Ryan Middendorf — OGILVIE

Ryan Middendorf P Biloxi Shuckers

Age 29 RHP 6'6" / 220 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 23 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%17.2%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%5.8%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	0	42	175	61	13	2	0%	1.9	25.3%	2.5%	22.9%	0.0%	2.34	1.27	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	0	42	175	61	13	2	0%	1.9	34.9%	7.4%	27.4%	1.1%	2.34	1.75	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	57	267	57	17	5	0%	1.4	17.6%	6.6%	11.0%	2.2%	4.55	3.63	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	57	267	57	17	5	0%	1.4	21.3%	6.4%	15.0%	1.9%	4.55	3.13	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	52	0	60	270	60	27	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	4.0%	4.68	4.84	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	52	0	60	270	60	27	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	4.0%	4.68	4.84	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	52	0	60	270	60	27	9	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.0%	12.2%	3.3%	4.68	4.41	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	34	175	27	23	2	0%	1.0	12.7%	13.8%	-1.0%	1.2%	7.49	4.41	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	34	175	27	23	2	0%	1.0	12.7%	13.8%	-1.0%	1.2%	7.49	4.41	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	34	175	27	23	2	0%	1.0	15.4%	13.1%	2.3%	1.1%	7.49	4.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	MIL	22	0	23	97	17	11	3	0%	1.0	17.2%	11.4%	5.8%	2.9%	5.04	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIL	21	0	22	93	16	11	3	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.5%	6.0%	3.1%	5.07	5.14	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIL	7	0	7	30	5	3	1	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.5%	6.0%	3.1%	5.07	5.14	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	29	5	3	1	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.5%	6.0%	3.1%	5.07	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	145	87	29	0%	1.1	17.4%	11.5%	6.0%	3.1%	5.07	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		150	0	193	887	165	70	19	0%	1.3	18.6%	7.9%	10.7%	2.1%	4.62	3.69	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	919	171	73	19	0%	1.3	18.6%	7.9%	10.7%	2.1%	4.62	3.69	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Middendorf (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	17.2%	11.4%	2.9%	—	5.14	17.4%	6.0%	22	+0.10	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	93
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	86
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	83
Santiago Casilla R 2009 · 4.44 FIP	29	SU	4.44	15.0%	9.4%	2.6%	.324	3.29	22.1%	13.0%	170	-1.15	2.76	647	82
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	81
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	81
Jason Boyd R 2002 · 5.81 FIP	29	SU	5.81	13.7%	10.7%	4.6%	.290	4.74	15.0%	3.7%	65	-1.07	3.68	128	81
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	81
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	81
Brian Sanches R 2008 · 4.74 FIP	29	SU	4.74	18.5%	9.3%	3.7%	.378	4.01	20.5%	10.8%	182	-0.73	3.39	229	80
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	79
Matt Lindstrom R 2009 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	17.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.320	3.16	17.7%	11.7%	154	-0.96	2.40	443	79
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	79
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	79
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	78