3%3.2%3.4%6.385.98-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBTEX52054230423760%1.018.3%16.2%2.1%2.7%5.565.45-0.6
202824MLBTEX53056236453560%1.119.3%14.7%4.6%2.7%5.305.18-0.4
202925MLBTEX54057239473360%1.019.8%13.8%6.1%2.7%5.125.02-0.3
202723MLBTEX26027114211830%1.018.3%16.2%2.1%2.7%5.565.45-0.3
202824MLBTEX37039165322440%1.119.3%14.7%4.6%2.7%5.305.18-0.3
202925MLBTEX44046194392750%1.019.8%13.8%6.1%2.7%5.125.02-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10601124729169130%1.119.3%14.7%4.6%2.7%5.294.80+0.8
/ 200 IP1900200844163124230%1.119.3%14.7%4.6%2.7%5.294.80+1.4
Career63181406711251231629%2.218.6%18.3%0.3%2.4%6.445.17+0.4
/ 200 IP90262009611791762329%2.218.6%18.3%0.3%2.4%6.445.17+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Aneudis Mejia (OGILVIE) 5.88 16.9%18.5%2.7% 5.21 19.2%4.3%167 -0.67
Blake Quinn R 2027 · 5.32 FIP 23 SW 5.32 16.9%15.3%3.1%.328 4.28 17.1%3.3%48 -1.04 4.28 122 86
Griffin Kilander R 2026 · 4.83 FIP 22 SW 4.83 15.5%16.2%1.8%.264 4.24 23.3%6.3%50 -0.59 4.24 115 83
Yunior Montero R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 22 SW 4.82 16.9%14.1%2.5%.276 4.59 21.5%6.2%91 -0.23 3.60 127 82
Ryan Cardona R 2026 · 5.30 FIP 22 SW 5.30 20.9%17.7%3.1%.274 4.20 18.5%4.3%292 -1.10 3.46 367 82
Kyle Wilcox R 2026 · 4.93 FIP 22 SW 4.93 16.2%22.0%0.8%.330 4.51 27.1%10.4%140 -0.42 2.77 310 82
Jordan Brink R 2027 · 5.96 FIP 23 SW 5.96 18.3%19.2%3.6%.233 4.10 132 82
Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP 22 SW 5.48 14.9%14.0%3.4%.261 4.31 20.4%9.1%173 -1.17 3.80 300 81
Jake Eddington R 2027 · 4.98 FIP 23 SW 4.98 18.8%24.1%0.7%.316 5.09 15.8%-4.0%85 +0.11 4.88 114 80
Kyle Crick R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 22 SW 5.05 19.6%23.7%1.1%.278 3.85 19.7%7.7%231 -1.20 2.59 383 80
Cole Aker R 2026 · 5.51 FIP 22 SW 5.51 19.5%20.6%2.6%.239 6.10 12.0%-9.9%28 +0.59 3.60 147 80
Jhonny Polanco R 2027 · 4.76 FIP 23 SW 4.76 18.9%14.2%2.7%.283 3.92 21.3%5.7%48 -0.84 3.92 116 80
Josh White R 2026 · 5.45 FIP 22 SW 5.45 17.7%13.9%3.8%.244 3.02 28.9%17.7%167 -2.43 1.95 232 80
Keegan Collett R 2025 · 5.05 FIP 21 SW 5.05 21.9%24.6%1.2%.321 4.97 29.1%9.0%84 -0.08 3.99 184 80
Ted Stuka R 2028 · 5.78 FIP 24 SW 5.78 12.4%23.4%1.4%.262 6.34 15.9%-13.1%41 +0.56 5.51 105 79
Kelvin Vasquez R 2026 · 4.80 FIP 22 SU 4.80 14.8%13.8%2.2%.248 5.43 15.0%-3.0%103 +0.63 4.80 180 79
Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.10 FIP 22 SU 5.10 16.5%14.9%2.8%.243 4.62 16.6%3.7%218 -0.48 3.59 327 79
Fabian Anguamea R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 22 SU 4.91 16.6%15.2%2.3%.295 4.45 15.8%1.8%96 -0.46 3.94 164 78
Edwardo Melendez R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 22 SU 4.79 20.6%15.9%2.6%.298 4.01 139 78
Drew Conover R 2027 · 6.30 FIP 23 SW 6.30 15.6%29.8%1.4%.272 5.34 11.7%-3.6%96 -0.96 4.52 135 78
Eury Rosado R 2026 · 6.29 FIP 22 SW 6.29 17.8%18.2%4.4%.351 3.80 109 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45518.6%15.7%1.045.46
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99