Tommy McCollum
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 260 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.23
FIP4.23
K%21.0%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 9 | 0 | 13 | 65 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.1% | 27.2% | -10.2% | 2.0% | 6.39 | 6.22 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 9 | 0 | 13 | 65 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 6.39 | 5.31 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 23 | 0 | 31 | 118 | 52 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.6% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 3.3% | 1.45 | 4.06 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 23 | 0 | 31 | 118 | 52 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 44.1% | 12.7% | 31.4% | 2.5% | 1.45 | 2.45 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 67 | 32 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 2.64 | 2.90 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 67 | 32 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 36.2% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 2.64 | 2.24 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 42 | 0 | 46 | 210 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 5.09 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 42 | 0 | 46 | 210 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 1.9% | 5.09 | 3.75 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 59 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.9% | 6.5% | 14.4% | 1.8% | 3.07 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 59 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 6.5% | 19.0% | 1.3% | 3.07 | 2.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 25 | 0 | 31 | 150 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.8% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.39 | 6.59 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TB | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | TB | — | — | 90 | 401 | 86 | 37 | 15 | — | — | 21.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 5.99 | 5.03 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | TB | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 3.85 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 52 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TB | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 49 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TB | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 46 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TB | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TB | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 85 | 0 | 89 | 375 | 79 | 34 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.11 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 77 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 190 | 0 | 220 | 959 | 221 | 131 | 23 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 0 | 200 | 870 | 200 | 119 | 21 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy McCollum (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% | — | 4.46 | 21.0% | 12.0% | 165 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 92 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 90 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.0% | .241 | 3.28 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.15 | 2.51 | 131 | 89 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 88 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .314 | 2.59 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 223 | -0.51 | 1.51 | 544 | 88 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 88 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 88 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.90 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.42 | 2.78 | 596 | 86 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 86 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.23 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 1.6% | .294 | 4.07 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.23 | 253 | 86 |
| Seth Simmons R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.06 | 23.8% | 9.7% | 1.4% | .277 | 4.93 | 16.6% | 7.6% | 175 | +1.87 | 3.06 | 251 | 86 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .246 | 3.53 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.05 | 2.96 | 160 | 86 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.08 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.66 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.58 | 3.08 | 124 | 86 |
| Chaz Roe R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.16 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .300 | 2.78 | 28.4% | 20.7% | 140 | -0.38 | 1.69 | 257 | 86 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 85 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 85 |
| Pedro Beato R 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .276 | 4.18 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 192 | +0.78 | 3.40 | 295 | 85 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 85 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 85 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .209 | 4.89 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.89 | 3.58 | 157 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 56 | 21.0% | 8.9% | 1.11 | 4.35 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |