Sandy Gaston
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 224 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141131vR 122
ERA5.41
FIP5.41
K%21.6%
BB%17.9%
K-BB%3.7%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Rays | 11 | 6 | 27 | 129 | 31 | 27 | 1 | 55% | 2.5 | 16.3% | 26.2% | -9.8% | 1.1% | 6.00 | 5.63 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Rays | 11 | 6 | 27 | 129 | 31 | 27 | 1 | 55% | 2.5 | 24.0% | 20.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 6.00 | 4.29 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 50 | 211 | 70 | 35 | 3 | 71% | 3.6 | 23.6% | 20.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.60 | 4.69 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 50 | 211 | 70 | 35 | 3 | 71% | 3.6 | 33.2% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 1.4% | 3.60 | 3.18 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 31 | 4 | 55 | 255 | 77 | 56 | 3 | 13% | 1.8 | 22.3% | 25.9% | -3.6% | 1.7% | 4.61 | 5.44 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 31 | 4 | 55 | 255 | 77 | 56 | 3 | 13% | 1.8 | 30.2% | 22.0% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 4.61 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 38 | 7 | 47 | 230 | 53 | 48 | 7 | 18% | 1.2 | 17.7% | 24.0% | -6.3% | 3.4% | 7.09 | 6.48 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 38 | 7 | 47 | 230 | 53 | 48 | 7 | 18% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 20.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 7.09 | 5.84 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 10 | 0 | 11 | 61 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.9% | 32.0% | -18.2% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 5.99 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 10 | 0 | 11 | 61 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 27.9% | -9.8% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 5.74 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 71 | 316 | 89 | 46 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.6% | 16.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 4.84 | 4.17 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 71 | 316 | 89 | 46 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.2% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | 4.84 | 3.64 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 30 | 0 | 38 | 176 | 50 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 17.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.97 | 5.62 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 61 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 17.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.41 | 5.41 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 17.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.41 | 5.41 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 105 | 460 | 111 | 79 | 14 | — | — | 24.2% | 17.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.6% | 17.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.41 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 63 | 44 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 5.16 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 64 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 28 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 5.16 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 43 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 73 | 0 | 77 | 324 | 72 | 49 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.09 | 4.64 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 128 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.09 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 174 | 27 | 298 | 1378 | 289 | 298 | 30 | 16% | 1.7 | 21.0% | 21.7% | -0.7% | 2.2% | 5.35 | 5.27 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 117 | 18 | 200 | 925 | 194 | 200 | 20 | 16% | 1.7 | 21.0% | 21.7% | -0.7% | 2.2% | 5.35 | 5.27 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sandy Gaston (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.41 | 21.6% | 17.9% | 2.7% | — | 5.03 | 22.3% | 7.0% | 136 | -0.38 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 87 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.6% | 18.4% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.56 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 184 | -0.36 | 3.34 | 334 | 86 |
| Kris Hall R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 86 |
| Noah Murdock R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.8% | 17.1% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.29 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 130 | -1.43 | 2.48 | 292 | 86 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 86 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.50 | 19.8% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .283 | 4.49 | 19.0% | 8.6% | 139 | -0.01 | 3.34 | 252 | 86 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 85 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 21.4% | 22.3% | 2.7% | .278 | 5.16 | 19.4% | 2.8% | 102 | -0.45 | 3.73 | 203 | 85 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 85 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.65 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.35 | 4.30 | 107 | 85 |
| Mark Sappington R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 18.9% | 16.2% | 1.2% | .323 | 4.34 | 16.6% | -1.3% | 52 | +0.11 | 4.23 | 120 | 84 |
| Antonio Knowles R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .250 | 3.13 | 21.9% | 13.9% | 61 | -1.38 | 2.73 | 218 | 83 |
| Zane Russell R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.19 | 22.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 5.10 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 71 | -0.09 | 4.28 | 108 | 83 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.09 | 20.8% | 18.8% | 2.5% | .324 | 5.52 | 13.7% | -3.9% | 51 | +0.43 | 3.90 | 178 | 83 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 20.9% | 14.5% | 2.1% | .270 | 4.39 | 16.4% | 2.8% | 110 | +0.05 | 4.11 | 172 | 83 |
| Sal Biasi R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.19 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.3% | .295 | 7.85 | 15.3% | -0.2% | 23 | +2.66 | 4.68 | 188 | 83 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 82 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 82 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 21.3% | 17.6% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 127 | 82 |
| Livan Reinoso R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 20.1% | 19.7% | 0.8% | .331 | 5.22 | 15.9% | -2.2% | 142 | +0.88 | 4.34 | 207 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 1.05 | 5.20 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |