Carlos Torres
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 240 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 118
ERA5.23
FIP5.23
K%11.4%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%1.9%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 3.60 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 3.56 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 43 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 54 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 3.50 | 3.94 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 43 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 54 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 1.9% | 3.50 | 3.38 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 2 | 26 | 106 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 11% | 1.4 | 17.1% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 3.51 | 3.60 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 2 | 26 | 106 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 11% | 1.4 | 24.5% | 3.8% | 20.8% | 1.9% | 3.51 | 2.55 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 48 | 211 | 35 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.12 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 48 | 211 | 35 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 2.4% | 4.12 | 3.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 28 | 0 | 44 | 181 | 37 | 9 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.6% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 3.09 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 29 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 103 | 432 | 66 | 33 | 14 | — | — | 15.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.32 | 5.11 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 11.4% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.23 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.04 | 4.65 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 118 | 81 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.04 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 125 | 2 | 183 | 778 | 116 | 59 | 19 | 2% | 1.5 | 14.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 3.53 | 4.17 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 2 | 200 | 849 | 126 | 64 | 21 | 2% | 1.5 | 14.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 3.53 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carlos Torres (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.23 | 11.4% | 9.6% | 2.7% | — | 5.03 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 118 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| El'Hajj Muhammad R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .285 | 5.19 | 7.1% | -2.5% | 11 | +0.48 | 4.65 | 113 | 90 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 188 | 89 |
| Robert Coles R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 9.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 109 | 87 |
| Matthew Bollenbacher R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 12.0% | 9.7% | 1.9% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 108 | 87 |
| Justin Camp R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 87 |
| Zach Nuding R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 86 |
| Starling Peralta R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 9.9% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 117 | 86 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.49 | 15.1% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 218 | 86 |
| Kurt Spomer R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.35 | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .268 | 3.38 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 135 | -1.97 | 3.11 | 199 | 85 |
| Jordan Piche R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 115 | 85 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 85 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.76 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .286 | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.74 | 4.02 | 141 | 85 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .267 | 3.96 | 14.1% | 5.7% | 37 | -0.29 | 3.96 | 198 | 84 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 16.0% | 10.9% | 1.7% | .293 | 3.40 | 12.8% | 1.8% | 17 | -0.64 | 3.40 | 134 | 84 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2027 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.96 | 9.1% | 10.1% | 2.4% | .302 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 10.6% | 110 | -1.30 | 3.62 | 125 | 84 |
| Benjamin Sandoval R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.89 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.27 | 5.8% | -5.7% | 62 | +0.38 | 4.89 | 146 | 84 |
| Aaron Fossas R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.29 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 1.3% | .285 | 3.81 | 11.8% | 3.7% | 88 | -0.48 | 2.57 | 238 | 83 |
| Philip Walby R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.33 | 12.7% | 12.0% | 1.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 137 | 83 |
| Aaron Cohn R 2025 · 5.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.87 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 4.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.72 | 106 | 83 |
| Confesor Lara R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 13.2% | 9.5% | 1.07 | 5.11 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |