Keegan Collett — OGILVIE

Keegan Collett P Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.52

FIP5.52

K%21.6%

BB%17.3%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	10	2	24	112	36	22	1	20%	2.4	21.9%	24.6%	-2.7%	1.2%	4.56	5.05	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	10	2	24	112	36	22	1	20%	2.4	32.1%	19.6%	12.5%	0.9%	4.56	3.40	—
2021	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	23	0	26	124	49	24	4	0%	1.1	29.2%	22.8%	6.4%	5.1%	6.92	6.35	—
2021	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	23	0	26	124	49	24	4	0%	1.1	39.5%	19.4%	20.2%	3.2%	6.92	4.10	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	58	260	101	42	3	0%	1.5	29.0%	18.9%	10.0%	1.6%	3.55	3.93	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	58	260	101	42	3	0%	1.5	38.8%	16.2%	22.7%	1.2%	3.55	2.47	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	33	2	44	212	71	35	4	6%	1.3	25.8%	19.0%	6.8%	2.8%	4.87	4.85	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	33	2	44	212	71	35	4	6%	1.3	25.8%	19.0%	6.8%	2.8%	4.87	4.85	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	33	2	44	212	71	35	4	6%	1.3	33.5%	16.5%	17.0%	1.9%	4.87	3.44	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	152	33	28	5	0%	1.4	16.3%	21.6%	-5.2%	4.5%	6.54	6.91	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	152	33	28	5	0%	1.4	16.3%	21.6%	-5.2%	4.5%	6.54	6.91	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	32	152	33	28	5	0%	1.4	21.7%	18.4%	3.3%	3.3%	6.54	5.72	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	SD	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.6%	17.3%	4.4%	3.1%	5.52	5.52	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	18	14	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.2%	5.48	5.53	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.2%	5.48	5.53	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.2%	5.48	5.15	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	134	33	0%	1.1	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.2%	5.48	5.15	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		128	4	184	860	216	178	25	3%	1.4	25.1%	20.7%	4.4%	2.9%	4.99	5.18	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	4	200	935	234	194	27	3%	1.4	25.1%	20.7%	4.4%	2.9%	4.99	5.18	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keegan Collett (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.52	21.6%	17.3%	3.1%	—	5.53	21.6%	4.9%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	79
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	78
Jeff Ames R 2019 · 4.45 FIP	28	SU	4.45	25.6%	16.8%	2.5%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	272	77
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	77
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	76
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	76
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	75
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	75
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	74
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	74
Brad Boxberger R 2016 · 4.96 FIP	28	SU	4.96	19.3%	15.8%	2.7%	.282	3.98	29.0%	18.0%	109	-0.98	3.01	363	74
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	73
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	73
Kyle Dowdy R 2021 · 5.16 FIP	28	SU	5.16	20.3%	14.6%	3.5%	.282	3.57	21.1%	9.1%	116	-1.59	2.98	606	73
Charles Hall R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	18.0%	19.1%	2.0%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	181	73
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	73
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	72