Jaydenn Estanista

Jaydenn Estanista P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%20.9%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	10	6	31	124	33	19	1	60%	3.1	18.1%	19.2%	-1.1%	1.3%	3.23	4.72	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	10	6	31	124	33	19	1	60%	3.1	26.6%	15.3%	11.3%	0.8%	3.23	3.23	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	5	31	118	35	16	3	42%	2.6	20.2%	16.9%	3.2%	3.8%	2.01	5.61	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	12	5	31	118	35	16	3	42%	2.6	29.7%	13.6%	16.1%	2.5%	2.01	3.64	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	25	128	30	28	3	14%	1.8	16.7%	25.7%	-9.0%	3.1%	8.17	6.67	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	25	128	30	28	3	14%	1.8	16.7%	25.7%	-9.0%	3.1%	8.17	6.67	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	2	25	128	30	28	3	14%	1.8	23.4%	21.9%	1.6%	2.3%	8.17	5.59	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	54	228	71	31	5	0%	1.7	23.4%	15.9%	7.5%	2.6%	3.52	4.59	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	54	228	71	31	5	0%	1.7	23.4%	15.9%	7.5%	2.6%	3.52	4.59	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	54	228	71	31	5	0%	1.7	31.1%	13.6%	17.5%	2.2%	3.52	3.40	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	45	192	47	29	4	0%	1.1	19.3%	16.9%	2.4%	2.5%	4.84	4.96	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	45	192	47	29	4	0%	1.1	19.3%	16.9%	2.4%	2.5%	4.84	4.96	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	45	192	47	29	4	0%	1.1	24.5%	15.1%	9.4%	2.1%	4.84	4.11	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	33	0	45	213	58	28	7	0%	1.4	21.4%	14.8%	6.7%	4.0%	6.00	5.38	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	33	0	45	213	58	28	7	0%	1.4	21.4%	14.8%	6.7%	4.0%	6.00	5.38	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	MIA	22	0	25	117	33	13	4	0%	1.1	28.2%	11.1%	17.1%	3.4%	7.30	4.00	—
2026	24	AA RAW	MIA	11	0	20	96	25	15	3	0%	1.8	26.0%	15.6%	10.4%	3.1%	4.43	4.60	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	47	0	49	206	44	29	6	0%	1.0	21.5%	14.1%	7.5%	2.9%	5.10	5.02	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	47	0	49	206	45	28	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	13.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.94	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	20	0	21	89	19	12	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	14.1%	7.5%	2.9%	5.10	5.02	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	30	0	32	135	30	18	4	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	54	226	49	31	7	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.8%	7.9%	2.9%	5.03	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	116	26	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.8%	7.9%	2.9%	5.03	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		140	13	231	1003	204	177	29	9%	1.6	20.3%	17.6%	2.7%	2.9%	4.53	5.23	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	11	200	870	177	153	25	9%	1.6	20.3%	17.6%	2.7%	2.9%	4.53	5.23	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaydenn Estanista (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	20.9%	16.1%	2.9%	—	4.98	21.7%	7.9%	98	-0.35	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	88
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	87
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	86
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	85
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	85
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	85
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	84
Kasey Ford R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	21.3%	14.7%	3.6%	.302	3.83	22.2%	5.5%	65	-1.29	2.53	114	84
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	84
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	84
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	42	21.5%	14.3%	1.11	5.10
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84