Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 23 | 2 | 43 | 194 | 46 | 18 | 3 | 9% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 7.17 | 3.89 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 23 | 2 | 43 | 194 | 46 | 18 | 3 | 9% | 1.9 | 23.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 1.5% | 7.17 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 44 | 207 | 79 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 0.7% | 5.08 | 3.01 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 44 | 207 | 79 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 38.2% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 0.5% | 5.08 | 1.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 23 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.9% | 3.70 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYY | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 67 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.59 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 84 | 358 | 98 | 45 | 11 | — | — | 27.4% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.56 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 26.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 65 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 63 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 61 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.26 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 221 | 116 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 87 | 2 | 111 | 508 | 118 | 63 | 9 | 2% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 1.7% | 5.58 | 3.66 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 4 | 200 | 913 | 212 | 113 | 16 | 2% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 1.7% | 5.58 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Balboni Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 26.8% | 14.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.63 | 26.2% | 12.4% | 115 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 89 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 88 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 87 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 86 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 86 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 85 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 84 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 84 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 83 |
| Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 28.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.34 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.06 | 331 | 83 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 83 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .248 | 2.04 | 31.1% | 18.7% | 16 | -1.99 | 2.04 | 138 | 82 |
| Matt Blackham R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.90 | 25.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | .206 | 7.09 | 26.9% | 8.7% | 25 | +3.19 | 2.08 | 187 | 82 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 82 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 24.7% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.39 | 22.9% | 7.5% | 129 | +0.92 | 3.20 | 314 | 81 |
| Justin Evans R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 1.5% | .323 | 4.80 | 16.4% | -7.9% | 14 | +1.07 | 3.73 | 105 | 81 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 81 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 26.4% | 14.0% | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |