Jaydenn Estanista
P
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
K%22.1%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 10 | 6 | 31 | 124 | 33 | 19 | 1 | 60% | 3.1 | 18.1% | 19.2% | -1.1% | 1.6% | 3.23 | 4.85 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 10 | 6 | 31 | 124 | 33 | 19 | 1 | 60% | 3.1 | 26.6% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 0.8% | 3.23 | 3.23 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 12 | 5 | 31 | 118 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 42% | 2.6 | 20.2% | 16.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.01 | 5.73 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 12 | 5 | 31 | 118 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 42% | 2.6 | 29.7% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 2.5% | 2.01 | 3.64 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 2 | 25 | 128 | 30 | 28 | 3 | 14% | 1.8 | 16.7% | 25.7% | -9.0% | 3.1% | 8.17 | 6.67 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 2 | 25 | 128 | 30 | 28 | 3 | 14% | 1.8 | 23.4% | 21.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 8.17 | 5.59 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 71 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.4% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 3.52 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 71 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 31.1% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 2.2% | 3.52 | 3.40 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 47 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 16.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.84 | 4.91 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 47 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 4.84 | 4.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 26 | 0 | 26 | 136 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 10.59 | 5.88 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PHI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 25 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.77 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 53 | 250 | 54 | 28 | 11 | — | — | 21.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 7.65 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 115 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.21 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 101 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 13 | 212 | 926 | 185 | 163 | 28 | 10% | 1.6 | 20.0% | 17.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.29 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 12 | 200 | 874 | 174 | 154 | 26 | 10% | 1.6 | 20.0% | 17.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.29 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jaydenn Estanista (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 22.1% | 12.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.59 | 22.6% | 11.2% | 27 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 92 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 90 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 90 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 89 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 89 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 88 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Jay Driver R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 88 |
| Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 87 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 105 | +0.06 | 3.44 | 213 | 87 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 87 |
| Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 86 |
| Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 20.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .298 | 3.84 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 90 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 186 | 86 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 86 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 86 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 86 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 86 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 86 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 86 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 22.4% | 12.0% | 1.11 | 4.70 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |