Thomas Balboni Jr.
P
Lake Elsinore Storm
+0.2
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.9%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%13.7%
IP37
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4555
CMD2030
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 23 | 2 | 43 | 194 | 46 | 18 | 3 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | 7.17 | 4.01 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 41 | 0 | 44 | 207 | 79 | 27 | 1 | 28.5% | 15.3% | 0.7% | 5.08 | 2.98 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 25.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 24.9% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 24.8% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 24.6% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 24.1% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 32 | — | 32 | 135 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.63 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 23.5% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 23.2% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.82 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 2 | 87 | 401 | 93 | 53 | 5 | 23.2% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 6.10 | 3.48 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 5 | 200 | 922 | 214 | 122 | 11 | 23.2% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 6.10 | 3.48 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Balboni Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 25.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.44 | 24.8% | 13.3% | 109 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 92 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 91 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .299 | 4.62 | 23.6% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.30 | 3.86 | 134 | 90 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.93 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 299 | 88 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 88 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 87 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 86 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.48 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .245 | 4.81 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.33 | 3.04 | 230 | 86 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 85 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 84 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.21 | 2.96 | 114 | 84 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .214 | 3.12 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.77 | 2.59 | 156 | 83 |
| Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .267 | 4.91 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.21 | 3.70 | 121 | 83 |
| Layne Henderson R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.01 | 24.9% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .277 | 4.54 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 82 | +0.53 | 3.91 | 233 | 82 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 82 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.94 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.64 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.70 | 3.84 | 272 | 82 |
| Kyle Hill R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.93 | 23.6% | 12.2% | 2.3% | .319 | 5.38 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 35 | +1.45 | 3.62 | 156 | 82 |
| Reid Schaller R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.63 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 186 | 82 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.30 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | -0.02 | 3.45 | 161 | 81 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.36 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | .291 | 2.98 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.38 | 2.67 | 178 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.