Aneury Lora
P
Inland Empire 66ers
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 155 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134124vR 115
ERA5.08
FIP5.08
K%14.4%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 8 | 7 | 20 | 90 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 88% | 2.5 | 16.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 4.05 | 3.93 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 8 | 7 | 20 | 90 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 88% | 2.5 | 24.4% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 1.1% | 4.05 | 2.75 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 7 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 3.7% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 2.70 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 7 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 3.7% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 2.70 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 7 | 42 | 188 | 35 | 16 | 1 | 50% | 3.0 | 13.5% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 4.97 | 3.92 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 7 | 42 | 188 | 35 | 16 | 1 | 50% | 3.0 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 0.5% | 4.97 | 2.88 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | 36 | 1 | 81 | 359 | 76 | 27 | 3 | 3% | 2.3 | 15.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 5.20 | 4.05 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | 36 | 1 | 81 | 359 | 76 | 27 | 3 | 3% | 2.3 | 21.2% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 0.8% | 5.20 | 2.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 23 | 0 | 37 | 159 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 4.42 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | SEA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.4% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.4% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 5.08 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 89 | 381 | 68 | 35 | 10 | — | — | 17.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.81 | 4.92 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 42 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 44 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 106 | 0 | 112 | 472 | 84 | 44 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.32 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 150 | 79 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 16 | 186 | 823 | 128 | 77 | 17 | 18% | 2.1 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 4.78 | 4.13 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 17 | 200 | 883 | 138 | 83 | 19 | 18% | 2.1 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 4.78 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aneury Lora (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.08 | 14.4% | 10.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.72 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 167 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Jack Carey R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.47 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 156 | -0.08 | 3.71 | 250 | 91 |
| Jake McCasland R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.86 | 14.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.94 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 317 | -0.92 | 3.27 | 367 | 89 |
| Kelvis Valerio R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.80 | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .312 | 4.08 | 11.4% | 4.0% | 190 | -0.72 | 4.03 | 266 | 89 |
| Tyler Zombro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.37 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.67 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 134 | -1.70 | 2.25 | 172 | 88 |
| Mariano Rivera R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.35 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.00 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 66 | -0.35 | 3.50 | 135 | 88 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 87 |
| Jaime Lugo R 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.18 | 13.2% | 9.1% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.94 | 12.4% | 3.6% | 162 | -0.24 | 3.77 | 287 | 87 |
| Ian Villers R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.59 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .311 | 4.12 | 15.6% | 5.2% | 59 | -0.47 | 4.12 | 107 | 87 |
| Alexis Rivero R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.38 | 15.3% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .286 | 5.39 | 13.1% | 2.1% | 86 | +1.01 | 3.75 | 280 | 86 |
| Jayson McKinley R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .308 | 3.66 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 134 | -0.75 | 2.33 | 173 | 86 |
| Robbie Welhaf R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.06 | 14.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .309 | 3.26 | 18.1% | 15.0% | 90 | -0.80 | 3.26 | 121 | 86 |
| Simon Mercedes R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.87 | 14.3% | 11.7% | 2.7% | .309 | 5.14 | 16.4% | 3.9% | 60 | +0.27 | 4.87 | 139 | 86 |
| Chase Centala R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.34 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .270 | 4.16 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 55 | -0.18 | 4.16 | 124 | 86 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.32 | 13.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .306 | 6.84 | 18.7% | 2.9% | 63 | +1.52 | 5.32 | 117 | 86 |
| Tayler Scott R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 86 |
| Joel Cesar R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.16 | 16.3% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .267 | 6.20 | 18.0% | 9.9% | 38 | +2.04 | 4.16 | 127 | 86 |
| Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 1.6% | .331 | 3.50 | 26.8% | 13.4% | 66 | -0.39 | 3.01 | 109 | 85 |
| Anyelo Leclerc R 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.97 | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.13 | 15.9% | 6.1% | 96 | +0.16 | 4.97 | 140 | 85 |
| Zac Reininger R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 2.6% | .286 | 3.36 | 21.1% | 13.6% | 125 | -1.43 | 2.46 | 259 | 85 |
| Austin Mason R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.87 | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .264 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 7.5% | 108 | -1.11 | 3.60 | 179 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 55 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 1.08 | 4.85 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |