Ryan Middendorf
P
Biloxi Shuckers
Age 28
RHP
6'6" / 220 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
K%19.3%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%8.6%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 25.3% | 2.5% | 22.9% | 0.0% | 2.34 | 1.27 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 34.9% | 7.4% | 27.4% | 1.1% | 2.34 | 1.75 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 57 | 267 | 57 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 2.1% | 4.55 | 3.65 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 57 | 267 | 57 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.3% | 6.4% | 15.0% | 1.9% | 4.55 | 3.13 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 52 | 0 | 60 | 270 | 60 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 4.68 | 5.24 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 52 | 0 | 60 | 270 | 60 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.41 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 34 | 175 | 27 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.8% | 14.3% | -1.5% | 1.0% | 7.49 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 34 | 175 | 27 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 13.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 7.49 | 4.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 109 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 23 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.47 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 78 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 150 | 0 | 193 | 887 | 167 | 76 | 20 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 4.62 | 3.81 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 0 | 200 | 919 | 173 | 79 | 20 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 4.62 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Middendorf (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.85 | 19.4% | 8.7% | 25 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 89 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 88 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 87 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 86 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 84 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 83 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 82 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 82 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 81 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2029 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 81 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.91 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 22 | +0.95 | 2.88 | 312 | 81 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 1.14 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |