Brandon Johnson
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 195 lbs
AAA
ERA5.07
FIP5.07
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.7%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.4%
IP66
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD4040
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 5 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 7.50 | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 40 | 0 | 61 | 275 | 80 | 34 | 8 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 45 | 0 | 55 | 247 | 78 | 21 | 4 | 25.0% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 4.23 | 3.38 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 54 | 2 | 72 | 308 | 73 | 31 | 15 | 20.2% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 4.88 | 5.68 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 8 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 11 | 1 | — | — | — | 10.57 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 57 | 31 | 11 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | KC | — | — | 74 | 320 | 62 | 42 | 12 | 19.3% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 5.85 | 4.75 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 57 | 30 | 10 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 5.22 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 63 | 268 | 56 | 30 | 10 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 5.19 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 54 | 29 | 10 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 5.19 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | KC | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 51 | 28 | 10 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 5.23 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | KC | 57 | — | 57 | 240 | 49 | 27 | 9 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 5.31 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | KC | 54 | — | 54 | 229 | 46 | 26 | 9 | 20.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 5.40 | 5.46 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | KC | 52 | — | 52 | 218 | 43 | 25 | 9 | 19.6% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 5.50 | 5.57 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | KC | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 39 | 24 | 9 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 5.61 | 5.69 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | KC | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 18.8% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 5.74 | 5.83 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 152 | 2 | 202 | 899 | 196 | 110 | 33 | 21.8% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 4.84 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 151 | 2 | 200 | 892 | 194 | 109 | 33 | 21.8% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 4.84 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandon Johnson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 3.9% | — | 5.22 | 20.7% | 9.7% | 190 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 87 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 86 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 86 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 86 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 85 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 85 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.39 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 109 | 85 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 84 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 84 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 84 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 84 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 83 |
| Braden Zarbnisky R 2025 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.17 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 4.7% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 142 | 82 |
| Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.87 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.27 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 41 | +0.40 | 3.27 | 313 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 82 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.09 | 20.3% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .191 | 4.26 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 131 | -0.83 | 2.39 | 676 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 82 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.55 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.15 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.40 | 4.02 | 328 | 82 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.76 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 106 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.